[討論] 22年前的今天:Kerry Wood單場20三振

看板MLB (美國職棒/大聯盟)作者 ( )時間3年前 (2020/05/07 05:24), 3年前編輯推噓29(31216)
留言49則, 39人參與, 3年前最新討論串1/1
20K精華 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WOYME2Q4nAg
整場(小熊水管) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lehub-k5Apw
https://www.mlb.com/news/kerry-wood-s-20-strikeout-game-score-still-elite Wanna top Wood's 20-K game? Good luck 想超越Wood的單場20-K比賽?祝你好運 What’s the most dominant game that a pitcher can pitch? 一個投手於一場比賽的巔峰造極之作為何呢? The knee-jerk reaction is probably to say, "a perfect game." But today’s date, May 6, evokes the anniversary of an ever-so-slightly imperfect game that might actually have the best case of all. 大家應該會下意識回答「完全比賽」。但22年前的今天(美國時間5月6日),這場那麼 些許不完美的比賽也許是上面那問題的最佳解答。 Twenty-two years ago today, 20-year-old Kerry Wood scraped the ceiling of pitching performance with a record-tying 20-strikeout, one-hit masterpiece against the Astros at Wrigley Field. It was the fifth start of Wood’s career, and he woke up that day with a 5.89 ERA and 12 walks over his first 18 1/3 innings as a big leaguer. Wood’s first pitches at Wrigley portended more of the same; they came in a disastrous warmup that he cut short, figuring if he had anything that day, he’d better save it for the game. 二十二年前的今天,20歲的Kerry Wood在Wrigley Field對上太空人隊時投出這追平紀錄 的20三振,並只挨一安打的頂天表現。這只是Wood生涯的第五場先發,而在此之前他在 大聯盟生涯的18.1局中的防禦率為5.89,並投出12次保送。Wood在那天Wrigley的頭幾球 似乎預告著和之前類似的結果;畢竟他那天暖身不足,所以如果他有何看家本領,最好 是留到比賽時再來慢慢發揮。 Then, Wood unleashed perhaps the most devastating set of pitches ever seen from a Major League mound. When Wood struck out Derek Bell swinging to end the Cubs’ 2-0 win over the Astros in a crisp two hours and 19 minutes, he had tied Roger Clemens’ all-time record for strikeouts in a nine-inning game and refused to yield even a single walk. Houston’s only baserunners came when Ricky Gutierrez’s grounder glanced off third baseman Kevin Orie’s glove for a third-inning single (a play that Cubs fans begged to be ruled an error as Wood’s masterpiece progressed) and when Wood plunked Craig Biggio with a curveball in the sixth. 然後呢,Wood展現了或許是大聯盟史上最具破壞性的投球。當Wood藉由讓Derek Bell揮 空三振助小熊隊在兩小時19分鐘以二比零擊敗太空人隊時。Wood追平了Roger Clemens所 創下的九局比賽最高三振紀錄,而且沒有投出任何四壞保送。太空人唯二的上壘人次是 Ricky Gutierrez三局上一記由擦過三壘手Kevin Orie手套的滾地球所形成的一壘安打( 隨著比賽趨向不凡,小熊球迷開始央求這支安打以失誤記錄),以及Wood於六局上以曲 球砸中Craig Biggio造成的觸身球。 “We knew we were in trouble in the first inning,” Gutierrez recalled. 「我們在第一局的時候就知道大事不妙了。」Gutierrez回憶道。 By one metric, Wood’s Wrigley afternoon is the most dominant nine-inning performance of the Modern Era -- ranking above no-hitters and perfect games alike. That metric is game score, a statistic created by sabermetrician Bill James that puts a handy number on just how stifling a pitcher was on any given day. A pitcher’s score starts at 50, then rises as the hurler accumulates the good stuff (strikeouts and innings) while avoiding the bad stuff (hits, walks and runs allowed). The formula goes: 在一項計量數據中,Wood那天下午在Wrigley的表現於現代棒球中是超越無安打和完全比 賽的最佳九局表現。這項數據就是Bill James為了將投手當日表現做個簡易量化所創的 投手先發分數。以50分為基準,對投手有利的數據(三振、局數)累積越多分數越高; 反之對投手不利的數據(安打、四壞、失分)越多分數越低。公式如下: ‧ Start with 50 points (the average start) ‧ Add one point for each out recorded (or 3 points per inning) ‧ Add two points for each inning completed after the fourth frame ‧ Add one point for each strikeout ‧ Subtract two points for each hit allowed ‧ Subtract one point for each walk allowed ‧ Subtract four points for each earned run allowed ‧ Subtract two points for each unearned run allowed ‧ 以50分開始算 ‧ 每出局數加一分,也就是每一局加三分 ‧ 第四局結束後每一局額外加兩分 ‧ 每一次三振加一分 ‧ 每挨一安打扣兩分 ‧ 每投出一次四壞球扣一分 ‧ 每失一自責分扣四分 ‧ 每失一非自責分扣兩分 Now you’re probably getting an idea of why Wood’s game score still tops the list. He did all of the good stuff, and none of the bad. Broken down, Wood’s apex game looks like: 現在你大概知道為何Wood這場比賽的投手先發分數至今仍為此排行榜之首:他做了所有 有利的事,而沒有做任何不利的事。Wood這場頂級表現逐項來看長這樣: 50 + 27 (complete game, 27 outs) + 10 (five innings complete after the fourth) + 20 (strikeouts) - 2 (one hit allowed) = 105 game score 50 + 27(27出局完投)+ 10(第五至九局)+ 20(三振)- 2(安打)= 105 總分 (The statistics James used to calculate game score came from a pitcher's box-score line, which in the 1980s didn't include hit-by-pitches, and still doesn't today. Even if one applies the one-point penalty for walks to Wood's HBP, his score would only drop to 104, and still into a tie for first place.) (James用來計算投手先發分數的數字來自1980年代就開始用的投手記錄表格式,而直到 現在該格式裡都不包含觸身球。但即使觸身球以四壞保送計而扣一分,Wood單場104分依 然在該排行榜中並列第一。) It’s worth pondering if Wood’s 105 will ever be eclipsed, because as the years go by, that number is beginning to look more and more like one of the highest bars set in the MLB record book. Think about the ingredients needed to even get close: Wood的單場105分是否會被會超越是個值得深思的問題,因為隨著時間演進,這數字只會 越來越顯得難以超越。仔細想想光是需要接近此數據就需達成的條件: 1) Go the distance: Without those 37 points added from a complete game, thereby putting a pitcher at a base score of 87 before strikeouts, hits, walks and runs, a candidate’s only real shot is to do something like strike out all 24 batters he sees over an eight-inning shutout performance (50+24+8+24 = 106). And if he’s literally that perfect through eight, a manager might lose his job if he doesn’t put the pitcher back out for the ninth. 一、投完整場:如果沒有完投的所帶來37分,一個投手能接近此境界的最可能方式就是 連續三振24人,並且在沒有任何安打保送失分下也就得106分。在一個投手當天真的那麼厲 害的情況下,若教頭第九局沒讓他續投可能會捲鋪蓋走人。 The 2019 season saw just 45 complete games -- down from 166 per year at the start of the decade -- and starting pitchers averaged roughly five innings per outing. 和上個十年初每年166場相比,整個2019球季僅45場完投,且平均每個先發投手只撐了大 約五局。 2) Go the distance … and keep the runs column clean: The four points subtracted for even a single earned run allowed is an automatic deal-breaker if you’re chasing Wood. The two-point penalty for an unearned run essentially is too, unless that run comes around to score completely via errors or hit-by-pitches. So you need a shutout, and last year, MLB pitchers combined for just 26 shutouts of any kind -- regardless of the number of strikeouts, hits and walks. Can you name the three pitchers who tied for the MLB lead with a whopping two shutouts apiece? 二、投完整場且無失分:如果你要追逐Wood的紀錄,即使你只失一自責分,其造成的四 投手分數損失基本上也就自動讓你喪失資格了。而一非自責分所造成的兩分損失也差不 多,除非那非自責分完完全全是由失誤或觸身球所導致。所以你基本上需要投出完封; 而不計三振、安打、保送數,去年大聯盟投手群一共只投出了26場完封。你能列出去年 投出了並列聯盟最多的兩場完封的三位投手嗎? 3) Strike nearly everyone out: While a complete game gets a pitcher’s score within 18 points of Wood’s 105, even a stellar 15-strikeout, no-walk no-hitter leaves a pitcher at just 102. One has to go for broke in the strikeout department -- and be economical while doing so. 三、幾乎全員三振:當你投出完投時就起碼87分,但就算你投出15三振、無安打無保送 也只讓你的分數來到102分。你必須使盡畢生三振功力—而且還得節省用球量。 There’s a reason why MLB has only seen five 20-strikeout, nine-inning performances. As MLB.com’s Andrew Simon explored a year ago this week, almost no one has hit the average checkpoint of even 15 strikeouts through seven innings since Max Scherzer’s 20-K night in 2016. And, even if you’re on pace, you’ll have to convince your manager to run up your pitch count; Wood needed 122 pitches to plow through the Astros in 1998, a season in which Cubs skipper Jim Riggleman let the rookie eclipse 120 pitches in eight different starts. Last year, Trevor Bauer was the only pitcher to go 120-plus in even half that many games. 大聯盟史上只出現五次九局20三振的表現是有原因的。根據Andrew Simon於一年前的此 時所做的研究,自從Max Scherzer於2016年投出單場20三振後就幾乎再也沒有人於七局 內投出15三振。而即使你有跟上進度,你也必須說服你的教頭讓你繼續燃燒投球量;當 年Wood用了122球力壓太空人,而該季小熊教頭Jim Riggleman讓這位菜鳥在八場先發中 投超過120球。而去年,Trevor Bauer是唯一一個投出四場用球量過120的投手。 Scherzer is Wood’s closest competitor over the past 22 years -- not for his 20-K game, but rather his 17-strikeout, no-walk no-hitter in the 2015 season finale against the Mets. Scherzer finished that day with a game score of 104 (50+27+10+17), coming oh-so-close. While there are only 16 100-plus-point game scores on record since 1904, MLB has actually seen a flurry of them in recent years -- including Justin Verlander’s 14-strikeout, one-walk no-hitter against the Blue Jays last September, and his former teammate Gerrit Cole’s 16-K, one-hit shutout against the D-backs in May 2018. Those might be the two most dominant regular-season games across the Majors in the past two seasons, and yet each one translated to a game score of “only” 100 -- still six points shy of surpassing Wood. 過去22年來唯一能挑戰Wood紀錄的競爭者是Scherzer,但我們說的並不是那場20三振的 比賽,而是他於2015年季末對上大都會隊的所投出17三振無安打無四死完封。Scherzer 該場的投手分數為就差那麼一丁點的104分。即使1904年來大聯盟史上只出現了16場投 手分數破百的比賽,這現象最近幾年倒是有蠢蠢欲動的趨勢—這包含了去年九月Justin Verlander對上藍鳥隊所投出的14三振一四壞無安打比賽,以及2018年五月由他的前隊 友Gerrit Cole對上響尾蛇隊所投出的16三振一安打比賽。這也許是大聯盟這兩年來最 具宰制力的兩場比賽,然而這兩場所對應到的投手分數都「只有」還差六分打破Wood紀 錄的100分。 We’ll certainly know if a pitcher ever does pass Wood, because he set the bar so high that the only possibilities left including something historic -- like a 20-strikeout no-hitter, or a record 21- or 22-K day to allow for the possibility of a stray hit or walk. Cole, Scherzer or Verlander might be capable of that, but even then it would require their absolute peak abilities on a given day. 由於Wood設下了如此高不可攀的障礙,我們可以想像如果一個投手要破此紀錄大概必須 投出些像是20三振無安打、或者在不小心挨一安或丟出四壞的情況下投個破紀錄的21、 22三振這樣的史詩級表現。Cole、Scherzer或Verlander也許有能力達成這目標,但條 件是他們在當天必須在絕對頂尖的狀態下投球。 Wood’s breakout day at Wrigley wasn’t just special in the moment; it might grow in stature even more as it withstands the test of time. And to think … if the ball off Orie’s glove had indeed been ruled an error, Wood’s game score might actually be insurmountable. Wood那天在Wrigley的生涯代表作絕對不只是僅在當下的一個特殊時刻;它的地位也許 會透過時間的考驗而更加崇高。想像一下,如果那擦過Orie手套的球被記為失誤,Wood 這場比賽的投手分數只會更加難以超越。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 74.79.252.131 (美國) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1588800264.A.4D6.html

05/07 06:40, 3年前 , 1F
Jim Riggleman那時候是GM不是教頭吧?教頭是有名的...
05/07 06:40, 1F
查了一下,那時候(1995-1999)的小熊教頭是Riggleman沒錯 Baker其實是03-06年間的小熊教頭 而Wood在2003年的32場先發裡有13場用球量120球(含)以上(最高有單場141球的) 總投球量也是這年最多(3543球) 連他生涯單季最多場先發(33場)的2002年總用球量也沒那麼多(3390球) 不過其實Wood在1999年就已經因為開TJ整季報銷過了 這大概導致2000-2002年間的用球量相對正常一點,只是2001年幾乎每場都110球上下在跑 補一下Wood在1998年及2000-2003年間的平均每場用球量分別為: 108.9、103.7、107.8、102.7、110.7

05/07 06:58, 3年前 , 2F
Baker
05/07 06:58, 2F

05/07 07:13, 3年前 , 3F
沙克斯
05/07 07:13, 3F

05/07 07:15, 3年前 , 4F
亡靈
05/07 07:15, 4F

05/07 08:00, 3年前 , 5F
這場真正恐怖的不是數據 殺人蜂基本上都在揮空氣就是被定住
05/07 08:00, 5F

05/07 08:00, 3年前 , 6F
看起來像職業選手在投高中生一樣的壓制
05/07 08:00, 6F

05/07 08:49, 3年前 , 7F
那是我搞錯了,抱歉
05/07 08:49, 7F

05/07 09:10, 3年前 , 8F
05/07 09:10, 8F

05/07 09:19, 3年前 , 9F
貝克街的
05/07 09:19, 9F

05/07 09:22, 3年前 , 10F
薩克斯風
05/07 09:22, 10F

05/07 09:27, 3年前 , 11F
Baker
05/07 09:27, 11F

05/07 09:46, 3年前 , 12F
淚推Wood
05/07 09:46, 12F

05/07 10:08, 3年前 , 13F
05/07 10:08, 13F

05/07 10:24, 3年前 , 14F
Chicago Cubs的youtube官網 還有一個關於這場比賽的影片
05/07 10:24, 14F

05/07 10:24, 3年前 , 15F

05/07 10:34, 3年前 , 16F
兩場100分的那一段,應該是說差6分就破Wood紀錄?
05/07 10:34, 16F
你說的沒錯

05/07 11:52, 3年前 , 17F
貝克襪子
05/07 11:52, 17F

05/07 13:45, 3年前 , 18F
最可惜的沒有顯示球速...
05/07 13:45, 18F

05/07 16:15, 3年前 , 19F
推聞果然出現baker sucks XD
05/07 16:15, 19F

05/07 17:10, 3年前 , 20F
這場尾勁真的猛
05/07 17:10, 20F

05/07 17:30, 3年前 , 21F
先發投手的極致了
05/07 17:30, 21F

05/07 17:45, 3年前 , 22F
Kerry Wood沒傷的話應該也是進名人堂了
05/07 17:45, 22F

05/07 17:54, 3年前 , 23F
傷到只能當終結者一兩年 後面後援也不行了QQ
05/07 17:54, 23F

05/07 18:13, 3年前 , 24F
推聞果然出現baker sucks XD
05/07 18:13, 24F

05/07 18:49, 3年前 , 25F
雖然沒辦法進名人堂,但他是永遠會被球迷記住的那一型
05/07 18:49, 25F

05/07 19:05, 3年前 , 26F
淚推
05/07 19:05, 26F

05/07 19:47, 3年前 , 27F
baker sucks
05/07 19:47, 27F

05/07 19:47, 3年前 , 28F
貝克吸
05/07 19:47, 28F

05/07 21:30, 3年前 , 29F
真心猛
05/07 21:30, 29F

05/07 21:43, 3年前 , 30F
貝克薩
05/07 21:43, 30F

05/08 00:22, 3年前 , 31F
05/08 00:22, 31F

05/08 04:48, 3年前 , 32F
"The statistics..., which in the 1980s..., and still
05/08 04:48, 32F

05/08 04:48, 3年前 , 33F
... today." - 單純指1980年代、現今都不包含觸身球。
05/08 04:48, 33F

05/08 04:54, 3年前 , 34F
glanced off... 應該比較接近 "擦過",例如:a glancing
05/08 04:54, 34F

05/08 04:54, 3年前 , 35F
punch, a glancing bullet。
05/08 04:54, 35F

05/08 04:58, 3年前 , 36F
"Wood在那天的...;畢竟他那天...。" - 和原文語意的落
05/08 04:58, 36F

05/08 04:58, 3年前 , 37F
差有點大,可以再想想看。
05/08 04:58, 37F
關於這段,翻譯的當下是沒有想到最完美的譯法 所以翻起來也許會有點詞不達意 若有更好的譯法會再作修正

05/08 11:06, 3年前 , 38F
昨天the show 才拿到他XD
05/08 11:06, 38F

05/08 12:14, 3年前 , 39F
QQ
05/08 12:14, 39F

05/08 15:18, 3年前 , 40F
baker sucks
05/08 15:18, 40F

05/08 16:49, 3年前 , 41F
難怪臉書今天跳出來 庫
05/08 16:49, 41F

05/08 17:57, 3年前 , 42F
BaKer SuCkS  ̄へ ̄
05/08 17:57, 42F

05/08 23:08, 3年前 , 43F
那天上帝突然想下凡來投場球…
05/08 23:08, 43F

05/09 02:17, 3年前 , 44F
未看先推,貝克吸
05/09 02:17, 44F
5/8補充: 19年前的今天(美國日期2001年5月8日) 那個R什麼J的大叔單場九局20三振,但比賽最後打到延長賽 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPwfLuT8vhQ
※ 編輯: blackpanther (74.79.252.131 美國), 05/09/2020 03:10:15

05/09 08:19, 3年前 , 45F
當時的鄉民好像不喊喊貝克就不算專業球迷
05/09 08:19, 45F

05/09 08:19, 3年前 , 46F
貝克吸
05/09 08:19, 46F

05/09 13:43, 3年前 , 47F
貝克薩克斯風
05/09 13:43, 47F

05/09 19:02, 3年前 , 48F
Baker
05/09 19:02, 48F

05/11 13:23, 3年前 , 49F
05/11 13:23, 49F
文章代碼(AID): #1Uioi8JM (MLB)
文章代碼(AID): #1Uioi8JM (MLB)