[情報] ESPN FA價碼預測 期中對答案

看板MLB (美國職棒/大聯盟)作者 (無無)時間2年前 (2021/12/03 20:21), 2年前編輯推噓20(2004)
留言24則, 21人參與, 2年前最新討論串1/1
ESPN專家Kiley McDaniel 之前有寫一篇預測FA價碼,就來對一下答案吧xd #1XYIig6f (MLB) 畢竟最近不會有新進度了QQ Kiley McDaniel's 2021-22 MLB free agent rankings https://reurl.cc/q1XA3N 2.Corey Seager, SS Projected contract: 7 years, $210 million (30 AAV) 實際: 10 years, $325 million (32.5 AAV) 5.Marcus Semien, SS Projected contract: 5 years, $110 million (22 AAV) 實際: 7 years, $175 million (25 AAV) 6. Kevin Gausman, RHP Projected contract: 5 years, $105 million (21 AAV) 實際: 5 years, $110 million (22 AAV) 7. Max Scherzer, RHP Projected contract: 3 years, $90 million (30 AAV) 實際: 3 years, $130 million (43 AAV) 9. Robbie Ray, LHP Projected contract: 4 years, $76 million (19 AAV) 實際: 5 years, $115 million (23 AAV) 10. Starling Marte, CF Projected contract: 4 years, $68 million (17 AAV) 實際: 4 years, $78 million (19.5 AAV) 11. Javier Baez, SS Projected contract: 1 year, $25 million 實際: 6 years, $140 million (23.3 AAV) 16. Eduardo Rodriguez, LHP Projected contract: 3 years, $51 million (17 AAV) 實際: 5 years, $77 million (15.4 AAV) 18. Marcus Stroman, RHP Projected contract: 3 years, $48 million (16 AAV) 實際: 3 years, $71 million (23.6 AAV) 19. Avisail Garcia, OF Projected contract: 3 years, $45 million (15 AAV) 實際: 4 years, $53 million (13.25 AAV) 20. Raisel Iglesias, RHP Projected contract: 3 years, $45 million (15 AAV) 實際: 4 years, $58 million (14.5 AAV) 22. Chris Taylor, UTL Projected contract: 3 years, $39 million (13 AAV) 實際: 4 years, $60 million (15 AAV) 23. Jon Gray, RHP Projected contract: 3 years, $39 million (13 AAV) 實際: 4 years, $56 million (14 AAV) 24. Anthony DeSclafani, RHP Projected contract: 3 years, $36 million (12 AAV) 實際: 3 years, $36 million (12 AAV) 25. Mark Canha, OF Projected contract: 2 years, $28 million (14 AAV) 實際: 2 years, $26.5 million (13.25 AAV) 26. Noah Syndergaard, RHP Projected contract: 2 years, $28 million (14 AAV) 實際: 1 years, $21 million 27. Kendall Graveman, RHP Projected contract: 3 years, $27 million (9 AAV) 實際: 3 years, $24 million (8 AAV) 28. Steven Matz, LHP Projected contract: 2 years, $25 million (12.5 AAV) 實際: 4 years, $44 million (11 AAV) 29. Brandon Belt, 1B Projected contract: 2 years, $25 million (12.5 AAV) 實際: 1 years, $18.4 million 32. Alex Wood, LHP Projected contract: 2 years, $22 million (11 AAV) 實際: 2 years, $25 million (12.5 AAV) 34. Justin Verlander, RHP Projected contract: 1 year, $18.4 million 實際: 2 years, $50 million (25 AAV) 37. Eduardo Escobar, 3B Projected contract: 2 years, $15 million (7.5 AAV) 實際: 2 years, $20 million (10 AAV) 38. Aaron Loup, LHP Projected contract: 2 years, $14 million (7 AAV) 實際: 2 years, $17 million (8.5 AAV) 39. Alex Cobb, RHP Projected contract: 2 years, $14 million (7 AAV) 實際: 2 years, $20 million (10 AAV) 45. Corey Kluber, RHP Projected contract: 1 year, $10 million 實際: 1 years, $8 million 46. Andrew Heaney, LHP Projected contract: 1 year, $10 million 實際: 1 years, $8.5 million 48. Yan Gomes, C Projected contract: 1 year, $8.5 million 實際: 2 years, $13 million (6.5 AAV) -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 61.231.198.229 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1638534115.A.B4C.html ※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 20:23:26

12/03 20:24, 2年前 , 1F
Kluber $8MM
12/03 20:24, 1F
啊啊 感謝 ※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 20:26:08

12/03 20:26, 2年前 , 2F
前幾個全部超過預測 扯
12/03 20:26, 2F
這份預測都偏低啊 ※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 20:27:03 ※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 20:28:44

12/03 20:47, 2年前 , 3F
一個神命中
12/03 20:47, 3F

12/03 22:25, 2年前 , 4F
通膨。。
12/03 22:25, 4F

12/03 22:54, 2年前 , 5F
一個全中 但大部分都溢價
12/03 22:54, 5F
我倒覺得是這位專家低估行情欸 老大他都只估5yr/90M AAV18M 了欸XD

12/03 22:55, 2年前 , 6F
封館有差 制服組也想放價
12/03 22:55, 6F

12/03 23:02, 2年前 , 7F
除了25、27、45、46外,其他不是年薪更高就是合約更長。
12/03 23:02, 7F

12/03 23:06, 2年前 , 8F
巴耶子天差地遠阿
12/03 23:06, 8F

12/03 23:16, 2年前 , 9F
一串看下來還是覺得雷神的約很爛
12/03 23:16, 9F

12/03 23:17, 2年前 , 10F
被封館搞到都overpaid
12/03 23:17, 10F
※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 23:24:16

12/03 23:42, 2年前 , 11F
雷神畢竟太久沒投球了。
12/03 23:42, 11F

12/04 00:52, 2年前 , 12F
雷神要拚這一年 換大約 他實在太不健康了 長約很難給
12/04 00:52, 12F

12/04 01:18, 2年前 , 13F
今年勞方大勝利 很多坦隊開始花錢了
12/04 01:18, 13F

12/04 02:07, 2年前 , 14F
這份本來的預測就太低 Kiley本業是做新秀的 這預測
12/04 02:07, 14F

12/04 02:07, 2年前 , 15F
價碼根本是好幾年前的價位了...
12/04 02:07, 15F
這份真的有點亂估XD

12/04 06:08, 2年前 , 16F
這中間好幾個都不可能簽這麼低啊
12/04 06:08, 16F

12/04 10:07, 2年前 , 17F
只有6. 24. 25. 27.比較準
12/04 10:07, 17F

12/04 10:28, 2年前 , 18F
Lorenzen原本估多少啊?我很好奇
12/04 10:28, 18F
他沒進前五十名FA啊XD 沒估 ※ 編輯: zxc906383 (220.129.200.116 臺灣), 12/04/2021 10:30:31

12/04 11:04, 2年前 , 19F
Cashman 派來的吧
12/04 11:04, 19F

12/04 11:10, 2年前 , 20F
今年投手明顯漲價 這漲幅要預料中也不容易
12/04 11:10, 20F

12/04 12:21, 2年前 , 21F
好吧 雖然不太意外
12/04 12:21, 21F

12/04 15:08, 2年前 , 22F
12/04 15:08, 22F

12/04 19:39, 2年前 , 23F
12/04 19:39, 23F

12/04 22:45, 2年前 , 24F
好像只看後援投手算準 其他的沒什麼參考價值
12/04 22:45, 24F
文章代碼(AID): #1XgWlZjC (MLB)
文章代碼(AID): #1XgWlZjC (MLB)