[討論] Sickels on 訐譙龍
Prospect Retro: Howie Kendrick
by John Sickels on Sep 3, 2008 9:54 AM PDT
Howie Kendrick was drafted by the Angels in the 10th round in 2002, out of St.
John's River Community College in Florida. His pro debut was a success:
.318/.368/.408 in the Arizona Rookie League, with 12 steals. He drew just seven
walks, but fanned only 11 times in 157 at-bats. I didn't rate many short-season
players back then, but a similar player now would get something like a "Grade C
with higher potential" rating due to the very low strikeout rate.
好姨是我們2002年第10輪選進來的,在短期 Arizona Rookie League的
157 個打數,三圍 .318/.368/.408,盜壘 12 次,7 個保送,但僅
僅吃了 11 次三振。因為極低的三振率,以現在標準來說,Sickles
會把他評為潛力股的 Grade C。
Kendrick moved up to the Pioneer League in 2003, hitting .368/.434/.517 for
Provo. He got attention from scouts for his excellent contact hitting skills,
though doubts were raised about his defense. I gave him a Grade C+ in the 2004
book, writing that I wasn't sure where he'd fit glove-wise, but that the bat
looked good.
訐譙龍2003進入先鋒聯盟,三圍.368/.434/.517,因為 contact 技巧
很好而受到球探的矚目。 Sickles 在 2004 的 prospect book 給他等
級 C+,評語是打擊佳,但是守備能力未定。
Moved up to Low-A Cedar Rapids in 2004, Kendrick hit .367/.398/.578, which are
terrific numbers anywhere but especially in the Midwest League, not an easy
place to hit. His walk rate remained quite low, but he didn't strike out much
and the production was impossible to ignore. He also improved defensively. I
gave him a Grade B+ in the 2005 book, rating him as an excellent prospect.
到了低階 A 的麥子隊,在對打者不友善的環境下打出 .367/.398/.578
的亮眼三圍。雖然保送率仍然頗低,但三振也不多;此外在守備上也有
所進步。 2005 的 prospect book 評為極佳的 prospect,等級 B+。
Kendrick began 2005 with Rancho Cucamonga in the California League, hitting
.384/.421/.638. Promoted to Double-A at midseason, he continued ripping the
ball without missing a beat at a .342/.382/.579 clip. He stole 25 bases on the
season, and while he walked just 20 times, he also struck out just 62 times in
469 at-bats while hitting 43 doubles and 19 homers. About the only negative was
some problems turning the double play. I gave him a Grade A-, rating him as a
future star and ranking him the number 10 hitting prospect in baseball.
2005年訐譙龍從 high-A 的地震隊出發,打出.384/.421/.638。季中升
上 2A 後,棒子絲毫沒有降溫,繼續繳出 .342/.382/.579 的成績單。
469 個打數中,擊出43個二安和19發全壘打;有25次盜壘,只有 20 個
保送和 62 K。唯一的缺點在於雙殺守備有些問題。所以 06 的 book 把
他評為打擊新秀第 10 名,等級 A- 。
He followed that up by hitting .369/.408/.631 in 69 games of Triple-A in 2006,
then .285/.314/.416 in the majors. He hit .322/.347/.450 in 2007 with the
Angels, then .308/.334/.428 this year. He's a .306/.333/.432 hitter overall in
the majors.
Kendrick hardly ever walks, but his strikeout rate is low and he has an unusual
ability to make hard contact even on pitches most hitters shouldn't swing at.
The biggest difficulty he faces is staying healthy, which is becoming a
persistent problem. If he can avoid major health issues, Kendrick will contend
for batting titles in the coming years. But that's a big IF.
訐譙龍的確很少撿到保送,然而三振率也相當低。即使一般打者根本不會
揮擊的球,他也有本事打得相當結實。訐譙龍一直以來健康有些問題,如
果沒有重大的傷病,未來幾年他將會在角逐打擊王頭銜之列--但健康與否
就是最大的問題所在。
ps.附一下 BR 訐譙龍的成績:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/k/kendrho01.shtml
===
我比較好奇的是,好姨在小聯盟每季 300 ~ 400 多個 PA 都可以幹個
10 幾發本,但是為什麼上來以後好像這項能力一直還沒表現出來呢...?
我認為以他的能力,每季產個十來二十發應該不成問題的呀.. orz
--
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