[農場] Prospect Profile: Braves Pitcher Kris Medlen
http://www.baseball-intellect.com/scouting-kris-medlen/
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Prospect Profile: Braves Pitcher Kris Medlen
One prospect previously lost in the shuffle of top Atlanta Braves pitching
prospects is Kris Medlen. Not anymore.
Medlen first caught my eye in 2007, when he was used out of the bullpen.
Clean mechanics, solid fastball, plus curve, good control…an intelligent
pitcher. However, reliever prospects don’t get much attention because of the
sheer number of them, plus the fact that a team can always shift a starter
prospect into the bullpen, which makes it even harder for a reliever prospect
to standout.
So I was intrigued when the Braves went ahead with plans to make Medlen a
starter, a move with a much worse rate of success compared to moving starters
to the bullpen. Medlen ended up thriving…his numbers as a starter resembled
what he put up in the bullpen. In fact, they were probably better.
Medlen has continued his success as a starter early on this season. His
numbers have been spectacular thus far:
34.5 K%, 6.4 BB%, .266 BABIP, 0 HRs, 1.17 ERA
Stuff
Medlen has a quality three-pitch mix — a better than average fastball, a
plus curveball, and a solid-average change-up. The development of his
change-up has been key to his success as a starter.
Medlen does a good job of mixing his pitches and keeping hitters guessing. He
generates plenty of swings and misses with his curveball, which looks like a
high fastball coming out of his hands. He manipulates the pitch, able to
throw it for strikes or put in the dirt. He’s also able to add or subtract
velocity to the pitch. Below is Medlen’s fastball (left) and curveball
(right):
Medlen controls all his pitches well, but he often gets too much of the
plate, making him somewhat hittable. While all his pitches will play at the
big league level, he doesn’t have a dominance factor like many of the elite
pitchers do. He’s not going to blow hitters away with his fastball. He has
to use his intelligence to his advantage.
Mechanics
Medlen’s mechanics are a nice balance between power and safety. He keeps a
short arm action, giving his pitches some deception. His tempo is fairly
average, but he generates good separation between his torso and hips, which
helps him produce solid velocity. He’s generally able to get over his front
leg, but there are times when he ends up pitching uphill.
Medlen projects to be a potential No. 3 starter, but will more likely settle
in as a strong No. 4. If starting doesn’t work out, there will always be a
role out of the bullpen to fall back on.
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