[情報] Future Redbirds Top 20: 16-20
You’ve waited long enough. Ranking time is finally here. Today we start with
the bottom five, and we’ll be rolling out another five tomorrow before we
break for Christmas. From there, we’ll pick up where we left off and have
this thing wrapped up before the New Year. Without further ado…
===============================================================================
#20 - Adam Ottavino - Age: 23*
Rank: erik - #19, roarke - N/A, azruavatar - #20
2008: (AA) 115.1 IP, 95K/52BB, 45% GB, 5.10 FIP
Player Comment: Well that was rough. We’re willing to give Ottavino some
benefit of the doubt, as the jump from the Florida State League to the Texas
League can be a tough one, and in an attempt to rediscover his “classic
mechanics” this spring, Adam found himself in a mess instead. Sent to the
Arizona Fall League to right the ship, he pitched a little better than his
numbers would indicate. Ottavino needs to find some consistency and regain
his confidence. ~erik
Ottavino was drafted because of his fastball and decent but unrefined
secondary stuff. The fastball has been hampered by injuries and, as a
result, the strikeouts and ground balls are declining as he advances.
Ottavino likes to run his 4-seam fastball up on batters and is best when he’
s striking batters out. What the strikeouts and walks next season to see if
he can regain his footing and status within the organization. ~azruavatar
#19 - Fernando Salas - Age: 23
Rank: erik - #18, roarke - #19, azruavatar - N/A
2008: (AA) 74 IP, 100K/16BB, 41% GB, 3.48 FIP
Player Comment: I have a confession to make: every single time I write about
either Salas or Francisco Samuel, I have to look them up to figure out which
is which. They are very similar: right-handed relievers being used as a
closer with high strikeout rates. What separates them (besides the fact that
Salas has played at a level higher than Samuel) is that Salas has a stellar
walk rate to go with his good strikeout rate. If he is able to maintain
those rates going forward, he is assured of having a role in the major league
bullpen. ~roarke
#18 - Lance Lynn - Age: 21
Rank: erik - #17, roarke - N/A, azruavatar - #19
2008: (A-) 18.2 IP, 22K/4BB, 41% GB, 2.05 FIP
(A) 8 IP, 7K/2BB, 38% GB, 5.93 FIP
Player Comment: Lynn perfectly fits what the Cardinals look for in a pitcher
when it comes to draft day: Successful college pitcher? Check. Durable?
Check. Clean mechanics? Check. Lynn is considered by the wisdom of the
experts to be a safer bet to reach the majors than his predecessors, (read:
Ottavino, Mortensen) because of his feel for his four pitch repertoire that
includes a 89-92 MPH fastball, an above average curve, slider, and change.
Like most Cardinal starters in the system, Lynn’s upside is limited, but if
he can develop a third pitch he could be a solid #3. ~erik
#17 - Tyler Herron - Age: 22
Rank: erik - N/A, roarke - #16, azruavatar - #18
2008: (A+) 62 IP, 46K/14BB, 49% GB, 3.85 FIP
(AA) 81.1 IP, 59K/29BB, 44% GB, 4.81 FIP
Player Comment: Herron was in our top ten last year after two consecutive
solid seasons in the low minor leagues. His success continued at Palm Beach
to start the season last year, but then he struggled after moving up to
Springfield, which shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise for a 21 year
old pitching for the first time in AA (in a good hitting environment in
Springfield, to boot). I still feel like he has a lot of upside and his fall
down our prospect board might say as much about the improving state of the
Cardinals system as it does my faith in his potential. ~roarke
Herron is more of a “one step at a time” prospect that was moved too
quickly. Numerous reports said that his velocity was down and the normal
sharpness of his breaking ball wasn’t there this past season. We’ll see if
he can rebound, hopefully the Cards will take it slower with him going
forward. ~erik
#16 - Tyler Henley - Age: 23
Rank: erik - N/A, roarke - #17, azruavatar - #16
2008: (A+) 367 PAs, .280/.341/.438, .331 wOBA
Player Comment:
Henley’s 2008 campaign was shortened due to injuries but it should be
reminiscent of another prospect’s season two years ago - Jon Jay’s 2007
season. These players are remarkably similar showing a broad range of skills
but lacking the star making power that so many look for in players. Henley
is an above average centerfielder with average or better power, good contact
skills, an acceptable walk rate and potential to refine his skill set in the
future. He’s another left-handed bat buried deep in the system behind the
likes of Rasmus, Jones and Jay but he projects as an everyday centerfielder
in the future. ~azruavatar
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12/29 22:39, 1F
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