[農場] John Sickels Top 20 Prospects for 2012
1) Zach Lee, RHP, Grade B+: His statistical performance in the Midwest League
was solid rather than spectacular, but I like the combination of present
stuff and projection. Future number two starter if all goes well.
2) Nate Eovaldi, RHP, Grade B, Borderline B+. He made huge progress last
year, although his major league K/BB ratio was poor and indicates he still
needs some refinement. He would probably better off pitching out of the major
league bullpen than going to Albuquerque if he doesn't make the rotation in
spring training.
3) Allen Webster, RHP, Grade B: Some rough patches in Double-A prevent a B+
in my mind, but he looks like another solid mid-rotation starter.
4) Garrett Gould, RHP, Grade B: I may be overpartial to pitchers from the
Midwest, but I like the progress he made last year, regaining his velocity
from high school. Like the guys above him, he looks like a future workhorse
starter to me.
5) Alfredo Silverio, OF, Grade B-, borderline B: It took him a long time to
develop skills to make his tools meaningful, and he still has issues with the
strike zone and using his speed on the bases, but progress has been real and
he's the best position prospect in the system. Should put up huge numbers in
Albuquerque even if his underlying skills don't improve.
6) Chris Reed, LHP, Grade B-, borderline B: They'll need to proceed with some
caution as they transition Stanford product from relief to starting, but I
like his chances to develop into a number three starter.
7) Josh Lindblom, RHP, Grade B-: Horrible in 2010, much better in 2011, an
example of why teams are loathe to give up on pitchers with live arms. Should
have a fine career in the bullpen, could get a chance to start again at some
point given assortment of pitches.
8) Chris Withrow, RHP, Grade B-: He has just as much talent as the
right-handers ahead of him, but is still more thrower than pitcher. The huge
leaps that Eovaldi and Lindblom made last year show what can happen when
something clicks, and Withrow could be next.
9) Joc Pederson, OF, Grade B-: Very attractive combination of tools and
skills. Grade could be much higher next year if he can hit outside the
Pioneer League.
10) Angel Sanchez, RHP, Grade B-: Made his pro debut at age 21 in the Midwest
League. Live arm, and yet another guy who could be a mid-rotation starter if
his secondary pitches develop properly.
11) Gorman Erickson, C, Grade C+: Sleeper catching prospect is more
interesting to me than Tim Federowicz. Erickson's glove is solid, he has
terrific plate discipline and some power potential, and is nine months
younger.
12) Angelo Songco, 1B-OF, Grade C+: Huge power numbers in the California
League, but has problems against lefties and is shifting the wrong way on the
defensive spectrum. Double-A performance will be instructive, should tell us
if he's a future starter or a role player.
13) Blake Smith, OF, Grade C+: Another college bat that mashed in the
California League with big power numbers but needs to prove himself at higher
levels. More defensive value than Songco, good throwing arm, but a year older.
14) Shawn Tolleson, RHP, Grade C+: Most impressive (after Lindblom) of
several live arms that should get a shot in the bullpen within the next year.
15) Aaron Miller, LHP, Grade C+: Forgotten man after losing most of the
season with a hernia, but he still has solid stuff from the left side and
could blossom with better health and some adjustments with his command.
16) Alex Castellanos, OF-INF, Grade C+: Acquired from the Cardinals. Older
prospect at age 25 but has some pop in his bat, runs well, and is versatile
with the glove.
17) Scott Van Slyke, OF-1B, Grade C+: Devastatingly effective in the Southern
League (.348, 20 homers, 45 doubles) and good bloodlines, but tools are
mediocre, he's 25, isn't a great fielder, and scout aren't sure he can catch
up with major league pitching. If he keeps hitting like this they will find a
place.
18) Jonathan Garcia, OF, Grade C+: Hit just .228 in the Midwest League, but
with 19 homers and didn't turn 20 years old until last month. Improvements in
plate discipline could result in a breakout in the Cal League.
19) Steve Ames, RHP, Grade C+: Another live-armed bullpen candidate who can
emerge in the next year or two.
20) Jake Lemmerman, SS, Grade C+: Scuffled with strike zone in Double-A, but
has average tools across the board, some pop, and is praised for his makeup.
OTHERS: Michael Antonini, LHP; James Baldwin, OF; Logan Bawcom, RHP; Justin
Boudreaux, SS: Ralston Cash, RHP; O'Koyea Dickson, 1B; Eric Eadington, LHP;
Tim Federowicz, C; Stephen Fife, RHP; Leon Landry, OF; Ethan Martin, RHP;
Pratt Maynard, C; Scott McGough, RHP; Chris O'Brien, C; Ryan O'Sullivan, RHP;
Red Patterson, RHP (a sleeper); Juan Rodriguez, RHP; Kyle Russell, OF; Alex
Santana, 3B; Scott Schebler, OF; Josh Wall, RHP.
The Dodgers farm system isn't in terrific condition, but it's not bad,
either. They have good strength in right-handed starting pitching: Lee,
Eovaldi, Webster, Gould, Sanchez, and Withrow could all develop into
workhorse starters and perhaps more. Lee has the best projection and gets the
highest grade, but all of these guys have the stuff to succeed, if they stay
healthy, of course. There are also several impressive relief arms, beginning
with Josh Lindblom who has already shown what he can do in the majors. Keep a
close eye on sleeper prospect Red Patterson, who I might bump up to a C+.
Chris Reed and the now-overlooked Aaron Miller provide some southpaw balance
as potential mid-rotation starters. Lefty efficiency specialist Mike Antonini
is a Grade C type, but was added to the 40-man roster and has the potential
to be a surprise. Guys like him sometimes pitch better with a major league
defense behind them than they do in the minors, at least in short stretches.
The system is a lot weaker with position players. There are some exciting
tools guys (Baldwin stands out) in the organization, but only Silverio and
Pederson have shown much polish, the former after a long struggle. Pederson
could have the highest grade a year from now if he performs well in
full-season ball. There is a group of interesting power hitters (Songco,
Smith, Van Slyke, Russell, possibly Dickson) who put up big numbers, but have
flaws in their approach, are old for the level, or lack the tools to interest
scouts. They should at least get a role player out of that group, although
which one it will be is hard to say. Catching prospect Gorman Erickson needs
a lot more attention than he's received. Baseball America loves Tim
Federowicz. I respect his glove and he'll have a long career, but I don't see
his bat being good enough for him to get beyond role player status.
Overall, the system is in fairly decent condition, although the low-budget
2011 draft and lack of aggression on the international market will take a
toll if the financial situation isn't rectified quickly. It only takes a bad
year or two of weak acquisitions to gut a system, and it is easier to ruin an
organization than build one.
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/12/5/2612837/los-angeles-dodgers-top-20-prospects-for-2012
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