[外電] Walker Kessler交易案評價 湖人C+ 爵士A
看板Lakers (洛杉磯 湖人)作者vigilante666 (vigilante666)時間3周前 (2026/07/02 20:22)推噓398(404推 6噓 949→)留言1359則, 119人參與討論串1/1
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Walker Kessler trade grades: Lakers get C+ in massive, albeit necessary, overp
ay; Jazz play it perfectly
Walker Kessler交易案評價：
湖人得到C+ 儘管得到夢寐以求的長人但付出代價過高
爵士得到A 只能說爵士這一波操作漂亮
The Los Angeles Lakers are trading for Utah Jazz restricted free-agent center
Walker Kessler to pair with Luka Doncic, according to ESPN. Kessler is expecte
d to sign a four-year, $130 million deal with Los Angeles.
湖人從爵士交易來凱子樂，解決了Doncic心心念念的A級中峰難題。同時凱子樂也預計會
和湖人簽下4年總值1.3億美金的合約。
The Jazz are reportedly getting back unprotected first-round picks in 2031 and
2033 and first-round swaps in 2028 and 2030.
作為回報，爵士從湖人得到31和33年的無保護首輪選秀權以及28和30年的首輪互換權。
The Lakers created a massive hole at center the moment they traded for Doncic.
While the deal itself was a home run, it cost them Anthony Davis, and since h
is only backup at the time was Jaxson Hayes, they had little size to work with
immediately after completing the deal. They acted swiftly at the trade deadli
ne to pursue a long-term big man, trading several draft assets to the Charl
otte Hornets in exchange for Mark Williams, but once they got a look at Willia
ms up close in his physical exam, they elected to nix the deal.
自從湖人交易來77後，中鋒的大洞就一直沒有得到填補。雖然77的交易本身非常成功，但
湖人還是付出了AD。當時在AD離開之後，禁區人選只剩下海爺，因此湖人不得不趕緊補進
另一名禁區人選。最終他們選擇和黃蜂交易來馬威，儘管後面的故事大家都知道了，湖人
進一步審視馬威的體檢報告之後認為交易風險過高，因此選擇撤回交易。
Last offseason, they signed Deandre Ayton, hoping that the former No. 1 overal
l pick could be their center of the future. While Ayton improved throughout th
e season, his inconsistent defense, rebounding and effort made him more of a s
topgap than a true solution. With the potential to create genuine max cap spac
e this offseason, the Lakers made it their top priority to find a big to pair
with Doncic.
上賽季休賽期，湖人找來頓寶，希望他可以成為湖人長期的中鋒解答。雖說頓寶上賽季的
進步有目共睹，但是他在防守端、籃板以及比賽投入程度的時不時力不從心，注定他只能
成為湖人中鋒的過渡而非解答。隨著這個休賽期湖人有更多的薪資空間去追求心意的人選
，湖人也終於迎來他們的解答。
In Kessler, the Lakers are taking a chance on a player they have been linked t
o for several years now. Kessler is, statistically, one of the most dominant r
im-protectors in the NBA. He is an elite offensive rebounder as well, and whil
e the volume is tiny, there have at least been flashes of his potential as a 3
-point shooter. He is offensively limited, but is going from a Jazz team that
has largely never had strong veteran point guards to a Laker team led by Donci
c. He has room to grow on that end of the floor, though his 54.5% shooting f
rom the free-throw line is a significant red flag.
凱子樂在過去的幾個賽季都有和湖人傳出過乳摸。數據上來看，凱子樂是當今NBA護框能
力數一數二的佼佼者。除了他搶進攻籃板也非常出色以外，雖然樣本數還有點小，但是他
逐漸開發出來的3分能力也值得期待。雖說乍看之下凱子樂的進攻能力較爲平庸，但需要
注意的是他在爵士時從未和77這樣的頂尖控球大師搭配過。進攻端或許凱子樂還是有持續
成長以及開發的可能，但是他54.5%的罰球命中率或許是另一個值得討論的地方。
The Jazz, meanwhile, are about to turn a corner from perpetual rebuilder to po
ssible Western Conference contender. However, after re-signing Lauri Markkanen
to a max contract in the 2024 offseason and then acquiring Jaren Jackson Jr.
at the trade deadline, they have quite a bit of money invested in their front
court. Couple those investments with a rookie extension for Keyonte George, wh
o is now eligible for one, and the Utah roster was about to get pretty expensi
ve if they kept Kessler.
反觀爵士則透過上賽季的一系列操作以及這筆凱子樂交易案，從西區的魚腩球隊準備翻身
一躍成為有力競爭者。爵士在24年和Markkanen簽下的延長合約，以及賽季中交易來的JJJ
，都注定他們很難繼續在前場上投入更多成本。同時Keyonte George也快要開始談延長，
如果再重金留下凱子樂，勢必會遇到更多困難。
Lakers: C+
Lakers had to make the deal, but paid the price to do so.
本次交易湖人評級C+
雖然他們不得不買進A級中鋒，但代價有點過高
This is a huge commitment to Kessler and shows the belief the Lakers have in h
im as the ideal center to pair with their star backcourt of Luka Doncic and Au
stin Reaves. The Lakers were desperate to land the kind of center Don i h
as been clamoring for since he arrived and they paid a hefty price to make it
happen.
這次的交易以及後續的簽約說明湖人非常相信凱子樂的能力。他們相信凱子樂就是可以長
期和夫妻連線一起打球的中鋒解答。自從77來到湖人之後，他們就一直渴望得到凱子樂這
種等級的中鋒。但湖人也確實付出了許多代價。
In a vacuum, $130 million, two unprotected firsts and two pick swaps is a lot
for Walker Kessler. I am skeptical there's much more of a ceiling for him than
what we've already seen, and when you add in the injury issues, there is some
real risk here for Los Angeles. A lot of people will see that and grade this
even more poorly than I am, but I can at least see the vision (and the spin) f
rom the Lakers' side.
簡單來說，1.3億美金、兩個首輪選秀權、兩個首輪互換，對於得到凱子樂來說是一個過
高的代價。我非常懷疑凱子樂後續還是否有更多的成長空間。如果把傷病因素一起考慮進
來，湖人的風險又進一步提升了。可能會有很多人給出比我給出的C+更低的評價，但那是
因為我可以看到湖人對於未來的藍圖規劃。
That said, the best way to explain this for the Lakers is to view it in combin
ation with the Doncic trade. Now, the assets you spent all make sense. They we
re able to acquire Don i without having to expend much of any draft capital
, so to keep him happy and get him his preferred center, it's fine to overpay.
There was real pressure on L.A. to get Kessler (or Jalen Duren, who was even
less available as a restricted free agent in Detroit) and they weren't about t
o go through another summer trying to paper over the hole in their frontcourt.
也就是說，我們只能夠把這筆交易案和77的交易案合併在一起看。如果這麼做的話那麼湖
人所付出的資產或許就比較合理一點了。因為在77交易案中湖人並沒有過多的去透支未來
的選秀資產，因此在凱子樂的交易案當中去做到溢價買進Kessler，以此來讓77開心讓他
打球舒服，是湖人所認為必須要去完成的事情。湖人是有壓力要得到A級中鋒的（凱子樂
、渡輪），他們也不希望在這個休賽期再度一無所獲。
On the court, the fit makes sense. Kessler isn't the bouncy athlete that Donci
c loved playing with in Dereck Lively II, but a strong screener and big lob
target who doesn't need (or even want) the ball in any other scenario is the i
deal offensive pairing for Luka -- and Austin Reaves. Defensively, the Lakers
desperately need a rim protector to anchor things in the paint, given the limi
tations of their backcourt, and Kessler will give them that.
球場上來看，一切都沒什麼問題。或許凱子樂並不是77適配的Derek Lively那個類型的跳
跳人，但他是一個紮實的擋拆掩體，同時也是極大的空接威脅。同時他也不需要球權，這
對於在77以及AR身邊打球再適合不過。防守上來看，湖人迫切需要一名球員來護框，同時
考量到他們後場球員的防守強度，或許凱子樂需要在防守上給湖人帶去更多。
The task for J.J. Redick is optimizing the Lakers' defensive strategy to maxim
ize Kessler's abilities on that end. Expect a heavy dose of drop coverage to k
eep Kessler near the rim, where he's most effective, and the Lakers will need
to figure out how to scramble coverages and be crisp with switching and commun
icating to keep him close to the paint.
JJ新賽季的任務，就是在最大化凱子樂的能力的同時，也讓湖人在防守端的效果達到最大
。新賽季我們可能會看到凱子樂更多的沉退到禁區去做更多的護框，這也是他防守端最有
效率的方式。而湖人則是要找到如何破解對手透過換防把凱子樂往外拉的問題。
The problem for the Lakers? Given how much money they've now committed to Donc
ic, Reaves and Kessler, that trio has to be good enough to win a championship
with filler around them. They've exhausted their resources to put this group t
ogether and there won't be many opportunities to add high-end talent beyond th
at trio.
對於湖人來說一個更大的問題，就是他們在夫妻連線以及凱子樂身上已經投入了大把鈔票
。這個三人組必須要發揮足夠的好，才能夠在只帶著一票綠葉球員的情況下贏得總冠軍。
他們已經透支了所有的資產來促成這個組合，短期內已經沒有其他辦法可以再幫他們找來
更多有力的幫手。
Rob Pelinka is now all-in on this group and the pressure is on to bring an 18t
h title to L.A. with this core. They will need those three to hit their absolu
te ceilings to make that happen, and color me skeptical that this is a roster
good enough to deliver.
佩佩豬已經梭哈了全部的資產來追逐湖人隊史的第18座總冠軍。這個三人組必須每個人都
超常發揮，湖人離總冠軍才會越來越近。但我還是對湖人能夠以這樣的陣容贏得總冠軍感
到懷疑。
Jazz: A
Utah continues stockpiling draft picks in perfectly played negotiations.
本次交易爵士評級A
爵士持續透過精妙的談判手腕累積未來選秀資產
The Jazz played this incredibly well -- with an assist from the Detroit Piston
s. They set their line with Kessler in extension talks and didn't budge, and w
ith the Pistons making it clear they were going to match anything on Jalen Dur
en as well, the Lakers had to pay big to prevent Utah from doing the same. Kes
sler had been in trade rumors for more than a year and the Jazz never had to t
ake a discount to move off of him -- or sign him to a deal they didn't want.
爵士這波操作真的不錯，但也算是得益於活塞的助攻啦。他們在和凱子樂談延長的時候堅
守底線而且不肯做出任何退讓。而在活塞明確表態他們會匹配任何一支球隊對渡輪的任何
報價之後，湖人就不得不付出更多，來防止爵士和活塞一樣強硬。凱子樂從兩個賽季前就
已經陷入交易流言，而爵士也從來不打算賤賣他，或是在凱子樂的合約上overpay。
Getting two unprotected firsts way down the road in 2031 and 2033 is big. Whil
e the Lakers tend to just roll from one star to the next, those are the most v
aluable of L.A.'s available picks. Utah keeps stockpiling quality draft assets
, with an incoming first-round pick or swap rights in six of the next seven dr
afts -- 2032 is the only one without. Swaps can be a bit of fool's gold, but t
hey are still valuable trade assets and this deal opens up more avenues for Ut
ah to acquire players both through the draft and in trades.
從湖人得到31和33兩個首輪籤對爵士來說非常重要。湖人持續梭哈選秀權換來明星完成品
，但代價是付出他們所有目前可動用的首輪籤。在接下來的7年裡，爵士在其中的6年都擁
有首輪籤或是互換權，只有2032沒有。雖然說首輪互換的價值比較見仁見智，但是對爵士
來說，他們現在有更多的資產以及方法在未來獲得有潛力的球員。
On the court, the Jazz will take a hit, which is why I don't give this a full
A+. There isn't an obvious pivot away from Kessler on the market after the rec
ent run on bigs, and while they created some insurance by re-signing Jusuf Nur
kic, they will miss Kessler's rebounding and rim protection. We'll see some sm
all-ball lineups with Jaren Jackson Jr. at the five and the Jazz will likely
sign another center to add depth, but for a team planning on taking a leap nex
t year, losing Kessler will lower their ceiling for 2025-26.
場上來看，交易掉凱子樂讓他們前場深度降低，這也是為什麼我沒給到A+。交易掉凱子樂
之後市場上並沒有可以取代他的人選。雖然爵士有簽回Nurkic，但他在籃板以及護框能力
上還是無法和凱子樂比擬。或許下賽季我們會看到爵士打更多小球，JJJ扛中鋒。雖說理
論上預計爵士會再找一名中鋒補充前場深度，但是失去凱子樂對他們下賽季的目標肯定是
有多折扣的。
That said, even if they're ready to take a step forward now, this is still a t
eam thinking long-term. They can keep evaluating their roster and figure out t
he best possible fit for their young core, which now features No. 2 overall dr
aft pick Darryn Peterson, and have the ammunition to be aggressive when an opp
ortunity presents itself to add a big man in the future.
也就是說，即便爵士已經準備好朝下一個階段邁進，他們依然有在做球隊的長遠期規劃。
他們可以持續觀察，什麼樣的球員才是和他們現有的年輕核心最適配的。尤其今年選進榜
眼Darryn Peterson之後，他們有能力在未來市場上出現獲得機會難得的前場球員時，運
用手邊的資產對其展開追逐。
--
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→
07/03 09:49,
2周前
, 1352F
07/03 09:49, 1352F
噓
07/03 11:42,
2周前
, 1353F
07/03 11:42, 1353F
→
07/03 13:58,
2周前
, 1354F
07/03 13:58, 1354F
→
07/03 13:58,
2周前
, 1355F
07/03 13:58, 1355F
推
07/03 19:24,
2周前
, 1356F
07/03 19:24, 1356F
推
07/03 19:33,
2周前
, 1357F
07/03 19:33, 1357F
→
07/03 19:33,
2周前
, 1358F
07/03 19:33, 1358F
→
07/03 20:00,
2周前
, 1359F
07/03 20:00, 1359F
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