[情報] Marlins should be contending in September
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Marlins should be contending in September
Thursday, May 29, 2008
Their viability as a National League contender remains in doubt, and an
agonizing loss such as the one they suffered Wednesday night in New York
against the Mets doesn't help their case.
究竟馬林魚是否在國聯成為有利的競爭者這仍然是個疑問,加上星期三往上敗給大都會
那場比賽,更加加深了這個疑問.
But when the Marlins embarked on their current 10-game, three-city National
League East road trip, it was my guess they'd need do nothing more than
compile a 4-6 record to continue insinuating themselves into the maws of the
division and wild-card races.
這次馬林魚十場客場的征戰將要面對同為東區的三支球隊,我認為至少要四勝六敗的成績
來繼續保持不管是東區或是外卡的競爭.
Losing two out of three to the Mets doesn't change my mind. The Marlins
remain in first place, after all, and next draw three assignments in
Philadelphia and then four in Atlanta.
儘管面對大都會三場輸了兩場,我的想法依然不變. 馬林魚仍然是東區第一,接下來依序
要面對費城人三連戰,勇士四連戰.
The surprise at this juncture of the season - it's almost one-third complete
- would be to see the Marlins suddenly fall apart.
在進行了快三分之一的球季後,在這個時刻最驚奇的反而是看馬林漁會不會突然一蹶不振.
It does remain my opinion the Marlins won't make the playoffs.
我還是認為馬林魚進步了季後賽.
It also, however, has become my opinion that the Marlins will play meaningful
games - for themselves, that is - late in the season when their schedule is
stuffed with eight series against their four NL East rivals.
馬林魚在球季末的賽程將有掰個系列賽要面對同為東區的對手.
Something manager Fredi Gonzalez mentioned on a recent radio pre-game show
impressed. The confidence he has in his men is real, and has been all along.
總教練Fredi Gonzalez有時在賽前接受訪問時表示他對球隊一直很有信心.
"My motto," Gonzalez said, "is: 'Win 15 or 16 games a month.' "
"我的目標是每個月要贏十五或十六場",Gonzalez表示.
Doesn't sound like much, but it's heady stuff.
聽起來似乎不多,不過並不容易.
It computes to 90 to 96 wins for the season, which likely would compute to a
post-season berth. Hardly does the NL East - also including the Phillies,
Braves, Mets and Washington Nationals - appear to be populated by any
powerhouse team. Florida isn't out of its element there.
這樣算起來的話球季結束會有九十到九十六場勝利,是很有可能進季後賽的.
The Marlins, so far, are following The Gonzalez Formula to perfection. They
were 15-12 in April with one March game included, and are 15-10 this month
with two games remaining.
馬林魚目前的表現都還在總教練的盤算中. 他們四月成績是十五勝十二敗,五月成績是十
五勝十敗.
Can the Marlins get somewhere close to 50 wins through June? Can they garner
75-plus wins by the time September rolls around to set themselves up for the
NL East head-to-head nastiness down the stretch?
馬林魚能夠在六月之後接近五十勝嗎? 他們可以獲得七十五勝以上的成績來面對進入九月
之後分區之間強碰的硬仗嗎?
The nuts-and-bolts stuff is pretty impressive. The Marlins, for example, have
winning records both at home and on the road, a useful barometer for
measuring a team's consistency. They've continued to play well even with
shortstop Hanley Ramirez mired in a May slump and with left fielder Josh
Willingham (.341) out since April 27 with a back injury. That success is
noteworthy in that good teams find ways to succeed despite having a couple of
their best players struggling or absent.
他們的一些基本功令人印象深刻. 馬林魚在主場跟客場的表現沒有太大的差別,這是用來
衡量球隊穩定性的指標. 他們在五月即使明星游擊手Hanley Ramirez陷入低潮時,左外野手
Josh Willingham進入傷兵名單後仍然有不錯的表現.
Slugging second baseman Dan Uggla (16 HRs, 38 RBI, .307) has led the group
effort - he going to cost the Marlins a pot of money pretty soon, and, yes,
they should lock him up with an attractive contract - with steady, though
hardly sensational, contributions from others.
二壘重砲手Dan Uggla表現最為優異. 他很有可能讓小氣的馬林魚提前綁住他.
Florida, in other words, has been a good team by any definition.
換句話說,根據任何定義來說馬林魚都是一支強隊.
The primary question about the Marlins' enduring viability as a contender, of
course, regards pitching.
馬林魚最主要的問題還是在投手.
The bullpen, though it squandered ninth- and 12th-inning leads in Wednesday
night's miserable loss, has been solid and must remain so if the Marlins are
to build a bridge from the starting rotation to a successful season.
即使星期三對大都會時牛棚荒腔走板的表現,整體來說還算不錯,而且必須繼續維持這種
表現來銜接先發投手,如此才有成功的機會.
Ah, the rotation. The Marlins almost certainly are going to need Mark
Hendrickson (seven wins) and Scott Olsen (four wins) to keep doing what
they've done at the top of the mix, which is an iffy proposition. Ricky
Nolasco and Andrew Miller have four wins apiece, but have to improve their
respective 4.70 and 5.53 ERAs.
至於先發輪值的部分. 馬林魚當然希望 Mark Hendrickson and Scott Olsen繼續維持
目前的表現. Ricky Nolasco and Andrew Miller即使每人各有四勝,球隊還是希望他們
能夠改善略高的防禦率.
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