Florida Marlins Top 20 Prospects for 2009
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Florida Marlins Top 20 Prospects for 2009
All grades are EXTREMELY PRELIMINARY and subject to change. Don’t get too
worried about exact rankings at this point, especially once you get out of
the top 10. Grade C+/C guys are pretty interchangeable depending on what you
are looking for.
1) Cameron Maybin, OF, Grade A-: He’s got some flaws, but overall I buy into
the notion that he will refine his tools into skills. Just don’t expect him
to win batting titles.
2) Logan Morrison, 1B, Grade A-: I think people are underrating his power. In
2009, he’ll put everything together, batting average, OBP, and homers.
3) Matt Dominguez, 3B, Grade B+: Close to an A-, impressive power with
stellar glove, but have some concerns about his plate discipline.
4) Mike Stanton, OF, Grade B+: Anyone who likes space race history will love
the book comment I wrote about him this year. Could be a superstar, could
flail helplessly against Double-A pitching, too soon to rate higher than a B+.
5) Kyle Skipworth, C, Grade B+: At this point, I’m not worried about his
rookie ball performance. I believe in the bat and his defense will come along
with more experience.
6) Ryan Tucker, RHP, Grade B: He needs another pitch if he wants to start,
but the ceiling stands out as excellent.
7) Sean West, LHP, Grade B: Another high ceiling arm, but command problems
preclude higher grade at this time.
8) Jose Ceda, RHP, Grade B: Yet another high ceiling arm with command issues.
Also has to watch weight.
9) Chris Coghlan, 2B, Grade B-: Nice steady contact hitter, won’t be a star
but should have a long career.
10) John Raynor, OF, Grade B-: Fast, draws walks, has some pop, negatives are
age and high strikeout rate.
11) Eulogio De La Cruz, RHP, Grade B-: Borderline C+, but I’m giving him
credit for surviving Albuquerque where so many others have failed. Good
stuff, gets grounders, can he correct command issues?
12) Gaby Sanchez, 1B, Grade C+: Borderline B-, but MLEs show him as a
.260/.340/.420 hitter, not great for a first baseman. I do like his plate
discipline.
13) Scott Cousins, OF, Grade C+: Has across the board skills, could be a
strong fourth outfielder or an average corner guy.
14) Bryan Petersen, OF, Grade C+: Similar to Cousins to some extent, but a
year behind him on the development curve. Both are players who deserve more
attention.
15) Aaron Thompson, LHP, Grade C+: Could be a C. I don’t like the way his
Double-A numbers slipped and I worry about health.
16) Brad Hand, LHP, Grade C+: Young projectable lefty from Minnesota, I wish
the Twins had been able to draft him. Will need time but a fresh high school
arm worth tracking.
17) Isaac Galloway, OF, Grade C: Tons o’tools, but may be held back by poor
plate discipline.
18) Jake Smolinski, 2B, Grade C: Interesting player acquired in
Willingham/Olsen deal. Nice left-handed offensive potential, but can’t stay
healthy so far.
19) Brett Sinkbeil, RHP, Grade C: Surviving on reputation at this point. I
think he is better-suited for relief work than starting. Still has the sinker
but just doesn’t dominate.
20) Chris Leroux, RHP, Grade C: Could be a fit in the bullpen sooner than
expected, if his command is there.
Others: Pete Andrelczyk, RHP; Andrew Battisto, RHP; Blake Brewer, RHP; Brett
Carroll, OF; P.J. Dean, RHP; Johnny Dorn, RHP; Paul Gran,3B: Thomas Hickman,
OF; Dan Jennings, LHP; Kyle Kaminska, RHP; Zack Kroenke, LHP; Chris Mobley,
RHP; Edgar Olmos, LHP; Graham Taylor, LHP; Dallas Trahern, RHP.
As usual, don’t sweat so much about where the Grade C+/C types rank exactly
on this list. After I get past the top 10 I don’t worry so much about exact
placement, since I’m trying to concentrate on the book right now. Some of
the Grade C guys could be C+ in the book, and vice versa.
SYSTEM IN BRIEF
The Marlins have a large group of potential impact players at the top of
the system.
Maybin, Morrison, Dominguez, Stanton, and Skipworth all have the ability
to be major league regulars and possible All-Stars. Few teams offer that kind
of depth. Stanton is potentially the best of all, but may also has the
highest risk right now. Morrison is probably the safest, with the others
holding a middle position. I expect that Maybin may disappoint some people in
2009, but if they are patient with him and don’t expect him to hit .300, he
will have a very long and productive career. As stated above, I think people
are underestimating Morrison’s power potential. Dominguez will be a starter
on the strength of his defense and power, but if he’s a star or just a good
solid regular will depend on how his discipline develops. Stanton could be a
40-homer guy, maybe more . .or he could be Rob Deer.
Beyond this group, there are other hitters who should be fine role
players or average regulars. . .Coghlan, Sanchez, even Raynor, Cousins, and
Peterson have that potential.
The pitchers are a bit less impressive. There are several very live
arms, but they all have command problems and given the attrition rate on
pitchers, the Marlins could use more depth here. But most teams could.
I do note a relative lack of C+ types, but some of the Cs have the
potential to move into that category next year.
Overall, the Marlins are loaded.
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