[情報] Marlins Top 20 Prospects for 2012
Miami Marlins Top 20 Prospects for 2012 http://ppt.cc/LwhT
1) Christian Yelich, OF, Grade B+: Pure hitter with decent power, surprising
speed, ex-first baseman adapted well to outfield defense. Class of the system.
Grade might go higher if he resolves problems against left-handed pitching.
2) Marcell Ozuna, OF, Grade B: Some risk here with plate discipline issues, but
power/speed upside is excellent and he made progress last year with contact.
Good throwing arm and range as well.
3) Jose Fernandez, RHP, Grade B: Highest-upside arm in the system, could be a
rotation anchor although some think he'll be a closer. 2011 first-round pick
who hasn't pitched much yet.
4) J.T. Realmuto, C, Grade B-: Borderline B. Good athleticism and power
potential, needs some work with the strike zone and defensive polish. If he
adds those, could be much higher next year and one of the best catching
prospects in the game.
5) Matt Dominguez, 3B, Grade B-: Glove looks terrific, both on paper and in
person. He has some power, but is not going to hit for average and doesn't draw
walks. Still young enough to improve, but at this point has more value for a
real team than a fantasy one. Comp: Pedro Feliz.
6) Rob Rasmussen, LHP, Grade B-: Slow start last year but pitched better as
season progressed. Needs to get the walks down. Projects as number three or
four starter.
7) Chad James, LHP, Grade B-: Velocity was down a bit last year, but he threw
more strikes. Also projects as a number three or four starter. Gave up a lot of
hits and will face important adaption to Double-A but is still young at 21.
8) Adam Conley, LHP, Grade B-: I like him, another lefty who could be number
three or four starter if his breaking ball improves to match his fastball and
changeup. Could return to closing if it doesn't.
9) Noah Perio, 2B, Grade C+: Line drive hitter with gap power, some speed,
athleticism, potential to be a fine defender although he isn't yet, young at
age 20. Low walk rate is a hindrance.
10) Mason Hope, RHP, Grade C+: Overshadowed in Oklahoma high school ranks by
teammate Arizona first round pick Archie Bradley and Orioles first round pick
Dylan Bundy, but this fifth rounder has a live arm and threw strikes in rookie
ball. Aggressive ranking but this is a thin system.
11) Jose Ceda, RHP, Grade C+: Borderline B-. Age 25 now but still counts as a
rookie. Plus velocity, but command issues limit him to middle relief. Could get
a shot as a closer if Heath Bell implodes.
12) Charlie Lowell, LHP, Grade C+: Wichita State ace lasted until the sixth
round despite second-round buzz pre-draft. Throws hard, command needs some
work, but could rank much next year.
13) Kyle Jensen, OF, Grade C+: Fits into the Jerry Sands/Casper Wells category:
power bat, good numbers, big guy, scouts have doubts about his swing but has
better tools than his reputation. Let's see how he hits in Double-A/Triple-A.
14) Mark Canha, 1B-OF, Grade C+: Advanced college bat from University of
California showed power in the Sally League but we need to see him at higher
levels.
15) Kevin Mattison, OF, Grade C+: Speedy outfielder added to 40-man roster,
drew notice after strong Arizona Fall League. Good glove, hustles, plate
discipline is spotty and he gets too power-conscious at times, could be good
fourth outfielder if he stays within himself, but never hit before this year,
which makes me cautious.
16) Greg Dayton, LHP, Grade C+: Fanned 99 in 72 innings in the Sally League.
Auburn product throws hard, could move quickly as relief asset.
17) Jose Urena, RHP, Grade C: Throws hard and drew notice from scouts in the
New York-Penn League. High ceiling, but secondary pitches need a lot of work
and he fanned just 48 in 73 innings.
18) Jesus Solorzano, OF, Grade C: Toolsy type, hit .299 and stole 18 bases in
Gulf Coast League. Good glove, needs better plate discipline, power potential
draws mixed reviews.
19) Scott Cousins, OF, Grade C: Still a rookie. Average power, average speed,
good throwing arm, hits left, perfect fourth/fifth outfield profile.
20) Chris Hatcher, RHP, Grade C: Converted catcher, adapted quickly to mound
work, hits mid-90s, still refining secondary stuff but reached majors in first
year of full-time pitching.
OTHERS: Pete Andrelczyk, RHP; Austin Barnes, C; Michael Brady, RHP; Austin
Brice, C; Kevin Cravey, RHP; Ramon Del Orbe, RHP; Jacob Esch, RHP; Isaac
Galloway, OF, Dan Jennings, LHP; Kyle Kaminska, RHP; Scott Lyman, RHP; Matthew
Montgomery, RHP; Jobduan Morales, C-1B; Joey O'Gara, RHP; Omar Poveda, RHP;
Ryan Rieger, 1B; Jose Rodriguez, RHP; Kyle Skipworth, C.
This system isn't empty, but it is pretty thin. Yelich and Ozuna give some hope
for the future outfield, with Yelich showing a good balance of skills in his
full-season debut. Ozuna's tools stand out and he made progress refining them
last year, but he still carries significant risk. Realmuto will rank much
higher in a year if he can polish up his defense. Everybody knows about
Dominguez: great glove, but will he hit? It looks like role players beyond this
group with few guys who project as regulars.
On the mound, Fernandez is the only one who looks like someone you build your
rotation around, and we don't know how his skills will translate to pro ball
yet. I like Mason Hope a lot, but again, we need to see him pitch. Rasmussen,
James, Conley, and Lowell could all develop into mid-rotation starters if they
max their talent out, but all four come with serious question-marks too. Will
Rasmussen's K/BB improve? How will James adapt to Double-A? How will Conley and
Lowell transition from college to the pro ranks?
There is some future material for the bullpen, with Ceda the best of the group.
Overall, this is not a very exciting system.
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