[情報] Top 10 Second Basemen Under 30
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Top 10 Second Basemen Under 30
by Project Prospect
December 9, 2008
想直接看排名的請PagedownX
Honestly, this list was dizzying to put together. Second base is a more
defensively demanding position than first base, so we put a little more
emphasis on defense with this list than that one – we'll do the same for
shortstop. And there aren't many second basemen in baseball who are under 30
and have proven themselves offensively over more than a couple of seasons.
Chase Utley, Dustin Pedroia, Ian Kinsler, and Dan Uggla have. After that, we
see a bit of a drop-off in talent, though Kelly Johnson isn't too far behind
the four players mentioned above. Robinson Cano is coming off a .307 wOBA
season. Aaron Hill was good in 2007 but missed four months in 2008 due to a
concussion. Brandon Phillips was a below-average hitter on the road last
season (.300 wOBA) and not great at home (.330) – defense accounted for,
he's a better 5x5 Roto asset than MLB second baseman. And Rickie Weeks and
Howie Kendrick fans have been waiting for breakout seasons since Jemile Weeks
was a freshman at Miami.
This leaves us with a list that could change a lot over the next nine months.
Cano could continue to struggle and slide down to an honorable mention. Ian
Kinsler could very well claim the title of best second baseman in the game.
Alberto Callaspo could build on his 2008 success and earn a spot among the
Top 5 players on this list next season. Ryan Theriot could make us regret
leaving him off the list entirely.
Whatever happens, this list will be fun to look back at in a year, as change
– perhaps drastic change – will occur in the top young second basemen ranks
Top 10 Second Basemen Under the age of 30
1. Chase Utley 29.8 PHI MLB
Yes, hip injury is a concern; No, it's not yet enough of one to keep him
from sitting atop this list
2. Dustin Pedroia 25.2 BOS MLB
Brought IsoP from .112 in '06 (98 PA) to .125 in '07 and .167 in '08;
7.2% K was 4th in the AL
3. Ian Kinsler 26.3 TEX MLB
Finally broke out into a clearly above-average offensive 2B in '08:
.379 wOBA after .344 in '07
4. Dan Uggla 28.6 FLA MLB
Compensated for poor '08 contact rate (27.6% K) w/ a bunch of power
(.254 IsoP); 12.4% BB
5. Kelly Johnson 26.6 ATL MLB
Significant drops in IsoP and BB% from '07 to '08 keep him outside of
our top three 2B under 30
6. Robinson Cano 26.0 NYY MLB
Had a .363 BABIP with a 20% LD in '06; .286 with 20% in '08; good bet to
rebound some in '09
7. Aaron Hill 26.6 TOR MLB
After appearing to be on verge of an '08 breakout, concussion ended his
season in late-May
8. Brandon Phillips 27.3 CIN MLB
Heralded defensive player who has some pop (.181 IsoP in '08) but
doesn't reach base much
9. Rickie Weeks 26.1 MIL MLB
Ranked more on potential than production; poor contact, solid BB%, signs of
promising power
10. Howie Kendrick 25.3 LAA MLB
Ugly walk rates (2.9% between '07 and '08) combined with injury woes
bring his value down
Honorables: Asdrubal Cabrera (CLE), Jose Lopez (SEA), and Alberto Callaspo
(KC).
* Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it
and favor recent production
** Ages are as of November 1st, 2008
*** Level is the highest level the player has reached
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◆ From: 59.120.107.12
※ 編輯: kelvin0430 來自: 59.120.107.12 (12/11 00:35)
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