[情報] San Diego Padres Top 20 Prospects for 2011
1) Casey Kelly, RHP, Grade B+: Double-A numbers aren't great, but he was
rushed to the level, and he should look a lot better in San Antonio this
year. Future number two or three starter if all goes well.
2) Simon Castro, RHP, Grade B+: I think he'll need a year of Triple-A to
finish refining his breaking ball and control, but I remain impressed with
him overall.
3) Jaff Decker, OF, Grade B+: I absolutely love this bat.
4) Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Grade B: I don't think he'll be a superstar, but he
should be very solid. Needs another year in the minors.
5) Donavan Tate, OF, Grade B-: Very tough to rank. Grade A tools, Grade C
skills, with injury and health issues. Could be an A- next year, or he could
fizzle in A-ball.
6) Corey Luebke, LHP, Grade B-: A strike-throwing starter, should be a number
four guy for a long while.
7) James Darnell, 3B, Grade B-: I still like him despite erratic,
injury-plagued season. I'm more concerned about defense than his hitting
right now, I think the bat will be fine.
8) Reymond Fuentes, OF, Grade B-: Great tools, speed, glove, hitting skills
still raw. Watching him and Tate in the same outfield would be a treat, on
defense at least.
9) Drew Cumberland, INF, Grade B-: Grade could go a notch higher if he could
just stay away from the doctors.
10) Jedd Gyorko, 3B, Grade B-: Solid bat from the 2010 draft.
11) Johnny Barbato, RHP, Grade B-: Borderline C+. Consolation prize for not
signing Karsten Whitson. Easy velocity, cost $1.4 million, hasn't pitched yet
but I like him.
12) Matt Lollis, RHP, Grade C+: Big, throws hard, throws strikes,
breakthrough candidate for 2011.
13) Adys Portillo, RHP, Grade C+: Raw, needs significant command refinements,
but a high ceiling arm.
14) Keyvius Sampson, RHP, Grade C+: I'd give him a B- and put him in the top
ten if not for questions about his health.
15) Juan Oramas, LHP, Grade C+: Mexican lefty is short and stout, but has
decent stuff and excellent performance record in tough environments.
16) Edinson Rincon, OF-3B, Grade C+: High ceiling tools, could explode in Cal
League.
17) Jason Hagerty, C, Grade C+: Switch-hitting catcher with power, patience,
adequate glove, but was a bit old for the Midwest League.
18) Logan Forsythe, 2B, Grade C+: Can't hit in San Antonio, but has been
solid on the road in the Texas League for a year and a half.
19) Blake Tekotte, OF, Grade C+: Outfielder with multiple skills would prove
useful on the bench.
20) Zach Cates, RHP, Grade C+: One of my favorite junior college pitchers
from the '10 draft.
21) Jonathan Galvez, SS, Grade C+: Won't stick at shortstop and strikes out a
lot, but has some power, speed, and is just 20.
22) Jose De Paula, LHP, Grade C+: Sleeper lefty has finished injury recovery.
23) Everett Williams, OF, Grade C+: Would rank higher on tools alone, but bat
was very disappointing last year.
OTHERS OF NOTE: Anthony Bass, RHP; Vincent Belnome, 3B; Brad Brach, RHP; Matt
Clark, 1B; Erik Davis, RHP; Cody Decker, 1B; Jeremy Hefner, RHP; Cedric
Hunter, OF; George Kontos, RHP; Kellen Kulbacki, OF; Rymer Liriano, OF; Rob
Musgrave, LHP; Rico Noel, OF; Andrew Parrino, INF; Dan Robertson, OF; Evan
Scribner, RHP; Josh Spence, LHP.
The trade with the Red Sox adds three premium prospects to a system that was
already rich in B-/C+ types.
On the pitching side, Luebke is ready to help in the majors now, Castro
should be ready to help in the majors with in a year, but Kelly will need a
bit more time. The rest of the impact arms are some distance away, though
there are several guys who could help in the bullpen (Scribner, Brach,
Kontos, Hefner) as soon as this year. I like Barbato a lot, and watch out for
Oramas, who could help sooner than expected.
On offense, there is a lot of raw material but a lot of them have questions.
Tate and Fuentes have enormous upside and great tools, but will they hit as
well as expected? This is especially true for Tate, who could be a superstar
or a huge bust. Decker and Rizzo should both be solid at worst, and excellent
at best.
Overall, this is a strong farm system that deserves more attention than it
receives.
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