[情報] BP San Diego Padres Top 11 Prospects
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12823
Four-Star Prospects
1. Casey Kelly, RHP
2. Simon Castro, RHP
3. Anthony Rizzo, 1B
4. Jaff Decker, OF
5. Donavan Tate, CF
Three-Star Prospects
6. Drew Cumberland, SS
7. Reymond Fuentes, CF
8. Jedd Gyorko, 3B
9. Matt Lollis, RHP
10. Cory Luebke, LHP
Two-Star Prospects
11. Jonathan Galvez, SS
Nine More:
12. Jason Hagerty, C: A catcher with power and patience, but he's been old
for his levels and is a below-average defender.
13. Keyvius Sampson, RHP: Gifted with big stuff but a small stature and a
violent delivery, and he's already had some injuries.
14. Zach Cates, RHP: A third-round pick, Cates has more stuff than polish,
but he has the raw ability to move up.
15. James Darnell, 3B: He struggled during an injury-plagued 2010 season, and
needs to improve on defense.
16. Adys Portillo, RHP: Portillo remains young and very talented; the Padres
hope to see progress in his full-season debut.
17. Johnny Barbato, RHP: Their sixth-round pick got $1.4 million to avoid
college; he boasts good velocity and projection.
18. Edinson Rincon, 3B: Although he scuffled in his full-season debut, scouts
still like the bat and power potential.
19. Logan Forsythe, 2B: His power disappeared at Double-A, so now he's just a
mediocre second baseman who walks.
20. Blake Tekotte, OF: Almost assuredly a big-leaguer down the road, the
downside is that Tekotte's ceiling is as a fourth outfielder.
1. Casey Kelly, RHP
DOB: 10/4/89
Height/Weight: 6-3/195
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: First round, 2008, Sarasota HS (FL)
2010 Stats: 5.31 ERA (95.0-118-35-81) at Double-A (21 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Changeup/curveball
Year in Review: The best prospect in Boston's system struggled in Double-A,
but he still generated enough positive scouting reports to be the key player
in the Adrian Gonzalez deal.
The Good: Kelly shows the potential for three average to plus pitches to go
with plus command and control. His fastball sits in the low 90s, and can
touch 95 at times when he needs something extra. He can occasionally flash an
above-average curveball as well, and his changeup is a true plus pitch with
outstanding deception. He's a phenomenal athlete who had first-round talent
as a shortstop, as well as Division-I possibilities as a high-school
quarterback.
The Bad: Kelly was in over his head at Double-A last year, as it was his
first season dedicated solely to pitching, and he had less than 100 innings
of experience entering the year. He needs to be more aggressive with all of
his pitches, as he's often guilty of trying to fool hitters while rarely
challenging them. He needs more consistency with the spin on his curveball,
and even the velocity of his fastball fluctuated in 2010, with one scout
reporting one start in which he rarely got over 91 mph, and another in which
he was rarely below it.
Ephemera: Kelly is one of three shortstops selected out of Sarasota High in
the past seven years, with the other two being Nats starter Ian Desmond
(2004) and Brewers second-base prospect Scooter Gennett (2009).
Perfect World Projection: A second or third starter in a big-league rotation.
Fantasy Impact: San Diego will help his ERA obviously, but it's unlikely
he'll ever be a big strikeout-generating pitcher.
Path to the Big Leagues: Kelly needs to repeat Double-A to begin the season,
but at 21 he'll still be young for the level.
ETA: Late 2012.
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◆ From: 140.119.156.51
※ 編輯: DaisukeOchi 來自: 140.119.156.51 (02/02 03:11)
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