[翻譯] Five Questions - Colorado Rockies (2)

看板Rockies作者ygjhsu (杰)時間14年前 (2011/04/02 13:40)推噓2(2推 0噓 1→)

留言3則, 3人參與討論串1/1

Who’s going to close games when Huston Street gets hurt? 街哥受傷的話，誰來關門? : Only seven current closers have more career saves than Street. He has proven : himself as valuable an entity to Colorado as any other player on the roster. : Street had pro scouts salivating as he won College World Series MVP honors : while playing for Texas. He would then wow us in 2005 when he won the : American League Rookie of the Year award as a member of the Oakland : Athletics. His skills are evident as you watch his low 90s fastball tail : through the zone. He pitches with great poise and often can overpower : hitters. In 2009, he saved 35 of 37 games in which he closed. 現役球員中，只有七個投手的救援次數比Street多(註1) 他已經證明自己在褲兒濕的能力在大學時代，Street就讓球探流盡口水，同時也拿下了美國聯盟2005年新人王。他的球路充滿尾勁，雖然速球只有low-90s，依然能讓打者摸不著頭緒。 2009年，37個救援機會中，Street只砸鍋2次。 : Last season was a different story. He had a late start while dealing with a : multitude of injuries. We saw his ERA creep back up to 3.61. Over his : six-year career he has spent over 160 days on the disabled list. He is now : the prototypical health risk at just 27 years old. 上一季又是另外一回事。在好不容易克服傷痛復出後，我們看到他的ERA飆高到3.61。超過六年的職業生涯，Street待在DL的時間超過160天。以27歲的年齡來說，他顯然有很容易受傷的風險。 : The Rockies must concern themselves with how to prepare for a possible : stretch of time without their talented closer. As we examine their roster, : there’s Franklin Morales who has notched 10 career saves and has the stuff : to close. But what he has in skills, he will always screw up in his command : of his pitches. He has never really been as successful as most thought he : could be when he and Jimenez burst onto the scene in 2007. 因此，洛磯隊必須考慮到沒有Street在場上的狀況。看了看25人名單，我們發現Franklin Morales具有Closer的資質，同時也有終結者的經驗。但是我們也知道，他有控球上的問題從他跟UBall同時在07年登上大聯盟的舞台，Morales從來沒有達到人們對他的期待。 : What about Matt Lindstrom? Well he has 43 saves scattered over the past three : years, including 23 last year as a member of the Houston Astros. Most would : assume that the signing of Lindstrom was Plan B to Street. 林風暴呢? 他過去三年也有43次救援成功啊! 許多人認為，簽下林風暴，就是球團有考慮到Street有可能會受傷。 : I know the Rockies don’t put much importance in my opinion, but I hope I’m : not the only one who sees the potential of Rafael Betancourt. I know he’s : 35, but he doesn’t walk anybody and strikes out well more than a batter an : inning (89 Ks in 62 innings pitched last year). If I’m the manager and I’m : looking over this list of relievers. I would always stop on Betancourt. He : has the skills to be Street's understudy. Let’s hope there’s no need for : such a job, but Betancourt should be more than capable. 我知道洛磯球團不太重視我的意見，但是我希望我不是那個唯一看出Betancourt潛力的人他35歲了，但是他不投四壞，三振率又超高(去年89K/62IP) 如果我是總教練，從我今年所有的投手中，我一定會挑Betancourt。他可以當Street的備胎。雖然我們不希望這種事發生，但是Betancourt一定能輕鬆勝任。 Are the Rockies still fun even with a humidor? 有了保濕器，洛磯比賽還有趣嗎? : For years we, the baseball fandom, have been fed propaganda proclaiming the : humidor as the answer to the home run haven of Coors Field. Anyone who has : read The Hardball Times Handbook 2011 may have a different feeling. Our boss : and essayist Dave Studeman detailed evidence displaying that last year may : have actually debunked the theory that a humidor has cured Coors of its : propensity for pop. 長久以來，我們都以為保濕器可以解決褲兒濕容易被幹砲的問題。不過如果看了 "The Hardball Times Handbook 2011"這本書，或許你會有不一樣的感受。我們的老闆跟專欄作家，詳述了各種證據，說明保濕器並不如你想的那樣可以讓飛球飛得沒那麼遠。 : First, I don’t think most people know what the "humidor" actually is, and : how it affects the game in Denver. The humidor is a room within Coors where : the baseballs are kept. This room mimics the environment in which the : baseballs are made and stored in other locations. Since the air is so thin in : the Mile High City, humidity’s effect or lack thereof is the foremost reason : most use to explain why balls fly out of there like school children to recess. 首先，我想大部分人都不知道"保濕器"這玩意到底是什麼，更別說如何影響比賽。保濕器事實上是褲兒濕球場的一個房間，負責保存比賽用球。這個房間要維持住棒球製造與保存在其他地方的環境。換言之，既然高海拔的空氣稀薄濕度的影響與其缺乏，就變成解釋為什麼飛球在褲兒濕總像脫韁野馬的主要原因。 : Recently Alan Nathan, a physicist, wrote a guest article for Baseball : Prospectus on the subject. Apparently, Arizona is considering a humidor for : its Chase Field to copy the success of the Coors Field humidor. It is a : fascinating read. 不過，最近有一個物理學家，寫了一篇討論這個問題的文章。裡面提到Arizona也想為他們的Chase Field蓋一座相似的"保濕器"。這篇文章很有意思。 : One important facet to interpreting the validity of statistics is sample : size. For example, if I took the final month of 2010 as my projection basis : for evaluating players for 2011, then Tulowitzki would be the best player in : the game, followed closely behind by Mike Aviles. 解讀數據的時候，一定要看樣本數的大小。如果我拿去年最後一個月的數據來預測球員今年的表現，Tulowitzki一定是最棒的，跟在他後面誰呢，Mike Aviles。 : In his evaluation of park factors, Dave Studeman pointed out that we should : not place our faith in one year’s worth of data in determining park effects, : but he also pointed out that the increase in home runs at Coors Field in 2010 : could be signaling several things. Either the data used to anoint the humidor : as the answer to home runs didn't use a large enough sample size (years) to : make an accurate determination of its success or that 2010’s 1.50 home run : ratio was an aberration, and we can expect a correction soon. Either way the : jury must still be out on whether treating baseballs like a Cohiba is really : working. 前面提到的棒球專欄作家，在解讀park factor的時候，他指出我們不應該看一年的球場成績來決定park factor。但是他也說，2010年褲兒濕全壘打產量的增加可能意味著什麼即使是檢驗保濕器是否成功的數據，樣本數也不夠大。讓我們無法看出，2010年的單場 1.5支全壘打，是否只是短暫的偏差，終究還是會回歸正常。無論如何，目前要判斷這種把棒球像Cohida雪茄一樣放在humidor(humidor也可指雪茄盒)的做法是否合宜還言之過早。 : I, for one, enjoy the park factors. I am enamored by the Green Monster at : Fenway, the short porch in New York, and the windiness of Chicago. That’s : the unpredictability that we love about baseball. Coors Field should embrace : its power prowess as all parks should embrace their own unique identities. No : other sport has all the different venues that we enjoy in baseball, and : because of that, no other sport has the "hallowed grounds" of an epic : ballpark. 以我個人來說，我喜歡各個球場都有不同的特性。我喜歡Fenway的綠色怪物、紐約的淺右外野牆，還有芝加哥的風。這就是棒球的迷人之處：不可預測性。褲兒濕應該以打者天堂自居，就像其他球場各有其特色。其他運動都不像棒球如此多變迷人，而且正因為如此也不會有其他運動像棒球場一樣還會有"hallowed grounds"的存在。註1: 他們分別是Mariano Rivera(559)、Francisco Cordero(290)、 Francisco Rodriguez (268)、Brad Lidge (222)、Jose Valverde(193)、 Jonathan Papelbon (188)、Brian Fuentes(187)跟Bobby Jenks (173) 應該是8位 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.134.179.129 ※ 編輯: ygjhsu 來自: 220.134.179.129 (04/02 13:41) ※ 編輯: ygjhsu 來自: 220.134.179.129 (04/02 13:42)