[討論] BA 2011 Top 10 Prospects
TOP TEN PROSPECTS
1. Eric Hosmer, 1b
2. Wil Myers, c
3. Mike Moustakas, 3b
4. John Lamb, lhp
5. Mike Montgomery, lhp
6. Christian Colon, ss
7. Danny Duffy, lhp
8. Chris Dwyer, lhp
9. Aaron Crow, rhp
10. Brett Eibner, of
BEST TOOLS
Best Hitter for Average Eric Hosmer
Best Power Hitter Mike Moustakas
Best Strike-Zone Discipline Wil Myers
Fastest Baserunner Jarrod Dyson
Best Athlete Derrick Robinson
Best Fastball Yordano Ventura
Best Curveball Mike Montgomery
Best Slider Aaron Crow
Best Changeup John Lamb
Best Control John Lamb
Best Defensive Catcher Salvador Perez
Best Defensive Infielder Humberto Arteaga
Best Infield Arm Mike Moustakas
Best Defensive Outfielder Jarrod Dyson
Best Outfield Arm Jordan Parraz
PROJECTED 2014 LINEUP
Catcher Salvador Perez
First Base Eric Hosmer
Second Base Johnny Giavotella
Third Base Mike Moustakas
Shortstop Christian Colon
Left Field Alex Gordon
Center Field Jarrod Dyson
Right Field Wil Myers
Designated Hitter Billy Butler
No. 1 Starter Zack Greinke
No. 2 Starter John Lamb
No. 3 Starter Mike Montgomery
No. 4 Starter Danny Duffy
No. 5 Starter Chris Dwyer
Closer Joakim Soria
When Dayton Moore took over as Royals general manager in mid-2006, one of the
first things he said he wanted to do was figure out a way to develop
pitching. "If you have 20 pitching prospects," he said, "you might get four
or five to the big leagues."
Now he has his pitching prospects, and plenty of position prospects as well.
Thanks to a willingness to spend large amounts of money in the draft and a
solid player-development system, the Royals now have the deepest farm system
in baseball. If Moore is going to be a success in Kansas City, it will depend
on the young talent coming up through the organization.
That focus on the future is good news for Moore, because little has gone
right for him at the big league level. The Royals have been just as
disastrous under Moore as they were under previous GM Allard Baird. Kansas
City has topped 70 wins only once in Moore's four-plus years running the
franchise, and only twice in the last decade.
And it's hard to say that the 2010 Royals were any better than the group
Moore inherited back four years earlier. Kansas City continues to rank near
the bottom of the American League in most significant batting, pitching and
fielding stats. Many of the cornerstones of the current team—Billy Butler,
David DeJesus, Zack Greinke—already were in the big leagues or nearly ready
when Moore took over.
With a farm system bereft of talent when he arrived, Moore ended up signing a
revolving cast of low-level free agents and veteran trade acquisitions to
fill holes at the big league level. Few of them have turned out to be finds,
and most were soon headed elsewhere. That steady stream of mercenaries should
start to slow down in 2011, thanks to a system almost ready to start
producing significant big leaguers.
Third baseman Mike Moustakas should filter into the lineup at some point
during the season, and first baseman Eric Hosmer could join him before the
end of 2011. All five of the Royals' top pitching prospects—John Lamb, Mike
Montgomery, Danny Duffy, Chris Dwyer, Aaron Crow—will open the year in the
Double-A Northwest Arkansas rotation, and some of them could bolster the big
league staff later in the year. It will be 2012 before the majority of their
best prospects reach Kansas City for good, however, which likely means
another season of struggling at the big league level.
By devoting resources to player development, the Royals finally have found a
possible path of success. They rank fifth in draft bonus expenditures over
the last five years at $37.8 million, and spent heavily again in 2010 to land
shortstop Christian Colon ($2.75 million), outfielder Brett Eibner ($1.25
million) and righthander Jason Adam ($800,000). They've also done well
internationally, finding such talents as Dominican righthanders Yordano
Ventura and Robinson Yambati, Nicaraguan third baseman Cheslor Cuthbert and
Venezuelan shortstop Humberto Arteaga in the last three years.
But just as their investments are starting to pay off, the Royals may have to
plan a different approach. There has been much talk about a mandated slotting
system for the draft beginning in 2012, which would cost Kansas City one of
the few competitive advantages a small-revenue team can have—a willingness
to sign over-slot players.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/rankings/organization-top-10-prospects/2011/2610923.html
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