[情報] Sampras Reigns As Top Player In Ope …
Sampras Reigns As Top Player In Open Era
Photo By Susan Mullane By David MacCarthy
09/28/2004
Roger Federer raised more than the U.S. Open title trophy after his thorough
thrashing of Lleyton Hewitt in the Flushing Meadows final. In sweeping his
third Grand Slam title of the season to secure the year-end No. 1 rank,
Federer's stellar season raised the issue of his place among the greatest
players of the Open Era.
It has been a record-setting season for Federer, whose U.S. Open triumph
marked the first time in Open Era history a man won his first four Grand Slam
finals — 2003 Wimbledon and the 2004 Australian Open, Wimbledon and U.S.
Open titles. Federer became the first man since Mats Wilander in 1988 to win
three majors in a single season and joined Jimmy Connors, who won three Grand
Slam championships in 1974, Rod Laver, who swept the Grand Slam in 1969 and
Wilander as only the fourth man in the Open Era to win at least three majors
in a single season.
With all the talk about Federer’s dominance this year, and his name being
batted about in the best ever category, I found it interesting to revisit an
article posted last year on the Tennis Week site, Raymond Lee’s Numbers
Reveal The No. 1 Player Of The Open Era".
As with Mr. Lee’s take on the greatest female players of the Open era, I
found the analysis of the top men intriguing reading.
To make a solid, conclusive analysis of players’ career achievements in an
attempt to rank them, I believe it is important to use relevant and accurate
data that can be measured and objectively and consistently. A player’s
overall career match record, important titles won, as well as other
significant milestones and accomplishments are integral when comparing
records over several years.
In the modern era, many experts have placed great emphasis on winning Grand
Slam titles, the total amount of time a player reigned as the world's
top-ranked player, and winning the season-ending ATP Tour championships.
Adding the number of Tennis Masters Series' titles to this list could be an
important benchmark. However, the Masters Series was only incorporated in
1990, and while similar high profile events were contested prior to that, it
would not be fair to assign Masters Series equivalents after the fact.
The data I used for determining the top players of the Open Era came from the
following categories:
Career Won-Loss percentage
Won-Loss percentage in the player’s best 5 year period
Career Grand Slam titles
ATP Tour Championships (includes the Grand Prix Masters event)
Year-end No. 1 rankings
Weeks ranked No. 1
All of the data reflected in the chart below comes from the ATP and ITF.
After a careful statistical analysis of the six categories listed above, I've
reached the conclusion that two players stand above all others as the
greatest of the Open Era: Pete Sampras and Ivan Lendl.
Sampras and Lendl, who once trained together at Lendl's Connecticut home, are
statistically tied. However, as Sampras finished first in four categories, he
earns the distinction of being the top player in the Open Era.
Increased depth in the men’s game has made it more difficult for even the
top-ranked player to post a yearly winning percentage above 85 percent. This
is reflected in Sampras’ career won-loss record of 77 percent, and his
record for his best five years of 84 percent. He ranked sixth in winning
percentage for his best 5 years, just narrowly behind Becker in fifth place —
the mere difference of one match victory.
In all other categories, Sampras ranked first, tying with Lendl for the most
number of ATP Tour Championships. Leading four out of six categories tipped
the scales in favor of Sampras, demonstrating his dominance over his peers
for the better part of decade.
Numbers don’t lie, and using accurate data from the ATP has led me to the
judicious conclusion that Pete Sampras is the current definitive leader among
all the great players of the Open era. By the end of this decade we should
all check in to see if Roger Federer’s accomplishments may alter that
assessment.
Note: Agassi’s statistics are through the 2003 season. Although he is still
an active player, his 2004 results would have no bearing on the analysis, and
are therefore not included here.
Best 5 Year Periods
(alternate choices noted in brackets)
Connors: 1974, 1976-1978, 1982 390-34 (.920) 51 titles, 7 Grand Slams.
Borg 1976-1980 358-35 (.911) 42 titles, 8 Grand Slams.
McEnroe 1979-1981, 1983-1984 402-55 (.880) 49 titles 7 Grand Slams (1982:
71-10 .876 5 titles 1985: 74-8 .902 9 titles)
Lendl 1982, 1985-1987, 1989 420-37 (.919) 53 titles 6 Grand Slams (1981:
95-16 .856 9 titles; 1983: 76-15 .835 8 titles; 1984: 62-16 .795 3 titles 1
Grand Slams; 1988: 41-8 .837 3 titles; 1990: 54-12 .818 5 titles 1 Grand
Slam)
Agassi 1994-1995, 1999, 2002-03 288-59 (.830) 26 titles 5 Grand Slams (1998:
68-18 .791 5 titles; 2001: 45-15 .750 4 titles 1 Grand Slams)
Wilander 1983-1985, 1987, 1988 329-75 (.814) 26 titles, 6 Grand Slams
Edberg 1987-1991 355-78 (.820) 25 titles, 4 Grand Slams
Becker 1986, 1988-1991 313-59 (.841) 29 titles, 4 Grand Slams
Sampras 1993-1997 354-67 (.841) 39 titles, 9 Grand Slams
Statistically speaking, this evidence points to Connors possessing the most
impressive numbers, followed by Borg, Lendl, McEnroe, Sampras, Agassi,
Becker, Wilander, and Edberg. It is still interesting to note that Sampras’
numbers don’t reflect the totality of his presence and domination on the men
’s tour for more than a dozen years in the 1990s and into this decade. Many
leading analysts have placed Sampras in the top three all-time. The data here
places him fifth. Numbers don’t always reflect the whole picture. Any set of
data can be gathered to come up with a conclusion. There is more than one set
of statistics that can be used to rank players. There is no right or wrong
answer, or definitive ranking list for the greatest players of all-time, or
from a certain era. The aforementioned players are all great, all are current
or future Hall of Famers, who have made significant and unique achievements
throughout their careers. For the fans, it’s fun to speculate and calculate
rankings for the giants of the modern game, but it can never take away from
their actual achievements on court.
David MacCarthy is a freelance writer and tennis statistician, originally
from New York and now based in the San Francisco Bay Area. He has been an
enthusiastic tennis nut since the 1970s and recently spent time researching
player records for this story at the International Tennis Hall of Fame in
Newport, Rhode Island.
http://www.sportsmediainc.com/tennisweek/index.cfm?func=showarticle&newsid=1151
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獲得他人注意的方法很多
但建立名聲與尊敬的最佳途徑便是通過歲月的考驗
你的名字最後是無人可以抹滅與忘記的!
-Rod Laver-
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