Re: [譯文] The A-Rod Conundrum

看板A-Rod作者cplinn (Solaris)時間19年前 (2006/07/29 00:50)推噓2(2推 0噓 2→)

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※ 引述《fizeau ( )》之銘言： : http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14063787/site/newsweek/ : The A-Rod Conundrum : A-Rod的難解迷團 : On his 31st birthday, Alex Rodriguez is looking more like the curse of the : Yankees than part of the team’s salvation. : 剛過31歲生日的A-Rod不像是洋基這支球隊的救星，反而更像詛咒。 : By Mark Starr : Newsweek : Updated: 4:14 p.m. ET July 27, 2006 : July 27, 2006 - I have always clung to a faith that too much may indeed be too : much. Too wealthy, too beautiful, too talented—none of these lead to a happy : lot in life. It is easy for me to sustain that conviction, having no personal : experience with any of them. But Alex Rodriguez has it all, and the combination : may ultimately provide his team with the only distinction the Boston Red Sox : have had over the New York Yankees: their own curse. : 我一直深信太過頭不是好事。太富有，太美麗，太有才華─這些都不會帶來快樂的生活。 : 雖然沒有親身經歷，我很容易持續懷有這信念。但是A-Rod擁有所有這些，而且這些卻最 : 終給他的球隊增加了原本從前波士頓紅襪與洋基的唯一區別：他們自己的詛咒。第一段就有點不對頭了. 第一句主旨句這麼寫, 最後一段又說一次, 想必作者認為 A-Rod 是他的信念的一個佐證了? "A-Rod 擁有所有這些", 依他的理論的結果應該是 "A-Rod 沒有快樂的生活" 吧? 怎麼忽然談到洋基的詛咒去了? 第一句的 "富有, 美麗, 才華" 是為自己帶來幸福, 最後一句卻忽然變成這些東西 "沒有給別人 (洋基) 帶來幸福" , 這偷渡得也太離譜了吧. 但這偷渡不是偶然的, 是作者在下面文章犯的一個錯誤的具體而微的顯影. 這個錯誤就是預先假設了假如你是一個好球員, 你的球隊戰績就要好; 假如你的球隊戰績不好, 那就是你並不是一個好球員, "統計數字在騙人". 事實上當然不是這樣, 棒球是團隊運動, 統計數字可以告訴你這個球員是好球員, 可以估計球員對勝場的貢獻. 這和球隊戰績不好並不矛盾. 事實上統計數字甚至告訴我們就算這個球員比 replacement level 好得多, 他對球隊的貢獻仍然是非常侷限的. 看看以下幾段, 無一不是在這個假設之下的循環邏輯: 1. : A-Rod has never been a great fit in New York, though this wasn’t recognized at : first in all the excitement over the Yankees wrestling him away from the equal- : ly eager Red Sox. Fans in both places were ready to ignore that there was some- : thing rotten to the core about his escape from Texas. After rising to glory as : a shortstop for the Seattle Mariners, he had taken the biggest of big money (at : $252 million the fattest deal in Major League Baseball history) to join the : Rangers, then fled after just three seasons when Texas couldn’t get near the : top. Never mind that it was Rodriguez who was supposed to get them there since his whopping salary precluded any chance that his team might be able to afford anything resembling a pitching staff. He put up massive numbers—averaging 52 home runs a year—i: n a ballpark designed for massive numbers and led Texas to three consecutive last-place finishes in the AL West. Indeed “last place” doesn’t quite do justice to how wretched : those Texas teams were; the Rangers’ average finish in the A-Rod era was 72-90 : , 33 games out. : A-Rod從未能真正融入洋基隊，雖然這並沒有在一開始被看出來，當他們比當時同樣渴望的 : 紅襪更快搶到他。兩邊的球迷都忽視了他離開遊騎兵的原因。在西雅圖水手擔任游擊手表 : 現搶眼之後，他以聯盟史上最優渥的肥約兩億五千兩百萬進入遊騎兵隊，在經過了三年球 : 隊無法攻頂而離開。更別提他應該是帶領這支球隊達到頂峰的人物。遊騎兵在A-Rod那三年 : 裡的平均戰績是72-90。 (這已經被討論爛了. A-Rod 在遊騎兵的確交出了他應有的成績. 只能說球隊是沒辦法單靠一人贏球的.) 2. : Still, for his first two seasons in New York, A-Rod did put up more numbers, : winning the Most Valuable Player award last year to match the one he got in : 2003 for leading the Rangers into last place. (Imagine where they would have : finished without his MVP numbers). At the same time he has become the poster : boy for the old adage that, in baseball as in life, statistics lie. And he is : currently the center point of an esoteric baseball debate over whether there : really is such a thing as a clutch performer. : 在紐約前兩個球季，他的確打出點成績，在去年贏得MVP，正如同03年帶領遊騎兵打到 : 最後一名一樣。(想像如果沒有他的那些MVP數字，球隊會如何)同時他成為看板球星， : 因為套句古老諺語，在棒球就跟人生一樣，統計數字是會說謊的。而且他目前也是關於 : 一個深奧的棒球爭論，是否真的有關鍵時刻的球員。 (統計數字不會說謊, 統計數字證明了他是個好球員, 證明了他對球隊的貢獻. 這些結論和球隊戰績不佳並沒有矛盾.) 3. : These feelings were festering among Yanks fans well before things turned really : sour this summer. Still, this has been the season of their greatest discontent. : From a distance, one might not even realize how things have gone awry. A-Rod : was once again voted to his regular all-star perch at third base. While his : batting average is down a bit—at .280, it’s his lowest mark since he was a : teenage rookie in Seattle—his 22 home runs and 73 RBIs put him on the leader : boards but hardly atop them. Think David Toms, not Tiger Woods. And far too : often, Rodriguez not only looks bad at the plate, but downright feeble. With 90 : strikeouts, he is on pace for a career high. : 這些想法早就存在於洋基球迷心中。這還是他們最不滿意的球季。甚至無法理解問題出在 : 哪。A-Rod又被選入全明星賽。雖然他的打擊率下滑到二成八，是自從在西雅圖新手以來 : 的最低，今年的22支全壘打及73分打點還是能榜上有名，但是沒有前幾名。而常常，A-Rod : 不僅打得不好，甚至完全一榻糊塗。已經90個三振，快要創生涯新高。 (大概只有真正的 Yankee hater 才會認為 Yankee fans "無法理解問題出在哪裡" XD 還是傷兵太多和先發投手不穩的問題也該算到 A-Rod 頭上? 這樣球隊戰績又可以反過頭來證明 A-Rod 不是一個好球員了, 真方便) (至於 A-Rod 目前表現如何, 可以看看前一陣子他和 David Wright 的比較) 4. : Virtually every publication has used the same two-word phrase—“laughed off” : —to describe Rodriguez’s response to the current rumorfest. (“Note to self: : laugh it off.”) But whatever he may say or do publicly, A-Rod can’t laugh off : the fact that he may be the premier talent at his position, but not remotely : the premier performer in his league. He hasn’t played as well as the third : basemen on two teams—Boston (Mike Lowell .294, 13 homers, 52 RBIs, four errors : ) or the White Sox (Joe Crede .295, 21 67 and eight errors)—with which New : York is competing. If the Yankees don’t make the playoffs for the first time : in 13 seasons, the scapegoating of their third basemen figures to be savage : sport. : 幾乎每份報導都用同樣兩個字來形容A-Rod的反應：一笑置之。但是無論怎麼反應，他不能 : 以笑否決一個事實，那就是他可能是最有天份的，但是完全不是表現最好的。他在三壘比 : 不上紅襪的Lowell與白襪的Crede；這兩隊都是洋基的競爭對手。如果洋基今年是13年來 : 首次無法進入季後賽，這個三壘手會變成代罪羔羊。 (同樣的前提下的結論. 別說現在還不知道打不進季後賽的是誰, 我只知道沒有 A-Rod, 對 Braves, Mets, White sox, 甚至最近 Rangers 的這場都會輸掉) 看這些段落大概也夠了, 不過在進入最後的段落前, 不妨再玩賞一下作者真正露出 Yankee hater 的嘴臉. : This week Yankees general manager Brian Cashman stepped in to try and quash the : rumors, insisting that his third baseman is not going anywhere. I would take : that as gospel—and not just because A-Rod has a no-trade contract. He is a : throwback to a different management era; no team today would invest $25 million : per season in a single superstar, let alone one who might be fading. So A-Rod : and New York are stuck with each other until at least 2010 in what, short of : some postseason heroics or a championship, figures to be a long, scornful : unlove affair. : 本週現金人出面澄清謠言，堅持這個三壘手不會離開。我會當它是福音，而不是因為A-Rod : 有不能交易的契約。他令人聯想到一個不同的經營方式的時代。沒有一個球隊會一年投資 : 兩千五百萬在單一球員身上，更別說是一個可能在退化的。所以A-Rod和紐約會一直在一起 : 到至少2010年，一個缺乏季後賽英雄式表現與冠軍的邂姤。一個專欄作家連洋基實際付的薪水也搞不清楚? 好吧, 這種東西要戰績證明. 我會在季後賽打完回頭看看這段文字. 不過還是讓我們先進入最後一段: : But since A-Rod turns 31 today, let’s, if only for the moment, cut him some : slack. If he wants to compare himself to the defensive whiz Brooks Robinson at : third base, as he did recently, well we all have our delusions. If he wants to : sun himself—conspicuously shirtless—in Central Park, well the New York : tabloids are truly grateful. It really isn’t easy being A-Rod; as I could have : told him, too wealthy, too beautiful and too talented isn’t the recipe for a : happy lot in life. : 但是既然今天是他的三十一歲生日，就讓我們給他輕鬆一點。如果他想把自己比喻為三壘 : 的守護神Brooks Robinson，就讓我們幻想一下吧。如果他想赤著上身在中央公園曬太陽 : ，紐約的八卦小報會很感激。當A-Rod真的不容易；就像我應該告訴他的，太有錢英俊聰明 : 不是快樂人生的保證。所以回到他 "首尾呼應" (其實頭尾的話也是不一致的, 第一段說這三者 "不會" 帶來快樂的生活, 這裡說 "不是快樂人生的保證" , 邏輯上是完全不同的. Mark 先生, 你的信念到底是哪一個啊? XD) 的段落. 他在這落落長的文章裡證明了什麼? 他證明了最後一句的結論嗎? 我們甚至連 A-Rod 快不快樂都不知道 XD. 更別提就算不快樂和 "太有錢, 太英俊, 太有天份" 之間有什麼因果關係了. 這種 "恨屋及烏" 的文章其實沒什麼看或批的價值. 不過留個檔過一陣子再回來看應該會挺有意思的. :P -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 130.219.235.253 ※ 編輯: cplinn 來自: 130.219.235.253 (07/29 02:02)