[外電] Pledge Class: Who could join the 500 Club?

看板AlbertPujols作者 (06 WS Champion!)時間18年前 (2007/01/08 02:35), 編輯推噓7(701)
留言8則, 7人參與, 最新討論串1/1
http://tinyurl.com/y2xoru By Derrick Goold ST. LOUIS POST-DISPATCH 01/07/2007 PLEDGE CLASS There are 20 members of the 500 home run club, and all 15 who have been eligible for the Hall of Fame before this year's vote have been inducted. But a flood of hitters is poised to swell the ranks of this elite club, including an unprecedented four this season. A look at the next wave of sluggers and one hammering Cardinal, ordered by current all-time rank in career homers: Rank Player Age Total HR 162 avg* Yrs** Prediction*** 23 Frank Thomas 38 487 38 <1 574 26 Jim Thome 35 472 41 <1 619 27 Manny Ramirez 34 470 42 <1 691 29 Alex Rodriguez 30 464 43 <1 772 31 Gary Sheffield 37 455 33 1+ 554 39 Mike Piazza 37 419 37 2+ 494 41 Carlos Delgado 34 407 39 2+ 583 67 Chipper Jones 34 357 33 4+ 516 72 Jim Edmonds 35 350 33 4 1/2 492 72 Jason Giambi 35 350 35 4+ 500 76 Jeff Kent 38 345 27 5 1/2+ 433 77 Andruw Jones 29 342 34 4 1/2+ 677 83 Vlad Guerrero 30 338 38 4+ 633 177 Albert Pujols 26 250 43 5 1/2+ 867 Sources: Baseball-Reference.com; The Bill James Handbook (2007 edition); MLB.com. * Average home runs hit in a 162-game season, as calculated by Baseball-Reference.com. 打162場比賽的平均HR數 ** Approximate number of seasons needed to reach 500 at that pace. 達到500HR還需要幾年 *** Predicted career total supplied by the current edition of The Bill James Handbook, which assumes health but factors in an age-related decline in production for its projections. 預測生涯HR數 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.122.224.110

01/08 02:50, , 1F
867...好誇張的數字...我想知道是怎麼預測的
01/08 02:50, 1F

01/08 03:34, , 2F
預測他還能打幾年 然後乘上平均每年的全壘打數吧
01/08 03:34, 2F

01/08 03:35, , 3F
不過好像沒這麼簡單 = =a 因為生涯後期會開始衰退
01/08 03:35, 3F

01/08 03:57, , 4F
哇~~867~~期待15年後
01/08 03:57, 4F

01/08 06:58, , 5F
我覺得預測基本上不太準,接下來這幾年Pujols要50+不難說
01/08 06:58, 5F

01/08 11:07, , 6F
我希望869耶~讓一些日職迷好看XD
01/08 11:07, 6F

01/08 15:59, , 7F
他是想要破王貞治的紀錄嗎XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
01/08 15:59, 7F

01/10 17:55, , 8F
說不定會最早達到500轟
01/10 17:55, 8F
文章代碼(AID): #15eJrrtY (AlbertPujols)
文章代碼(AID): #15eJrrtY (AlbertPujols)