2009 ZiPS Projections - Los Angeheim Angels
http://tinyurl.com/4vcyps
One can say the Angels had a fortunate season in 2008 and still had a good
team. The hardest challenge the Angels have this offseason is how to upgrade
an offense that has entrenched mediocrity in several places rather than a few
gaping Willy Taveras-type holes. Looking at OPS+ relative to league average
for position (from B-R, of course):
Po sOPS+
1B 109
CF 109
C 105
RF 103
DH 99
SS 92
2B 87
LF 82
3B 69
LF and 3B were clearly the biggest problems for the team this year (2B will be
better next season). Luckily for the Angels, the division should still be
rather weak, they are willing to invest in top players, and it's a much
better FA crop than the last few offseasons, so I don't mean to sound doom
and gloom.
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K
Mark Teixeira# 1b 29 .292 .390 .517 144 545 91 159 37 1 28 103 83 103
Vladimir Guerrero rf 33 .305 .372 .504 143 548 81 167 33 2 24 97 54 69
AVERAGE 1B -------- 1b --------------------------------------------------------
Mike Napoli c 27 .241 .351 .479 112 328 56 79 16 1 20 63 51 100
AVERAGE LF -------- lf --------------------------------------------------------
Torii Hunter cf 32 .278 .337 .468 149 564 86 157 37 2 22 91 46 102
AVERAGE RF -------- rf --------------------------------------------------------
Howie Kendrick 2b 25 .315 .342 .433 117 441 61 139 30 2 6 57 14 78
AVERAGE 3B -------- 3b --------------------------------------------------------
AVERAGE CF -------- cf --------------------------------------------------------
Garret Anderson* lf 37 .288 .328 .430 115 444 56 128 25 1 12 62 27 64
Gary Matthews Jr.# rf 34 .268 .340 .409 123 455 65 122 25 3 11 61 47 87
AVERAGE 2B -------- 2b --------------------------------------------------------
Chone Figgins# 3b 31 .280 .359 .362 126 492 80 138 20 4 4 51 59 86
Maicer Izturis# ss 28 .279 .344 .381 106 362 55 101 19 3 4 41 36 38
Juan Rivera lf 30 .268 .313 .446 98 325 40 87 19 0 13 52 21 42
Kendry Morales# 1b 26 .281 .317 .433 112 406 45 114 23 0 13 59 19 60
AVERAGE SS -------- ss --------------------------------------------------------
AVERAGE C ---------- c --------------------------------------------------------
Reggie Willits# lf 28 .268 .365 .328 112 299 52 80 13 1 1 27 45 56
Freddy Sandoval# 3b 26 .267 .325 .378 127 487 59 130 28 1 8 56 40 83
Robb Quinlan 3b 32 .276 .322 .367 80 199 22 55 7 1 3 22 12 29
Christopher Petit rf 24 .249 .305 .401 97 374 44 93 19 1 12 51 24 62
Sean Rodriguez 2b 24 .235 .305 .403 134 489 69 115 26 1 18 71 39 118
Hank Conger# dh 21 .256 .285 .413 97 375 36 96 20 0 13 54 15 62
Terry Evans rf 27 .248 .296 .392 96 355 40 88 19 1 10 46 21 108
Bobby Wilson c 26 .253 .306 .362 99 348 31 88 20 0 6 39 25 57
Brandon Wood ss 24 .229 .283 .393 145 532 62 122 22 1 21 77 38 148
Dee Brown* lf 31 .240 .298 .362 97 359 40 86 18 1 8 41 25 71
Matthew Brown 1b 26 .241 .292 .386 16 482 52 116 30 2 12 61 31 116
Erick Aybar# 2b 25 .265 .304 .356 122 385 54 102 18 4 3 39 18 56
Bradley Coon* cf 26 .258 .320 .311 100 411 54 106 11 1 3 38 33 64
Adam Pavkovich rf 27 .230 .284 .351 107 365 39 84 18 1 8 42 25 83
Jeff Mathis c 26 .214 .274 .340 114 374 48 80 21 1 8 42 29 95
Peter Bourjos cf 22 .239 .270 .345 95 397 47 95 17 2 7 43 14 72
Ryan Budde c 29 .200 .259 .303 61 185 16 37 10 0 3 18 12 46
Hainley Statia# ss 23 .222 .261 .289 103 419 42 93 17 1 3 35 22 48
* - Bats Left
# = Switch-Hitter
Name CThr 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf
Teixeira# Vg
Guerrero Av
Napoli Pr
Hunter Av
Kendrick Fr Av
Anderson* Av
Sarge Lite# Av Fr Av
Figgins# Av Av Av
Izturis# Fr Av Av
Rivera Av Av
Morales# Fr Fr Fr
Willits# Vg Pr Av
Sandoval# Av Av
Quinlan Av Pr Fr Fr
Petit Fr Fr
Rodriguez Av Av Fr
Conger# Pr
Evans Av Pr Pr
Wilson Fr Av
Wood Av Fr
Brown* Av Av
Brown Av Pr Fr
Aybar# Av Av Av
Coon* Vg Fr
Pavkovich Av Fr Av Vg
Mathis Fr
Bourjos Vg Vg Vg
Budde Vg Av
Statia# Vg Vg
Player Spotlight - Howie Kendrick
Name AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K OPS+
Optimistic (15%) .342 .372 .516 131 494 81 169 42 4 12 78 19 79 132
Mean .315 .342 .433 117 441 61 139 30 2 6 57 14 78 104
Pessimistic (15%) .291 .315 .386 101 381 38 111 22 1 4 42 10 75 86
Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Johnny Hodapp, Dave Cash
Player Spotlight - Mark Teixeira
Name AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K OPS+
Optimistic (15%) .323 .426 .590 152 575 113 186 43 1 36 127 97 90 164
Mean .292 .390 .517 144 545 91 159 37 1 28 103 83 103 137
Pessimistic (15%) .264 .353 .447 130 492 59 130 30 0 20 80 64 106 109
Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Norm Siebern, Kent Hrbek
Name Age ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Francisco Rodriguez 27 2.75 5 1 74 0 72.0 56 22 4 35 91
Scot Shields 33 3.47 7 3 66 0 70.0 63 27 7 28 72
John Lackey 30 3.57 13 8 29 29 194.0 187 77 20 48 162
Buzz Oliver* 38 3.57 4 2 52 0 68.0 66 27 6 18 49
Kelvim Escobar 33 3.57 10 6 21 21 141.0 136 56 11 42 124
Ervin Santana 26 3.62 10 6 23 23 154.0 142 62 15 41 136
Jason Bulger 30 3.74 3 2 48 0 53.0 45 22 4 30 64
Jose Arredondo 25 3.75 7 4 63 0 72.0 68 30 7 28 56
Jered Weaver 26 3.75 13 8 30 30 180.0 174 75 19 49 148
LEAGUE AVERAGE RELIEVER - 4.11 -----------------------------------------------
Joe Saunders* 28 4.22 12 11 31 31 192.0 201 90 21 57 120
Justin Speier 35 4.26 3 3 56 1 57.0 55 27 9 20 52
Darren O'Day 26 4.50 3 4 45 0 56.0 62 28 5 18 32
LEAGUE AVERAGE STARTER -- 4.63 -----------------------------------------------
Jon Garland 29 4.71 10 11 30 30 191.0 223 100 20 52 91
Richard Thompson 24 4.91 2 2 27 1 44.0 45 24 6 18 35
Shane Loux 29 4.99 5 7 26 11 101.0 119 56 12 30 37
Stephen Marek 25 5.14 4 5 55 0 63.0 67 36 9 32 42
Nicholas Adenhart 22 5.16 9 12 28 28 164.0 186 94 15 82 93
Giancarlo Alvarado 31 5.17 5 6 23 20 115.0 122 66 16 59 86
Jordan Walden 21 5.17 5 6 23 20 115.0 122 66 16 59 86
Kevin Jepsen 24 5.21 3 5 48 0 57.0 60 33 5 40 38
Nick Green 24 5.26 7 10 29 29 166.0 194 97 24 47 83
Henry Bonilla 30 5.47 4 7 37 11 97.0 112 59 14 40 50
Dustin Moseley 27 5.74 8 13 28 27 149.0 179 95 25 56 94
Chris Bootcheck 30 5.79 2 3 45 1 70.0 81 45 9 36 51
Alex Serrano 28 5.86 2 3 30 0 43.0 55 28 8 9 21
Kasey Olenberger 31 5.95 4 7 28 18 121.0 143 80 22 51 60
* - Throws Left
Player Spotlight - John Lackey
ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
Optimistic (15%) 2.37 19 6 32 32 224 196 59 15 39 215 189
Mean 3.57 13 8 29 29 194 187 77 20 48 162 126
Pessimistic (15%) 4.92 8 9 24 24 150 165 82 22 51 119 91
Top Near-Age Comps: Jack McDowell, Frank Lary
Player Spotlight - Ervin Santana
ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
Optimistic (15%) 3.05 13 5 25 25 174 148 59 15 39 162 147
Mean 3.62 10 6 23 23 154 142 62 15 41 136 124
Pessimistic (15%) 4.54 7 7 20 20 127 131 64 16 41 106 99
Top Near-Age Comps: Javier Vazquez, Erik Hanson
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