PECOTA 對崔熙涉的預測
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Historical Stats
Year Team Lg AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG MLVr EqBA
2001 IOW PCL 266 61 11 0 13 34 67 5 1 .229 .317 .417 -.102 .201
2002 IOW PCL 478 137 24 3 26 95 119 3 2 .287 .411 .513 .270 .247
2002 CHC NL 50 9 1 0 2 7 15 0 0 .180 .281 .320 -.235 .196
2003 IOW PCL 66 17 4 1 6 9 19 0 1 .258 .355 .621 .306 .224
2003 CHC NL 202 44 17 0 8 37 71 1 1 .218 .350 .421 .036 .224
Year Team Lg EqOBP EqSLG EqMLVR VORP Wins EQA Defense
2001 IOW PCL .282 .369 -.257 -15.1 0.0 .221 68-1B 3
2002 IOW PCL .360 .440 .018 15.8 0.0 .269 127-1B -12
2002 CHC NL .293 .353 -.260 -2.4 -0.2 .220 14-1B 0
2003 IOW PCL .313 .537 .045 2.7 0.0 .266 16-1B 2
2003 CHC NL .352 .439 -.016 4.8 0.5 .265 60-1B 0
2004 Forecast
Percentile AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG MLVr EqBA
90o 401 111 25 2 25 60 101 2 2 .276 .378 .531 .197 .283
75o 392 107 25 1 23 58 99 2 2 .272 .374 .520 .172 .279
60o 361 93 22 1 19 53 93 2 2 .257 .359 .478 .082 .263
50o 351 88 21 1 17 51 91 2 2 .252 .355 .464 .053 .258
40o 333 81 19 1 15 48 87 2 2 .243 .346 .439 .000 .249
25o 322 76 18 1 13 47 84 2 2 .237 .340 .424 -.033 .243
10o 287 63 15 1 9 41 77 2 1 .219 .322 .373 -.141 .225
Weighted Mean 346 87 20 1 17 50 90 2 2 .252 .353 .465 .053 .269
Percentile EqOBP EqSLG EqMLVR VORP Wins EQA Defense
90o .384 .566 .246 36.1 3.4 .314 112-1B -2
75o .379 .554 .220 32.4 3.1 .310 110-1B -2
60o .365 .509 .125 20.2 1.9 .295 101-1B -2
50o .360 .495 .094 16.6 1.6 .290 98-1B -2
40o .351 .468 .037 10.5 1.0 .280 93-1B -2
25o .345 .451 .002 7.1 0.7 .274 90-1B -2
10o .327 .397 -.111 -2.7 -0.3 .253 81-1B -1
Weighted Mean .377 .495 .094 21.0 2.0 .289 97-1B -2
Diagnostics
Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate
50.4% 85.4% 7.4% 17.6%
--
This is the Sox. The 2003 Sox. We have a lot of fun with each other.
We're a great team. We pull for each other. No. 1 through 25 on this
roster contributes every night. Even if you're not in the game, we
have guys on the bench helping us out, picking us up.
----Kevin Millar
--
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