2005 PECOTA Projected NL Central Standings
Team W L PCT RS RA
St. Louis Cardinals 92 70 .569 818 708
Chicago Cubs 89 73 .550 773 696
Houston Astros 80 82 .494 724 734
Cincinnati Reds 76 86 .472 789 836
Milwaukee Brewers 73 89 .453 707 781
Pittsburgh Pirates 72 90 .444 700 788
The Astros are going to be a poor team this year. They're two starting
pitchers short of a rotation, and virtually every regular in the starting
lineup comes with a significant age, injury or performance disclaimer.
Frankly, I think 80 wins is on the optimistic side; the team's defense is not
going to be good, and there are more spots with downside risk than upside
risk.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=3877
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