Astros In The Infield - Part I - Chris Burke

看板Astros作者FreeFly ( )時間18年前 (2007/10/31 09:32)推噓3(3推 0噓 0→)

留言3則, 2人參與討論串1/1

這應該會出一系列分析的還蠻清楚的也列出FA的選擇出處: http://mvn.com/mlb-astros/2007/10/29/astros-in-the-infield-part-1-chris-burke/ 懶得翻譯了隨便抓一些重點有興趣的可以去看他整個來龍去脈寫的很清楚太空人打算明年讓Burke守2B Everett守SS Wigginton守3B Tal Smith和Wade重視防守所以不用預期明年Loretta會先發SS或是2B (作者很寶他叫大家不要問他為啥Wigginton防守那麼爛也是讓他先發 XDD) 也要大家不要想Wigginton去守二壘這件事因為他守二壘爛到讓他在三壘像金手套 XDD Burke是01年太空人的狀元他是大學的明星游擊手不過太空人考量他的臂力太差而把他移到二壘他在04年3A .315/.396/.517 with 35 SB 完全是ready的狀態只是McLane想要留Biggio到完成3000H 但是又捨不得把Burke交易出去 .... ~.~ 因為Biggio在外野守備根本是個災難所以Burke就和Scott還有Lane分享上場時間在被改變守備位置還有不是常態上場的狀況下 05年Burke表現的並不好他又被下放到3A 但是正常出賽的狀況下他又表現的非常好在季末又被升回大聯盟 (然後在季後賽18局打walk-off XD) 在這種情況下讓Astros相信當Burke變成everyday player會表現的很好 (這會不會是誤信吧 XD 然後造成太空人的災難 ) Burke在05年紀後賽弄傷的他的左肩 06年又把他弄傷兩次所以他在06年球季結束動了手術避免這個傷變成習慣性脫臼在06年他雖然受了兩次傷但是他中外野的守備表現的非常好作者甚至懷疑如果他沒有受傷Willt-T連個機會都沒有在他先發CF期間 .295/.381/.500 .. 所以太空人認為他07可以代替Willy-T也沒啥意外作者嚴重懷疑他肩膀的傷和手術影響到他的打擊機制因為他07年連回3A也打不好 ... 因為作者不想用小樣本安慰自己 Burke明年就要28了他也沒去打winter ball ( 這我也很不爽一點危機意識都沒有也不打算自我加強如果真的因為傷是讓打擊機制跑掉他就更應該去打winter ball把姿勢是調回來) 作者也不想去臆測他明年的成績因為去年他也覺得今年寶哥會反彈結果沒有所以他已經沒有信心去猜了 XDD 下面是FA的情況 Let’s look at his FA competition: Luis Castillo, age 32. Just finished a 5.75 mill option year. Dude can hit - since he became a full time player in 99, he’s hit right around 300 every year except 01, in which he had a down year. His lifetime averages are .295/.368/.358/.726 (translation - a Mark Loretta singles hitter only 5 years younger). He was a good base stealer when he was much younger, but he’s slowed down a great deal and is caught far too frequently - not even a 70% success rate these past few years. Needless to say, his glove ain’t what it used to be now that he weighs (snicker) 190 - has a ZR of .798 (yikes) and a RF of 4.41 (well, at least Jeff Kent was worse) so let’s say he’s Loretta with a slightly worse glove. Yes, you read that right. 打擊完全是Loretta的翻版是把水槍所有條件都很像但是他年輕五歲但是守備比Loretta更糟糕 (囧那根本是不會守備好消息是比Kent好一點 XD) Damion Easley, age 38. Has been a utilityman, IF and OF, for 4 years now and hasn’t exceeded 300 AB since 02. Obviously, he can’t be a full time 2B and as a utility guy, Bruntlett is younger and better. 不是先發二壘手的料 .. 簡單的說連Bruntlett都比他好 Marcus Giles, age 29. Just finished a 1 year 3.25 mill contract with the Padres, who have just let him go. I have NO idea what on earth happened to this guy. From 03-05, he hit for average (.312) and power (.480), then had a substantial decrease in those numbers last year with the Braves - his OPS dropped 100 points from .826 to .726, and the Braves chose not to offer arb and waived him. The Padres picked him up, and he was even worse, even away from Petco - .252/.318/.354/.662. I know what conspiracy theorists are saying about, uh, substances, but he fell off 2 years after testing started. I really don’t see the point of substituting Giles for Burke. Giles, by the way, still has a very solid glove - RF of 5.08 and a ZR of .829. 03-05他很棒但是忽然間就像遇到鬼一樣整個爛掉他的OPS掉了100 ~.~ 如果說教士是投手球場也不是理由因為他客場打更糟不過他的守備還是很有水準 Tadahito Iguchi, age 33. Just finished his 3 year contract and was paid 3.25 mill this year. The White Sox traded him to the Phils when Utley broke his wrist, so at least in the NL, Iguchi played second for a solid month, did VERY well - .304/.361/.462/.803 in 45 games, then was relegated to bench/utility when Utley returned. His ML numbers are solid - .276/.347/.421/.768 (please remember that most second basemen are Iguchis, not Utleys/Biggio ‘97.) He doesn’t GIDP very often, just 6 in 533 PA this year and 7 over 627 PA last year. He strikes out quite a bit, around 110 times a year, walks around 44 times a year and will steal 12-14 bases a year with a 77% success rate. His glove is solid if not golden - RF of 4.85 and ZR .830. I could see signing him - and someone surely give him 3 years. Adam Kennedy, who was expected to produce similar numbers, was given a 3 year 10 mill contract by the Cards last year, so I would expect Iguchi to get a good 4-5 mill a year contract, which is hardly out of line. 打擊算不錯(Utley和巔峰的Biggio不是天天有的) 他的守備很棒幾乎是金手套等級的他不太會打雙殺打 XD 他預期可以拿到平均4-5M/y的可能為期三年的合約 Mark Loretta, age 36. Finished a 1 year 2.5 mill contract. He’s a good singles hitter, .287/.352/.372/.724 for the year - as we all know, who clearly tired significantly in the second half. Pre ASB, he hit .317/.394/.410/.810 over 243 AB and post ASB, hit .253/.303/.323/.626 over 217 AB. Glove at short simply dreadful. He didn’t play much at second, but the previous year he had a ZR of .805 and a RF of 4.88 and was rated something like 12th of 14 AL second basemen by UZR and Chris Dial (as soon as they post ths year’s data, I will re-post it.) 他明星賽之前明顯表現好很多 (是因為年紀大了體能不足嗎?) 他的守備是倒數的 Kaz Matsui, age 32. Was supposed to be an Ichiro sort of star when the Mets signed him 4 years ago. Unfortunately, the Big Apple took a bite out of him and the Mets traded him the Rockies at the trade deadline in 06 for some chewing gum, if I remember rightly. The booing had completely screwed him up, and when the Rockies signed him, they sent him to AAA for a few weeks to clear his head, and he seemed to be a new guy when he came back up. Of course, he has the usual extreme Coors splits, so just looking at his away numbers, he hit .249/.303/.333/.638, which is not exactly, uh, good. He almost never walks (around 15 a year), strikes out (around 30 a year) or GIDP (about 2-3 a year). As for his glove, well, he was a SS in Japan and started there when he signed with the Mets. Unfortunately, that was a, uh, disaster, so they switched him to second, which worked a little better, and it was clear that he had been improving when they traded him. He’s been really great since he hit Colorado and had a 5.33 ZR and a .866 RF, which is almost as good as Chase Utley, the top dog. I would guess he will get a 1 year contract somewhere with an option, probably a couple mill a year. I’m not convinced that he is even Tad Iguchi with the bat 他剛到大都會根本是個災難不過交易到落磯之後他到小聯盟待一陣子回來就變身了為了去除Coors的效應只看他客場的打擊成績其實很不怎麼樣 XD 他幾乎不會選保送但是也不會被三振和打雙殺打守備的部分以今年去看他完全不比Utley差 Jose Valentin, age 38. Was a SS for most of his career, didn’t play second until 06, when he was actually used more as a utility guy until the Mets decided that Matsui HAD to go and inserted Valentin into his spot. He was hurt and on the DL since the middle of July, not that he’d been either hitting or fieldoing very well. He’d had a career year in 06, but hadn’t hit over his lifetime OPS of .765 since 2001. Actually, he’s been hurt or played part-time for the past 3 years and I doubt he could be a full time second baseman any more. He’s really a utility guy at his age - we ALREADY have a younger better utility guy, as I said before. 簡單的說他老了而且有病痛他現在只能當工具人用 Conclusions? Well, Burke will cost around 500K. Iguchi, the only decent looking ballplayer on the list will cost around 4 mill a year for 3 years and I’m not kidding myself that he’s this great ballplayer. If the Astros waived/traded Burke and signed Iguchi, don’t guess I’d scream as the Willy T luuuuvvvvvers did when their boy got traded. 結論: Burke很便宜市場上唯一看起來比較好的Iguchi一年要四百萬很難想像太空人現在會把Burke丟到Waive然後簽Iguchi XDD So who would I most like to see at second? Bill Hall, that’s who. He’s just a few months older than Burke and is a solid bat who could play second, third or short with a GOOD glove, who has been tossed aside by the Brewers. Hall, like Burke, was put into center, where he didn’t belong, given a very VERY short time in which to excell and once he hurt himself, was relegated to the bench and is MORE than obviously not in the Brewers plans. He’ll be starting the second year of a 4 year 24 mill contract and would cost 4.8 mill next year. In 05 and 06, when he played full time, he hit .280/.331/.530/.870. As for glove, well, he hasn’t played much second since 04 and he doesn’t, uh, fit the defense profile as his RF is 4.84 and his ZR is .804. His numbers had been improving every year, however, and I heard from Brewers fans that Bill works VERY hard to improve himself. I would bet he could be had for 1 young starting pitcher and I would agree to trade pretty much any of the ones we have, as they all look like #4 type guys to me. 交易的話讓作者比較感興趣的是Bill Hall 他年紀和Bure接近他原本也是很棒的內野手但是因為位置問題被放到外野他願意拿現在任何一個四號投手等級的小朋友去換反正那幾個每個長的都很像四號 XDD Anyone who has trade suggestions, let’s hear em - except the ones that go - let’s trade Woody Williams for Chase Utley and we can throw in Borkowski too… 除了拿老無敵去換阿特力的建議任何交易建議大家都可以拿出來討論 XDDDDDD -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 72.227.16.62 ※ 編輯: FreeFly 來自: 72.227.16.62 (10/31 09:38)