[BA ] 2011 Draft
1. George Springer OF
Springer was largely overlooked in high school, taking a back seat to
higher-profile New England draftees like Anthony Hewitt, Ryan Westmoreland
and Chris Dwyer. The Twins took a 48th-round flier on him in 2008 but he went
to Connecticut, and three years later he may have the best all-around tools
of any college player in the last decade. At 6-foot-3 and 200 pounds,
Springer has a skill set rarely seen among college players. He generates plus
raw power with explosive bat speed. He has a plus arm and is a plus runner,
and he's a smooth defender in center field. He struggled early in 2011, when
his hands were tight to his body and his stance was narrow, and he collapsed
on his back side. But he made adjustments and returned to form when Big East
play started, showing scouts why he was the Cape Cod League's No. 2 prospect
last summer. His early-season struggles scared some scouts who question
Springer's swing mechanics, as he can be exposed with velocity on the inner
half. He's raw for a college first-round pick, but Springer may have the
highest ceiling in the draft.
2. Adrian Houser RHP
Houser's last high school outing was one of his best. He took a no-hitter
into the sixth inning and finished with a 16-strikeout two-hitter in the
Oklahoma 4-A quarterfinals, and two days later Locust Grove won its first
baseball championship. Also a center fielder, he scored two of Locust Grove's
four runs and threw out a runner at the plate in the semifinals, and made a
nifty back-to-the-infield catch during the finale. An Oklahoma recruit,
Houser has good size (6-foot-3, 200 pounds) and a quick arm capable of
delivering 90-92 mph fastballs and topping out at 95. He also shows feel for
a hard curveball but has a lot of work to do with his changeup. He uses his
height and a high arm slot to throw on a steep downhill angle. Though he's
athletic, Houser needs to do a better job of maintaining his delivery and
command. His father Mike is the baseball coach at Locust Grove, and one of
his cousins (Bob Davis) spent eights seasons in the big leagues as a big
league catcher.
3. Jack Armstrong RHP
Armstrong will be one of the draft's most interesting calls. The son of
former big league pitcher Jack Armstrong, who was a first-round pick in 1987,
Junior has really been a significant contributor only as a sophomore, going
7-4, 4.71 in 2010. He has performed well for two summers in the Cape Cod
League, earning the No. 6 prospect spot in 2009 and No. 23 in 2010, and he
was a preseason third-team All-American in 2010. He has jumbo size at
6-foot-7, 225 pounds, yet he's athletic enough to do standing backflips.
Armstrong hasn't been fully healthy in 2011 and didn't start pitching until
mid-March while battling back woes. He hasn't flashed the mid-90s stuff he
showed as a freshman, though he has still worked in the low 90s and at his
best has shown plenty of stuff against good competition. His best outing came
in a loss as he threw four hitless innings against Florida, though he walked
four and had more balls (38) than strikes (36). Armstrong throws a curveball
and changeup that have their moments, but he's more of a physical athlete
than a polished pitcher at this point. Signability will matter a great deal
for a player who has been better in the past than he is in 2011.
4. Chris Lee LHP
At 6-foot-3, 175 pounds, lefthander Chris Lee is a stringbean with room to
fill out if his frame will allow it. At his best, Lee had the best fastball
on the Santa Fe staff, which also included hard-throwing Ben O'Shea and state
JC pitcher of the year Malcolm Clapsaddle. Lee touched 94 mph, sat 89-93 and
at times had an above-average slider. He threw well at the state's JC
tournament, raising his draft stock, but also was a known commodity, as the
White Sox drafted him in the 37th round in 2010 out of a Tampa-area high
school.
5. Nick Tropeano RHP
Just about everywhere Nick Tropeano has pitched, he has posted gaudy numbers.
He was named the top prospect in the Atlantic Collegiate League in 2009,
tossed a complete game against Coastal Carolina in NCAA regional play last
year and led Cotuit to a Cape Cod League title last summer by pitching seven
innings of hitless relief with seven strikeouts in the championship game. He
followed all that up with a strong spring as Stony Brook's No. 1 starter,
going 12-1, 1.84 during the regular season with 119 strikeouts against 24
walks in 93 innings. Tropeano's statistics are better than his pure stuff,
and he uses pitching savvy and competitiveness to get hitters out. His
fastball sits at 86-90 mph and touches 92, and he relies heavily on his
secondary stuff. He has arguably the best changeup in the college ranks, a
plus pitch that he'll throw in any count, and a hard slider. He has worked on
a sinker. At 6-foot-4 and 205 pounds, Tropeano has a prototypical pitcher's
body and is an innings-eater, but if he doesn't boost his upper-80s fastball
he'll need
6. Brandon Meredith OF
Some scouts are bullish on San Diego State outfielder Brandon Meredith, while
others are lukewarm. A physical specimen at 6-foot-2, 225 pounds, Meredith
looked like a potential high-round pick after hitting .383/.484/.542 with
seven homers and 54 RBIs as a sophomore in 2010, but a blister problem and a
lack of lineup protection helped cause him to slump to .272/.418/.471 with
five homers and 38 RBIs in an uneven junior year. Scouts who like him say
he's a quality athlete with above-average speed and above-average raw power,
while others peg him as just a decent athlete with average speed and average
raw power. His short, line-drive swing gives him at least a chance to be an
average hitter, but he has holes and still tends to chase breaking balls at
times. He has made a concerted effort to improve his plate discipline, with
40 walks and 46 strikeouts in 191 at-bats this spring. A corner outfielder by
trade, he has played first base (and looked bad there) and even center field
(and looked surprisingly good) this spring. He projects as a fringe-average
defensive left fielder with a similar arm. Enough scouts like him that he
could go as high as the third to fifth round but the consensus has him in the
fifth to eight.
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