Fw: [外電] 川哥帶來的化學效應

看板Astros作者globekiller (世界越快心則慢)時間7年前 (2017/10/23 23:04)推噓8(8推 0噓 5→)

留言13則, 8人參與討論串1/1

※ [本文轉錄自 MLB 看板 #1PxW6lkU ] 作者: ck70815 (ck70815) 看板: MLB 標題: [外電] 川哥帶來的化學效應時間: Mon Oct 23 22:50:18 2017 How Carlos Beltran Sparked Traditional Clubhouse Chemistry for the Data-Crazed Astros by Ben Reiter Oct. 19 2017 原文網址：https://tinyurl.com/yaqjv7rn 運動視界影音版：https://www.sportsv.net/articles/45856 The Nerd Cave keeps expanding. In 2014, the Astros' formidable analytics department, which gave itself its own nickname, employed four members. Three years later, there are nine. Even so, while all of that computational power helped to build a 101-win ALCS participant almost from scratch, it still can't begin to measure, or even understand, what is perhaps the most elusive component of a championship hopeful. Nerd Cave，太空人強大的分析部門給自己的綽號，在2014年只有四位員工，目前已經擴張到九位。即便藉由精準的數據建構出這支 101 勝的球隊，並成功闖進世界大賽，他們依然無法測出，甚至了解奪冠中最難以捉摸的部分。 "I don't think you can quantify it," says the Astros' data-devouring general manager Jeff Luhnow."But that certainly doesn't mean it doesn't exist. You know it's there. Everybody feels it." It is chemistry, by which, among other things, a club's culture allows it to play better than the sum of its parts. It does this while simultaneously propelling individual players to new heights and a heightened resilience. That's the theory, anyway. Metrics-minded skeptics often contend that while it may exist, its impact on a club's bottom line success is likely negligible . Chemistry, they say, comes only from winning----never the other way around----and not even always. While there have been champions with excellent chemistry( like the '15 Royals), and the champions wth bad chemistry (like the late '70 Yankees and '86 Mets), there has never seemed to have been a bad team with great chemistry. 「我不認為那是可以量化的」數據部門總經理 Jeff Luhnow說道，「但很明顯的，它是存在的，因為大家都能確確實實地感受到」，這就是化學效應，好的休息室文化可以使各個環節表現得更好，無論如何，這是它的理論，所以很多心理學者認為雖然它可能存在，不過對球隊的成功是可以忽略不計，他們認為化學效應來自贏球，雖然不總是，但絕不會是相反的，雖然歷史上有良好化學效應的冠軍隊（15年的皇家），以及極差的冠軍隊（70年代末的洋基隊、86年的大都會），不過從沒一支好的化學效應的球隊會是爛隊。 Still, Carlos Correa, the Astros’ star shortstop, can attach a number to how much his club’s chemistry improved his season over its potential baseline: seven. “I’d say of my 24 home runs this year, at least seven have been from that,” Correa says. Specifically, those seven dingers were directly the result of one new teammate: Carlos Beltran, the 40-year-old who signed with the Astros in the offseason. Under Beltran’s tutelage, Correa’s work in the video room becamemore focused. Whereas in his first two seasons, he’d watch only to get an idea of the contents of an opposing pitcher’s arsenal, Beltran helped him to learn how to analyze how the pitcher liked to deploy it. “This year I look at 2–0 counts, 1–0 counts, 3–0 counts,all the counts,” says Correa. “I see where and how pitchers do damage.” Beltran is also a master of the dark art of picking up on if an opponent tends to tip his pitches—that is, whether he does anything different at all when he is throwing one type of pitch versus anotherr—and he’s passed that on to Correa, too. “Maybe they do something with their glove that allows you to figure out if it’s a fastball or a curveball,” Correa says. Despite playing in just 109 regular season games because of a torn ligament in his left thumb that caused him to miss half of July and all of August, Correa still hit a career-high 24 homers. 太空人隊明星游擊手 Carlos Correa 就明確地以數字說出好的化學效應對他造成的影響，「7」,他說「今年的24支全壘打之中，至少有七支是來自好的化學效應」，正確來說是來自新隊友 Carlos Beltran，這位在休賽季期間才簽下的40歲的老將。在 Beltran的督促下，Correa 在影片室更加專注，過去兩個賽季他只會看敵隊投手的投球內容，Beltran 幫助他暸解投手的配球策略，「今年我看了不同球數（ 2-0, 1-0 或其他情形）時，投手的投球內容」Correa說，「我知道如何痛擊投手」。 Beltran 懂得辨識投球細節的黑暗兵法，當投手在投不同球路時，是否做了什麼改變，而他也將這些交給 Correa，「或許他們的手套做了什麼改變，讓你知道他要投直球還是曲球」Correa說，儘管今年因傷只出賽了109場，他依然轟出生涯新高的24轟。 “He hasn’t been afraid to try whatever I tell him about tipping, counts, game situations—but he is the one who had done it,” says Beltran. “I’ve been the provider of information, but at the end of the day it depends on the player to be receptive and say, ‘OK, I like that, let me use it.’ All of a sudden you get results. You gain confidence. Then you start doing it, again and again.” Beltran說「他從來不怕嘗試任何新的資訊，不論是關於不同球數、戰況的情形，他就是那個會完成這些數據研究的人。我只是提供資訊，最後還是要取決每個球員要不是要使用這樣的訊息，或許他會說『太好了，我喜歡這些資料，讓我來善用它們吧』，接著突然獲得好的結果，你就會信心持續做這些事」。 Last winter, Luhnow searched for a productive bat to slot intohis DH spot, but also for something more. Says Luhnow, “We were also looking for some presence, leadership and experience to separate us from the 2015 team.” That team had jumped the organization’s own rebuilding time by reaching the ALDS,only to wilt in a decisive Game 5 to the cohesive Royals. “We had a lot of young players on the 2015 team, a lot of guys having good seasons. We had some veterans in there, but they weren’t necessarily the types of guys that create followership.” The front office identified two candidates: Beltran and Matt Holliday, himself a 14-year veteran. It signed Beltran to a one-year, $16 million contract in early December; two days later, Holliday went to the Yankees on a one-year, $13 million pact. This season, Beltran’s age finally seemed to catch up with him on the field. While he did drive in the Astros’ series-clinching run in Game 4 of their ALDS against the Red Sox, during the regular season he hit just 14 home runs, less than half as many as in a 2016 he split between the Yankees and the Rangers,and his OPS dropped by nearly 200 points, from .850 to .666. Still, the ripple effect of his presence seemed to be even greater than Luhnow could have imagined, and it reached well beyond Correa. 去年冬天，Luhnow 在尋找一支大棒子來填補DH的位置，除此之外， Luhnow也說「希望能找一個有領袖氣質跟經驗的球員，讓我們比2015年時更上層樓」， 2015年剛擺脫重建球隊的形象，並打進美聯分區系列戰，但止步於第五場，敗給難纏的皇家隊，「我們那時有一群很棒的年輕的球員，很多人都打出好成績，也有一些老將，不過他們不是我們要追求的那些」。當時確定的兩位人選分別是 Beltran跟 Matt Holiday，一位有14年資歷的老將。最終，太空人在12月和 Beltran簽約一年1600萬，兩天後，Holliday與洋基簽下一年1300萬的合約。這個賽季，Beltran似乎被年紀追上了，球場上的數據大幅下滑，今年只擊出14發全壘打，甚至不到去年的一半，OPS值也下降 20個百分點來到 .666，然而 Beltan 帶來的影響遠遠超過 Luhnow的想像，更不僅止於 Correa。 “You don’t walk into the clubhouse and see him sitting there checking his phone,”says Luhnow. “He’s watching video, he’s into the game. They’re working the whole time. When a rookie player comes into the big leagues and walks into the clubhouse and sees him doing that, you don’t need to tell him how to behave. It’s like, This guy is potentially a Hall of Famer. He’s towards the end of his career. And he’s still working this hard to get better every day?” During games, between his at-bats, Beltran spends much of his time in the clubhouse consuming video of not just the opposing pitcher and his own at-bats, but of the plate appearances of his teammates as well. If they’ve developed a bad habit, he sees it and lets them know, with video evidence. “I could be pulling off the ball, I could not be following through,” says George Springer, who also set a career high in homers this year, with 34. Couldn’t an astute coach, earning a sliver of Beltran’s salary, do the same thing? “I think you always just think a coach doesn’t know what he’s talking about, as a player,” says Springer. “He’s a player.” 「你從不會走進休息室時，看到他在玩手機」Luhnow說，「他在看比賽影片，他一直在狀況中，這件事的影響是持續地。當菜鳥剛上大聯盟走進休息室時看到他在做的事，你知道不需要再跟這個菜鳥說什麼了。想想看，這個傢伙，準名人堂球員，接近他的生涯尾聲，但他依舊每天看比賽影片來提升自己」。在比賽中每次打擊間的空擋，Beltran 都會花很多時間看投球影片，而且不光是他要面對的投手，也會幫隊友一起看。如果隊友們在打擊上養成什麼壞習慣，他會讓他們知道並且以影片佐證。「我可以拉打更多的球，而不是把球跟得更進來」George Springer 說，他也同樣創下生涯新高的 34轟，難道一位打擊教練領和 Beltran一樣的薪水，就不能有一樣的影響嗎？「你會認為教練不能以球員的角度跟你解釋，但 Beltran 不一樣，他就是個球員」。 “I’ve done it for a long time,” says Beltran, the owner of 435 regular season homers and 16 more in the playoffs—eight of them coming in one magical postseason, in 2004 during his first stint in Houston. “They’ve seen what I have done.” He’s also changed the Astros’ culture in other ways. Most big league clubhouses,including many in which Beltran resided when he was younger, naturally have two factions: one that includes Spanish-speaking players and the other for English-speaking ones. Though most of their Latin stars, like Altuve and Correa, are fluent in English, the Astros’ clubhouse was still divided. “When Beltran came over, that kind of merged it, really,” says third baseman Alex Bregman. Bregman, the 23-year-old who is in his first full big league season, helped. While he received straight-A’s in Spanish in high school in Albuquerque, he committed himself to becoming truly bilingual after the Astros drafted him second overall in 2015. “I want to be able to connect with guys from all different backgrounds,” explains Bregman. “I think that’s what leaders do.” Now, says Bregman, “I’m speaking Spanish 50% of the day.” First baseman Yuli Gurriel, who arrived in Houston from Cuba last August speaking not a word of English, is a regular conversation mate; the two tutor each other in their respective native languages. “We just talk with each other every day, say different stuff in Spanglish,” says Bregman. “Then we tell each other how to say it in proper English or Spanish. He’s picking it up really fast. He’s doing a great job.” “I’ve been on a lot of teams,” says Beltran. “There’s always division. But here, it’s like—I would say, less. People still hang out with the people they’re comfortable with. But when we’re here , you see people talking to everyone, which is great.” 「我已經做這事很長一段時間了」Beltran說，生涯有 435支例行賽全壘打，以及16支季後賽全壘打，其中8支來在夢幻的2004年季後賽，他第一個在太空人的球季，「他們看過我的成就」。除此之外，他也用其他方式在跟改變太空人的球隊文化，大部分的 Beltran年輕時待過的球隊休息室，都會分成兩區，一區是英語系國家另一區拉丁語系國家的球員，儘管他們南美的明星球員，Correa, Altuve 都能說一口流利的英文，但太空人休息室還是有區隔的，「在 Beltran 來之後，球員間真正沒有隔閡了」Alex Bregman說，今年是他大聯盟第一個完整球季，從他 2015年以第二順位被太空人隊選走後，他就自許能成為一個真正能理解這兩種語言的球員，他說「我希望和來自不同背景的球員溝通，我想這就是一個有領袖氣質的球員該做的事。現在，我一天大約有百分之五十的時間是說西班牙語」，一壘手 Yuli Gurriel 去年八月才從古巴來到休士頓，當然，一句英文都不會說，他和 Bregman 成為彼此的外語老師，「我們每天聊，互相指導如何說正確的英語、西班牙語，他學得很快，超厲害的」Bregman說。「我待過很多球隊，他們總是有隔閡，但是在這，我至少可以說很少了」Beltran說，「當然人們還是會選擇相處起來比較舒服的一起出去玩，但至少在這我可以看到所有人都在互相溝通，這是很棒的一件事」。 So when Beltran walked into the Astros’ clubhouse in the minutes after Wednesday evening’s ALCS Game 5, Beltran was surprised by what he encountered: silence. His teammates sat in their lockers, their heads bowed. “I saw people acting different than they did during the regular season,” he says.That’s what a night like Wednesday, and the two that preceded it, will do. The Astros had coughed up a two games to none lead in the series, losing three straight in New York in desultory fashion. A club that led baseball in runs and hits during the regular season had over the course of three games produced just five of the former and 11 of the latter, and was about to head back to Houston a single loss from elimination. Beltran reached his locker, and then turned to face the room. It’s not a big deal, he told his rapt teammates. We gotta look at where we’re at, be realistic. We’re going home. We gotta win two games. We’ve done that a lot of times this year. Let’s not feel sorry for ourselves. Let’s go home and play baseball.Beltran’s address won’t appear in a compendium of great speeches, but it seemed to do the job. The Astros’ sights were reset— from the immediate past to the future. They stood up and began chattering, in English and Spanish and Spanglish, and packing for Houston. 所以當美聯冠軍戰第五戰賽後，當他走進球員休息室時，他很驚訝當時的氣氛–––一片死寂，每個球員坐在他們的櫃子前，低著頭，一語不發，「這是和我在例行賽看到的他們完全不同」，在系列中先取得兩場的領先，卻又在紐約被痛宰了三場，一支在例行賽領先全聯盟得分和安打數的球隊，在三場比賽中只得到五分，而且回到主場卻面臨再輸任何一場就淘汰的局面。Beltran 走到他的櫃子前，轉過身來對著他的隊友說，「這不是什麼大不了的事，看看我們現在在哪，我們回到家，我們必須贏接下來兩場比賽，這件事我們今年做過很多次，沒必要感到遺憾，我們回家並打場好球吧」，當然，Beltran 的演講並不會成為什麼演講範本，但它有效，球員們又開始聊天、溝通，用英文、西班牙文和 Spanglish，並且準備回家。 “There’s never a moment that’s too big for him, and I think that calms everybody lse down,” says Luhnow. The numbers suggest that Astros are now a long shot to reach the World Series, but as even the probability-obsessed inhabitants of the Nerd Cave have come to realize, numbers aren’t everything. Luhnow說「對他而言，這根本不算什麼大場面，我認為所有人都因此冷靜下來了」「數據告訴我們，太空人會是一支奪冠勁旅，但即使是數據狂的 Nerd Cave 都意識到，數據並不是一切」。 ================================================== 第一次在MLB版發文傷眼見諒 m(__)m -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 116.86.56.46 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1508770223.A.B9E.html

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※ 編輯: ck70815 (116.86.56.46), 10/23/2017 22:58:57

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