[分享] 紐媒分析為何村上宗隆不適合洋基
原文:https://bit.ly/4oYjsMo
平常會跑洋基隊的紐約每日新聞記者寫的分析
前面講入札跟日職成績的部分跳過
With tantalizing power, a high ceiling and youth on his side, Murakami’s free a
gency will draw widespread interest. However, the two-time Central League MVP is
a questionable fit for the Yankees’ roster as presently constructed despite pl
enty of rumors and reports connecting the two sides over the last few years.
憑藉令人流口水的長打力量,極高的天花板以及年齡優勢,村上在市場上勢必引起廣泛的關
注。然而儘管過去幾年雙方有連結的傳聞與報導不斷,這位兩屆央聯MVP在目前洋基的陣容
上卻似乎不是理想的人選。
For one, the Yankees don’t have a place for the first and third baseman to play
right now. They have the defensively stellar, light-hitting Ryan McMahon and hi
s tough-to-move contract at third, while the sweet-swinging, cost-efficient Ben
Rice, while capable of catching, is poised to be their regular first baseman.
Both are left-handed hitters, just like Murakami.
首先,洋基的一壘跟三壘現在都沒位置。他們在三壘有防守出色、打擊較弱且合約不好處理
的Ryan McMahon。一壘則是打擊優異、CP值高的Ben Rice,雖然Rice也能當捕手,但預計會
成為球隊的固定一壘手。
而且這兩人跟村上一樣都是左打者。
There are also serious concerns about Murakami’s defense at third. There’s a g
ood chance he ends up at first base in the majors, and the Yankees also have Gia
ncarlo Stanton clogging the DH spot.
村上的三壘防守能力也很令人擔憂,他在大聯盟很有可能只能擔任一壘手,而洋基還有Gian
carlo Stanton佔據了指定打擊。
And for all the pop he possesses — Murakami hit 22 home runs in 56 games this p
ast season after being limited by an oblique injury — the 2022 NPB Triple Crown
winner struck out a ton in a league with less velocity than he will face states
ide. Murakami’s 28.6 K% was the fourth-highest among all NPB hitters with at le
ast 220 plate appearances last year. His 28.8 K% since 2023 is also the fourth-h
ighest.
儘管村上擁有強大的長打火力——他在上賽季腹斜肌拉傷,只打了56場比賽就有22支全壘打
——這位2022的日職三冠王在球速較差的聯盟已經有相當多的三振。村上去年的28.6%三振
率在日職至少220打席的打者中排名第四高。2023的28.8%三振率也是第四名。
Murakami’s propensity to swing and miss at pitches in the strike zone is a part
icular problem. His in-zone contact rate was just 72.6% in 2025, down from 77.1%
during his record-breaking 2022 season.
村上揮棒落空的傾向是個特定嚴重的問題。他今年在好球帶內的擊球率只有72.6%,低於202
2年破紀錄時的77.1%。
For reference, former Yankee Joey Gallo, a strikeout machine, had a 70.6% in-zon
e contact rate for his career. The average MLB in-zone contact rate is 82.5%, an
d NPB sluggers typically see their contact numbers go down when they get to the
majors.
舉個例子,前洋基強力工業電扇Joey Gallo生涯的好球帶內擊球率是70.6%。該數據的大聯
盟平均是82.5%,而日職強打通常來到大聯盟以後擊球率還會再降低。
None of that means Murakami won’t find offensive success in the U.S., but the Y
ankees would benefit from a little more contact in their lineup (that’s not to
say they should completely abandon the slugging approach that made them baseball
’s top offense in 2025).
這些事情不代表村上在美國無法成功,但洋基若能在打線中增添一些擊球率好的打者應該會
更合適。(這並不是說要他們完全放棄今年讓他們成為聯盟最佳進攻球隊,追求長打的打擊
策略)
The Yankees would also love to reestablish their presence in the Japanese market
, which the Dodgers have dominated and made millions off of in recent years. Lan
ding an NPB star like Murakami would help along those lines, but he still has to
make sense roster-wise.
洋基希望能重新在日本市場建立存在感,這個市場近年來一直由道奇主導,並讓他們收入破
豐。若能簽下村上這樣的日職球星確實有助於達成目標,但從名單配置的角度上來看仍需符
合陣容需求。
There will be other Japanese players that the Yankees can target, as Kazuma Okam
oto and Tatsuya Imai are among those expected to join Murakami in international
free agency.
今年也有其他洋基可以鎖定的日職球員,例如預計會跟村上一起進入市場的岡本和真與今井
達也。
A right-handed hitter who can play the corner infield spots, Okamoto hits for mo
re contact. However, he may look for a team that can assure him a solidified sta
rting spot after starring for the Yomiuri Giants, the same NPB team that employe
d Hideki Matsui before he became a Yankees great.
岡本是右打,可以守一三壘,有著更好的擊球率。不過他在讀賣巨人取得輝煌的成績後,或
許會尋求一支可以保證穩定先發的球隊。
Imai, still waiting for the Saitama Seibu Lions to officially agree to post him,
would be the best Japanese pitcher available. A righty, he has a fastball that
is typically in the 95-mph range, as well as a slider and splitter. He would add
depth to a Yankees rotation that has a bunch of arms but will begin the season
with Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón and Clarke Schmidt on the injured list.
今井還在等西武獅同意他入札,會是市場上最好的日本投手。這位右投手的球速在95英里左
右,並且會投滑球跟指叉球。他能為洋基的先發輪值再添深度,雖然洋基投手眾多,但明年
開季至少已經有三個人躺在傷兵名單。
基本上就是講洋基位置沒缺,村上本身的問題,另外兩個日本人可能更適合洋基的需求
大概是這樣
--
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