[分享] MLB投手:很會打速球是吧、那就狂丟變化球
只能說大聯盟真的是很恐怖的地方
Sportsnet藍鳥記者Arden Zwelling撰文分析了岡本目前17場比賽
對方投手對他丟的球
https://reurl.cc/YD4WD0
It’s a fraught exercise to dive too deep into 17 games’ worth of plate appeara
nces, but even over this miniscule sample, trends have emerged.
深入分析僅僅17場比賽的打席其實風險很高，但即便樣本極小，仍然已經出現了一些趨勢
Clubs began the season challenging Okamoto with velocity. Over his first seven g
ames, Okamoto saw a fastball 56 per cent of the time. But over his 10 games sinc
e, Okamoto has been spammed with curveballs and sliders. Since the beginning of
the month, 40 per cent of the pitches Okamoto has seen have been breaking balls
— the second-highest rate on the Blue Jays.
各隊在球季初期主要用速球來測試岡本，前7場比賽中，他有56%的球是速球
但在接下來的10場比賽裡，他則被大量投以曲球與滑球，本月以來他面對的球種有40%是變
化球——這是藍鳥隊內第二高的比例
That makes intuitive sense. Okamoto didn’t face premium, MLB-level heat regular
ly over his last eight years in NPB. In the early going, the league forced him t
o prove he can catch up to it. And once he did — eight of Okamoto’s first nine
hits came off fastballs — pitchers adjusted to see how well he can recognize s
pin.
這其實很合理，岡本在過去8年日職生涯中，並沒有經常面對大聯盟等級的頂級速球，開季
初期大聯盟投手先逼他證明自己能跟上速球，而當他做到之後——前9支安打中有8支來自速
球——投手便開始調整，改測試他辨識變化球的能力
That’s been more difficult. Okamoto entered this week’s series in Milwaukee wi
th only one hit off a breaking ball this season — an opening-day flare to shall
ow left-centre for his first MLB base hit — plus a team-high 50 per cent whiff
rate against curveballs and sliders. A heat map of where all those breaking pitc
hes have been located tells its own story:
這一點對他來說就困難多了，本週對上密爾瓦基前，岡本本季面對變化球只有1支安打——
開幕戰擊向左中外野淺區的落點安打，也是他大聯盟生涯首安——而且對曲球與滑球的揮空
率高達全隊最高的50%，至於這些變化球的落點熱區圖，也說明了一切
https://i.imgur.com/ppVPbsU.jpeg
Okamoto’s strength over his NPB career was pulling pitches in the air for power
while utilizing enough selectivity to run double-digit walk rates and making en
ough contact around the zone to minimize strikeouts. Think Isaac Paredes. A pitc
her’s obvious counter to that is living down-and-away with spin. Locate effecti
vely enough to generate a swing and out-front hitters such as Okamoto or Paredes
are likely to create weak contact off the end of their bats or whiff entirely.
岡本在日職時期的強項，是將球拉打成高飛球形成長打，同時具備良好的選球能力，能維持
雙位數保送率，並在好球帶附近有足夠的contact能力來降低三振率
可以把他想像成Isaac Paredes這種類型的打者，對付這種打者，投手最直接的策略就是用
變化球攻擊外角低位置，只要控球到位、誘使出棒，像岡本或Paredes這種出棒較早的打者
，很容易擊中球棒前端形成軟弱擊球，甚至直接揮空
But Okamoto showed encouraging signs of adjusting back late in Tuesday’s wacky,
roller-coaster victory over the Brewers. In a 1-1 count against Angel Zerpa in
the seventh, Okamoto anticipated a slider away, stayed on it, and sent a groundb
all single back up the middle. Then, against Trevor Megill in the ninth, he look
ed at a couple of curveballs beneath the zone before seeing one high enough to c
hop through the left side of a drawn-in infield and tie a game.
不過在週二對戰釀酒人的戲劇性勝利後段，岡本也展現出調整的正面跡象，第七局面對Ange
l Zerpa時，在1好1壞的情況下，他預判外角滑球並跟進擊球，將球打成中間方向的滾地安
打
接著在第九局對上Trevor Megill時，他先選掉幾顆落在好球帶下方的曲球，之後逮到一顆
偏高的球，敲向左側內野穿越趨前守備，追平比分
Okamoto saw a team-high 19 breaking balls during that Brewers series — 10 of th
em outside the strike zone. But he chased only two of those pitches. And when Br
andon Sproat missed over the plate with an 0-2 sweeper in Thursday’s second inn
ing, Okamoto pounced and drove it 379 feet to right-centre. Milwaukee’s America
n Family Field held it. But it would have been a home run at half of MLB’s 30 b
allparks, including Rogers Centre.
在那個系列賽中，岡本總共面對全隊最多的19顆變化球，其中有10顆在好球帶外，但他只追
打了其中2顆，而在週四第二局，當Brandon Sproat在0好2壞時投出一顆失投滑球進入好球
帶，岡本毫不猶豫出棒，將球擊向右中外野379英尺，雖然在American Family Field被接殺
，但如果是在30座大聯盟球場中約一半的球場——包括Rogers Centre——這球其實都會形
成全壘打
--
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※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1776436304.A.5B8.html
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