[分享] 其他隊高層分析Skubal交易

看板Baseball (棒球)作者polanco (polanco)時間1小時前 (2026/05/23 07:38)推噓0(0推 0噓 0→)

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Robert Murray寫的報導全文：https://bit.ly/3Rm49lm 報導中段有請三位球團高層分析Skubal交易 What do MLB executives think the Tigers can get for Tarik Sukbal? 大聯盟球隊高層怎麼看老虎隊交易Sukbal的回報？ Executive 1: “I don’t think anyone can answer that. I don’t think we have eve r seen a pitcher this good coming off such a bizarre injury. He’s playing for a team that is trying to win themselves, so there are so many factors at play. If I had to answer, I’d say one top-100 prospect plus a top-15 and one more throw in.” I asked if he would do it. “The Padres will,” he responded. 高層1：「我認為沒人能真正回答這個問題。我們可能從未看過一位這麼頂級的投手，同時剛經歷這麼特殊的傷勢，而他效力的球隊也還想贏球，牽涉的因素實在太多了。硬要我回答的話，我會說至少是一位百大新秀，加上一位農場前15名的新秀，再加一個配菜。」記者問到他自己會不會做這筆交易時他回答：「教士隊會。」 Executive 2: “It would have to be a [Dave] Dombrowski or [AJ] Preller to get a top prospect. Everyone else treats it like Wall Street and asset value so my gue ss is a couple of top 10 prospects for a couple months of him. Or [Andrew] Fried man could go out and get him. He ups a team's chances to win the World Series by a pretty big margin. You get two starts in that five-game series. Friedman gets him, that’s my prediction.” 高層2：「這得要像Dave Dombrowski或AJ Preller那樣的總管，才會願意拿頂級新秀出來換。其他人大多都像華爾街一樣評估資產價值，所以我猜大概是幾位隊內前10名的新秀去換他兩個月的使用權。或者Andrew Friedman也可能出手，Skubal能大幅提升球隊奪冠的機率。在五戰三勝系列賽裡，你能讓他先發兩場。我預測 Friedman會把他交易過去。」 Executive 3: “It’s so difficult to tell but I think it would start at one top- 50 and another top-100 prospect. If it was a top-10 prospect in the game maybe i t could be that plus a fringe top-100 guy also (plus probably 1-2 throw-in types . In scouting terms we would say probably two ‘B1’ Grade prospects as a start and then a couple ‘C’ grades also. “Skubal is tough though as a two month rental with injury risk because it’s to ugh for a team to just come up with the close to $12-14 million he will be owed after a trade that isn’t budgeted for. Teams don’t typically have a bunch of e xtra cash laying around midseason so it takes an ownership group willing to find extra cash. If the Tigers pay down the salary the return could be better.” 高層3：「真的很難判斷，但我認為起碼會從一位前百大前50，再加一位百大新秀開始談。如果出的是聯盟前十等級的新秀，那可能再搭配一位接近百大的新秀就夠了（也許再多加配菜型的球員）。在球探術語中，我們會說也許兩個B1等級的新秀起跳，然後再附加一些C級新人。不過Skubal的情況很棘手，因為他只是兩個月的租借球員，而且還有傷病風險。另一個問題是交易後球隊還得額外負擔大約1200 萬到1400 萬美元薪資，這筆錢不會列入季中的預算。球隊通常不會在季中突然有一大筆現金，所以需要老闆點頭額外掏錢。如果老虎願意分攤部分薪資，回報可能會更好。」 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 114.39.2.40 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1779493136.A.0A2.html