[分享] MLB 2026選秀預測

看板Baseball (棒球)作者Yjizz (Zz菊池大谷西舘zZ)時間1小時前 (2026/06/19 12:47)推噓1(1推 0噓 2→)

留言3則, 2人參與討論串1/1

The Draft is less than a month away. How will the top 3 -- and more! -- shake out? Jim Callis https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-pipeline-2026-mock-draft-june-18 完整報導請點閱原文今年似乎沒像去年游擊海那麼誇張了。距離選秀大會還有23天，今年NCAA錦標賽爆出太多冷門，許多頂尖大學球員的賽季提前結束了。過去兩三週並沒有太多新的有效情報。不過隨著各隊在6月23日至26日於 Chase Field（Phoenix）舉行的MLB選秀聯合訓練營上，進行面試和體檢，這種情況應該會有所改變。正如一位在首輪後半段選秀的球探主管所說：“通常這個時候我們已經鎖定三四名球員作為重點關注對象，但今年卻有15名左右要觀察。” 近期最大的新聞是關於UCLA右投 Logan Reddemann。他原本有望成為第二位被選中的大學投手，但由於手臂疲勞缺席了最後六場先發。現在得知，他在周一重返投手丘之前，就已經遭遇了屈肌拉傷。週一，他在UCLA實戰擊球練習中狀態良好。他將於下週三在選秀聯合訓練營再次登板投球。以下預測涵蓋前40順位，包括五支球隊（大都會、費城人、洋基、藍鳥、道奇）的首輪選秀權。這五支球隊因在2025年超過了競爭平衡稅的第二層門檻，而被罰跌10位。（括號內為MLB 2026選秀新秀 TOP 200 排行） **First Round 1. White Sox: Roch Cholowsky, SS, UCLA (No. 1) 2. Rays: Vahn Lackey, C, Georgia Tech (No. 3) 3. Twins: Grady Emerson, SS, Fort Worth (Texas) Christian HS (No. 2) 我們把這三位球員放在一起討論，因為大多數球隊都認為白襪、光芒和雙城會在選秀大會前三順位選擇公認的最有潛力的三位新秀。當然，他們也在認真檢視其他選擇，而且一直有傳言說Kentucky（肯塔基大學）的遊擊手Tyler Bell可能會接受降薪，從而在前五順位被選中。但如果選秀一開始沒有出現 Cholowsky、Emerson 和 Lackey 被選中的先例，那將是一個意外。經過一番分析和計算，以下是對每種可能組合的機率預測： Cholowsky (CWS), Lackey (TB), Emerson (MIN): 26 percent Cholowsky (CWS), Emerson (TB), Lackey (MIN): 24 percent Emerson (CWS), Lackey (TB), Cholowsky (MIN): 21 percent Emerson (CWS), Cholowsky (TB), Lackey (MIN): 19 percent Lackey (CWS), Emerson (TB), Cholowsky (MIN): 5 percent Lackey (CWS), Cholowsky (TB), Emerson (MIN): 5 percent 4. Giants: Jacob Lombard, SS, Gulliver Prep, Miami (No. 4) 5. Pirates: Eric Booth Jr., OF, Oak Grove HS, Hattiesburg, Miss. (No. 6) 6. Royals: Jackson Flora, RHP, UC Santa Barbara (No. 5) 7. Orioles: Drew Burress, OF, Georgia Tech (No. 7) 8. Athletics: Ryder Helfrick, C, Arkansas (No. 13) 9. Braves: Gio Rojas, LHP, Stoneman Douglas HS, Parkland, Fla. (No. 8) 10. Rockies: Derek Curiel, OF, Louisiana State (No. 12) 11. Nationals: Chris Hacopian, 2B, Texas A&M (No. 10) 12. Angels: Liam Peterson, RHP, Florida (No. 14) 13. Cardinals: AJ Gracia, OF, Virginia (No. 17) 14. Marlins: Ace Reese, 3B, Mississippi State (No. 21) 15. Diamondbacks: Cameron Flukey, RHP, Coastal Carolina (No. 11) 16. Rangers: Tyler Bell, SS, Kentucky (No. 20) 17. Astros: Justin Lebron, SS, Alabama (No. 9) 18. Reds: Trevor Condon, OF, Etowah HS, Woodstock, Ga. (No. 22) 19. Guardians: Jared Grindlinger, OF/LHP, Huntington Beach (Calif.) HS (No. 18) 20. Red Sox: Bo Lowrance, 3B, Christ Church Episcopal HS, Greenville, S.C. (No. 38) 21. Padres: Cole Prosek, 3B/C, Magnolia Heights HS, Senatobia, Miss. (No. 33) 22. Tigers: Tyler Spangler, SS, De La Salle HS, Concord, Calif. (No. 49) 23. Cubs: Sawyer Strosnider, OF, Texas Christian (No. 16) 24. Mariners: Tegan Kuhns, RHP, Tennessee (No. 24) 25. Brewers: Hunter Dietz, LHP, Arkansas (No. 15) **Prospect Promotion Incentive Picks, 新秀獎勵選秀 26. Braves: Logan Reddemann, RHP, UCLA (No. 28) 27. Mets: Aiden Robbins, OF, Texas (No. 30) 28. Astros: Zion Rose, OF, Louisville (No. 31) **Competitive Balance - Round A, 競爭平衡選秀 29. Giants: Carson Bolemon, LHP, Southside Christian HS, Simpsonville, S.C. (No. 23) 30. Royals: Brody Bumila, LHP, Bishop Feehan HS, Attleboro, Mass. (No. 19) 31. Diamondbacks: Cole Carlon, LHP, Arizona State (No. 25) 32. Cardinals: Aiden Ruiz, SS, The Stony Brook (N.Y.) School (No. 36) 33. Rays: Landon Thome, 2B/3B, Nazareth Academy, La Grange Park, Ill. (No. 37) 34. Pirates: Coleman Borthwick, RHP, South Walton HS, Santa Rosa Beach, Fla. (No. 35) 35. Yankees: Daniel Jackson, C, Georgia (No. 39) 36. Phillies: Cade Townsend, RHP, Mississippi (No. 27) 37. Rockies: Mason Edwards, LHP, Southern California (No. 34) **Second round 38. Rockies: Logan Schmidt, LHP, Ganesha HS, Pomona, Calif. (No. 43) 39. Blue Jays: Taylor Rabe, RHP, Mississippi (No. 90) 40. Dodgers: Taj Marchand, SS, James Island HS, Charleston, S.C. (No. 46) ｜Jim Callis is a reporter for MLB.com. Follow him @jimcallisMLB. Listen to him ｜on the weekly MLB Pipeline Podcast. ※ MLB 2026年的完整選秀順位 https://www.mlb.com/draft/2026/order ※ 2025 選秀結果 1~43 https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1752455672.A.BAD.html -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 49.217.121.75 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1781844423.A.ED5.html