[閒聊] BP Toronto Blue Jays Top 11 Prospects
System in 20 Words or Less: Plenty of recent picks and trades have
transformed the system into one of baseball's deepest.
Five-Star Prospects
1. Kyle Drabek, RHP
2. J.P. Arencibia, C
Four-Star Prospects
3. Brett Lawrie, 2B
Three-Star Prospects
4. Travis d'Arnaud, C
5. Deck McGuire, RHP
6. Carlos Perez, C
7. Adeiny Hechavarria, SS
8. Zach Stewart, RHP
9. Anthony Gose, CF
10. Aaron Sanchez, RHP
11. Asher Wojciechowski, RHP
Nine More:
12. Eric Thames, OF: As of now, this spot might be low, because he could be
solid, everyday corner outfielder.
13. Dickie Joe Thon, SS: This $1.5 million fifth-rounder has the tools to
rank higher, but he needs more polish.
14. Adonis Cardona, RHP: The Venezuelan teen got a $2.8 million bonus, but
he's raw, but he also has an absolutely huge arm.
15. Noah Syndergaard, RHP: A teenage righty with length and projection,
Snydergaard needs to tighten up his secondary stuff.
16. Henderson Alvarez, RHP: Scouts love his stuff, yet wonder why the results
rarely match.
17. Jake Marisnick, OF: A tremendous athlete, but he's far away from being a
tremendous baseball player.
18. Griffin Murphy, LHP: He possesses a good fastball, better curve,
and--like many young Jays pitchers--tons of projection.
19. Kellen Sweeney, 3B: The younger brother of Ryan has the same pretty swing
from the left side of the plate.
20. Chad Jenkins, RHP: This 2009 first-round pick had a so-so full-season
debut, but looks like future innings-eater.
1. Kyle Drabek, RHP
DOB: 12/8/87
Height/Weight: 6-1/190
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: First round, 2006, The Woodlands HS (TX)
2010 Stats: 2.94 ERA (162.0-126-68-132) at Double-A (27 G); 4.76 ERA
(17.0-18-5-12) at MLB (3 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Curve/changeup
Year in Review: The top prize received back from the Phillies in the Roy
Halladay deal limited Eastern League hitters to a .215 batting average, and
looked like he belonged during his brief big-league debut.
The Good: Drabek's combination of elite athleticism, plus velocity, and one
of the best breaking balls in the prospect world gives him All-Star
potential. He throws an 89-93 mph two-seamer that he can cut or sink, and can
dial his four-seamer up to 97 when he rears back for something extra. His
over-the-top hard curveball is a plus-plus monster with plenty of bite, and
he generates as many strikeouts with it as the fastball. Previous questions
about his makeup are no longer discussed, as he came out of Tommy John
surgery with considerably more maturity and an outstanding work ethic.
The Bad: Drabek has greatly improved his changeup, and while it projects as
an average pitch in time, it isn't quite there yet. His command and control
waver from above average to below, depending on the outing.
Ephemera: Drabek was the highest drafted player ever out of The Woodland
until last June, when Jameson Taillon was the second overall selection by the
Pirates.
Perfect World Projection: He would be an All-Star starter.
Fantasy Impact: While he won't compete for strikeout titles, he'll certainly
contribute in every category.
Path to the Big Leagues: Drabek was expected to compete for a big-league
rotation job this spring, but the Shaun Marcum trade makes his path that much
easier. Barring a disastrous spring, he'll open the year with Toronto.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12746
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