[閒聊] Top 20 Prospects for 2012
1) Travis D'Arnaud, C, Grade B+: Borderline A-: He would be an A- or maybe
even an A if he was more effective at throwing out runners and struck out
less often, but he can really hit and is still a superior prospect even with
those weaknesses.
2) Nestor Molina, RHP, Grade B+: Ranking the Blue Jays pitching prospects is
quite difficult. Although Molina hasn't received as much press as some of the
other guys, his performance was impeccable, I think his stuff is underrated,
and he'll get to the majors sooner than the others. Despite his season, he is
still underrated by a lot of people.
3) Jake Marisnick, OF, Grade B+: Speed, defense, and a greatly improved bat.
More power development would get him into the A-range.
4) Noah Syndergaard, RHP, Grade B+: I'm a believer in his stats, his size,
his command, and his fastball, and I think the secondary stuff will come
around. Can easily be in the A-range next year.
5) Justin Nicolino, LHP, Grade B+: I think Syndergaard's ultimate ceiling is
a bit higher, but Nicolino isn't far behind, and is more polished with his
secondary pitches. Could also be in the A-range next year.
6) Daniel Norris, LHP, Grade B+: Higher physical ceiling than Nicolino, but I
want to see him in pro ball before ranking him ahead.
7) Deck McGuire, RHP, Grade B+ Doesn't have the ceiling of the younger guys,
but should be a solid inning-eater at worst and won't need much longer in the
minors.
8) Drew Hutchison, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+. I'm trying to decide between
these two grades, but either way you can't argue with his results even if he
doesn't have as much physical upside as the guys ahead. Like McGuire, an
efficiency expert who should chew through innings.
9) Anthony Gose, OF, Grade B: Other people will probably rank him higher due
to his tools. He's made a lot of progress, but his hitting approach remains
quite raw and the strikeout rate still bothers me. Made big strides refining
his defense and baserunning. Grade A tools, Grade C+ skills, makes him a
strong Grade B overall.
10) A.J. Jimenez, C, Grade B-: Superior defensive skills and hits for
average, even steals a few bases. How much power will he develop?
11) Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Grade B-: Very high upside arm, didn't blossom as
some of the other guys did, but that could come in 2012 with some command
refinements.
12) Asher Wojciechowski, RHP, Grade B-: His season was not as bad as you
think and he was hot towards the end. Breakout candidate for 2012.
13) Adonys Cardona, RHP, Grade B-: High-upside projectable big-bonus arm from
Venezuela, rookie ball performance was spotty but he is very young. Potential
for a much higher grade next year.
14) Jacob Anderson, OF, Grade B-: Power bat from
15) Dwight Smith, Jr, OF, Grade B-: Pure hitter from Georgia high school
ranks, and I think his tools may be underrated. Need some professional data
before ranking higher.
16) Joe Musgrove, RHP, Grade B-: High school arm from 2011 draft looking to
repeat what Nicolino and Syndergaard did this year. Big body, good stuff,
showed good control in rookie ball debut.
17) Matt Dean, 3B, Grade B-: Another upside guy from 2011 draft that we need
to see in pro ball. Potential to hit for power, hit for average, and provide
solid defense at third.
18) Adeiny Hechavarria SS, Grade C+: Borderline B-. I like the glove, but I think the Vegas numbers
were a fluke. Could turn out similar to the Alex Gonzalezi. I might be
underrating him a bit but he's never looked good with the bat when I've seen
him.
19) Joel Carreno, RHP, Grade C+: Borderline B-. Ready for the majors. Should
provide strong middle relief innings and could be a closer eventually.
20) Chad Jenkins, RHP, Grade C+: Borderline B-. In many systems he would be a
top ten prospect as an inning-eating number four starter. Here he may end up
as trade bait.
21) Carlos Perez, C, Grade C+: Borderline B-: Not a great season in the
Midwest League, but I still think he has the potential to develop into a
regular major league catcher. I had him at 18 originally but I think that was
too high and am moving him down a few notches.
22) Marcus Knecht, OF, Grade C+: Prototype right field tools, good power,
will have to see about his batting average. You can make a B- case.
23) Moises Sierra, OF, Grade C+: Tools outfielder with power/speed package
made progress in Double-A.
24) Michael Crouse, OF, Grade C+: Another power/speed outfielder with a high
ceiling but needing work with his approach.
25) Roberto Osuna, RHP, Grade C+: Pitched in the Mexican League at age 16.
Tremendous ceiling, but could develop in any number of ways, talent to be in
the top ten or higher in coming years if he develops properly.
OTHERS OF NOTE: Eric Arce, OF; Danny Barnes, RHP; Mark Biggs, RHP; Kevin
Comer, RHP; David Cooper, 1B; Evan Crawford, LHP (should be a great LOOGY),
Anthony DeSclafini, RHP; Jeremy Gabryszwski, RHP; Chris Hawkins, OF;
Christian Lopes, INF; Michael McDade, 1B; Griffin Murphy, LHP; Santiago
Nessy, C; Sean Nolin, LHP; Tom Robson, RHP; John Stilson, RHP; Mitchell
Taylor, LHP, Dickie Thon, SS; Chino Vega, SS.
What can you say? This system has incredible depth, and a year from now it
could look even better, depending on how Nicolino, Norris, and Syndergaard
perform in full-season ball, not to mention hitters like Smith and Dean who
are just getting started. Sanchez and Woj have the natural ability to zoom up
the list as well.
Many of the C+ guys (and even some of the Cs) have B or even A-level physical
ceilings but need to play and get some experience in, particularly pitchers
like Carmona and Osuna.
Overall, I think this list speaks for itself. There is upside with guys who
could be stars, there are solid future role players, there are arms, there
are bats, there is power, there is speed, there is defense. It will be
interesting to see if the Blue Jays are able to keep the talent spigot on
full blast under the new CBA.
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/11/30/2601596/toronto-blue-jays-top-20-prospects-for-2012
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