Rotoworld Top 10 prospects : Blue Jays
1. Alexis Rios - OF - Age 23 - ETA: April 2005
.352/.402/.521,11 HR,82 RBI,85/39 K/BB,11 SB in 514 AB for Double-A New Haven
It took four years, but Rios finally emerged as a top prospect in 2003,becoming
the Eastern League MVP by posting an OPS 235 points higher than his career
total entering the year. The former first-round pick figures to continue to add
power as he matures, maybe turning into a 25-30 homer guy. He's a legit center
fielder defensively, but he'll end up in a corner in Toronto. If his pitch
recognition and strike-zone judgment improve, he could be a star.
四年的時間,終於在2003年讓Rios 浮現為Top prospect ,並獲得的東方聯盟的MVP。
Rios 今年的OPS,遠比他過去的生涯平均高了千分之235。
這位過去於第一輪選秀被選進的球員,隨著他年紀的成熟,逐漸長出了power, 未來可能
成為一個25-30支HR的打者。他是個正統的中外野手,但因為V.Wells 的關係而會被擠到
corner 去,如果他的球路辨識跟好球帶判斷能力有所改善,將來他可能會是明星級球員。
2. Dustin McGowan - RHP - Age 22 - ETA: Sept. 2004
5-6, 2.85 ERA, 62 H, 66/25 K/BB in 75 2/3 IP for Single-A Dunedin
7-0, 3.17 ERA, 78 H, 72/19 K/BB in 76 2/3 IP for Double-A New Haven
McGowan, the 33rd overall pick in the 2000 draft, is steadily making the
transition from thrower to pitcher. He still lacks consistency with his power
curve and changeup, but he's getting better, and his mid-90s fastball is
overpowering at times. It's not really a stretch to label McGowan as a
potential ace, but I think of his as more of a No. 2. Expect him to make his
major league debut before the end of next season.
McGowan,2000年第33順位被選進的球員,穩定的從一名thrower 轉變成一位投手
(意即從只是丟球變成會投球)。他的強力曲球跟變速球還是欠缺穩定性,不過已經逐漸在
進步當中,而且他的mid-90s fastball 不時能力壓對手。還無法篤定的說McGiwan 有成為
ACE 的潛力,但他應該不僅僅是個No.2。預期McGowen 會在明年球季(2004)的結束前會登上
Major League。(反正McGowen 上來當Halladay 之後的第二號,應該相當合適~)
3. Gabe Gross - OF - Age 24 - ETA: Aug. 2004
.319/.423/.481, 7 HR, 51 RBI, 53/52 K/BB, 3 SB in 310 AB for Double-A New Haven
.264/.380/.456, 5 HR, 23 RBI, 56/31 K/BB, 1 SB in 182 AB for Triple-A Syracuse
Gross rebounded well after a down 2002, earning himself a spot on Team USA for
the Olympic qualifying tournament in the process.He does a great job of getting
on base and is developing into a quality defensive right fielder. The next step
is for him to turn some doubles into home runs. Once that happens, he'll be
ready to take over as a regular for the Blue Jays It could happen in the second
half of 2004 or in 2005.
Gross 從他2002球季的糟糕表現反彈上來,也為他爭取到美國代表隊的一個位置,去參加
奧運的美洲區資格賽。他今年打得不錯,比賽時表現出上壘能力,並且發展成為一個有優
質守備的右外野手。Gross 的下一步就是要把他的一些二壘打轉換成全壘打,當他確實辦
到之時,即代表著他準備好接下Blue Jays 的正選右外野手了。這件事可能在2004的下半
球季或者2005年就會發生。
4. Jason Arnold - RHP - Age 24 - ETA: June 2004
3-1, 1.53 ERA, 18 H, 33/11 K/BB in 35 1/3 IP for Double-A New Haven
4-8, 4.33 ERA, 121 H, 82/46 K/BB in 120 2/3 IP for Triple-A Syracuse
Arnold, who along with John-Ford Griffin has been traded from the Yankees to
the A's to the Blue Jays, couldn't master Triple-A and make the jump to the
majors last season. It should happen next year. The former second-round pick
complements an average fastball and slider with a palmball that he can use
against both righties and lefties. Many think he'll end up in the bullpen, but
he deserves a chance to establish himself as a third or fourth starter. If it
doesn't happen, he'll be an effective setup man.
Arnold(跟John-Ford Griffin 都是輾轉從Yankees --> A's 交易過來),由於應付不了3A,
使得他無法一舉在今年跳上Major League。但他明年(2004)應該就會升上來。
這個過去第二輪選秀被選進的球員,有著平均水準的fastball 和slider,並搭配
palmball(掌心球),可以來對付右打者以及左打者。很多人認為他最終會進入牛棚,成為
中繼投手,但值得給他一個機會,讓他試試能否頂上第三或第四號的先發投手。如果不能
成為先發,他也應該會是個不錯的setup man。
5. Guillermo Quiroz - C - Age 22 - ETA: April 2005
.282/.372/.518, 20 HR, 79 RBI, 83/45 K/BB,0 SB in 369 AB for Double-A New Haven
Kevin Cash will get his chance to secure the job in 2004,but the Blue Jays seem
to have a new catcher of the future in Quiroz, who was signed out of Venezuela
in 1998. The 22-year-old doesn't quite have Cash's defensive skills, but he is
very good with the glove and he has far more offensive ability. He could hit
.260 with 20 homers per year in the majors.Expect him to spend 2004 in Triple-A
and take over as Toronto’s catcher in 2005.
Kevin Cash 2004球季的地位應該穩固,不過Blue Jays 又出現一個新的未來捕手人選,那
就是1998年在委內瑞拉所簽下的Guillermo Quiroz。22歲的Quiroz 的防守功力當然無法跟
Cash 相比(Cash 的防守技能相當強,阻殺很猛),但他接球的功夫相當好,而且打擊也比
Cash 強多了。他在Major League 可以打出0.260 20HR的成績。預期2004球季他會在3A渡
過,2005年會接管Blue Jays 的正選捕手之位。
6. Vince Perkins - RHP - Age 22 - ETA: Sept. 2005
3-1, 1.83 ERA, 19 H, 60/22 K/BB in 44 1/3 IP for Low Single-A Charleston
7-6, 2.45 ERA, 58 H, 69/53 K/BB in 84 1/3 IP for Single-A Dunedin
Perkins, an 18th-round pick in 2000, is a year behind Dustin McGowan in the
thrower-to-pitcher department. He has a mid-90s fastball and a hard slider that
make him extremely difficult to hit when he’s on. Command is a major problem,
so he probably won’t be much of a factor until 2006.
7. Brandon League - RHP - Age 21 - ETA: 2006
6-6, 3.28 ERA, 134 H, 95/38 K/BB in 137 IP between two Single-A clubs. 2001
second-round pick throws a mid-90s fastball. Secondary pitches need work.
8. David Bush - RHP - Age 24 - ETA: May 2005
14-6, 2.79 ERA, 137 H, 148/28 K/BB in 158 IP between Single-A Dunedin and
Double-A New Haven. Former college closer has low-90s fastball, quality slider
and excellent control. Could be a fourth starter or a closer for Toronto.
9. John-Ford Griffin - OF - Age 24 - May 2005
His .279/.361/.461 during a disappointing season at Double-A New Haven. All of
his value is offensive, so he needs a big year in Triple-A in 2004 to have any
chance of working his way into Toronto’s plans.
10. Aaron Hill - SS - Age 22 - ETA: 2007
First-round pick in 2003 edges 2002 first-rounder Russ Adams for a spot on the
list. .361/.446/.492 in 33 games for Rookie Auburn before struggling in 32 games
at Dunedin (.286/.343/.345). Will end up at second or third and should have the
bat to handle either.
Last year’s top 10 - Gabe Gross, Jayson Werth, Dustin McGowan, Kevin Cash,
Russ Adams, Francisco Rosario, Vinny Chulk, Dominic Rich, Mike Smith,
Mark Hendrickson
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