[情報] Offseason In Review: Atlanta Braves
Offseason In Review: Atlanta Braves
By Tim Dierkes [March 11 at 4:55pm CST]
Next up in our Offseason In Review series, the Braves. Here's what we wrote
about them on September 18th. The changes for 2009:
Additions: Derek Lowe, Javier Vazquez, Kenshin Kawakami, Tom Glavine(re-signed)
, Boone Logan, Eric O'Flaherty, David Ross, Garret Anderson, Greg
Norton(re-signed), Brooks Conrad
Midseason: Casey Kotchman, Stephen Marek
Subtractions: Mike Hampton, Will Ohman, Julian Tavarez, Chuck James, John
Smoltz, Royce Ring, Ruben Gotay, Brent Lillibridge, Tyler Flowers
Midseason: Mark Teixeira, Mark Kotsay
I'll kick things off by annoyingly quoting myself from September:
Manager Bobby Cox expects to add two quality starters, whether via free agency
or trade. I would target Derek Lowe due to his strong health record. He might
cost $14-15MM per year. After that I'd ink a more affordable veteran like Paul
Byrd, Freddy Garcia, or Randy Wolf. That bargain starter may come from Japan,
with Koji Uehara and Kenshin Kawakami considered the top names.
Granted the market shifted, but the Braves got Lowe at exactly $15MM per and
Kawakami at $23MM over three years. On top of that GM Frank Wren added one of
the game's most reliable innings eaters in Javier Vazquez. The Jake Peavy talks
didn't work out, but Wren shifted gears and did a great job bringing in three
solid starters as well as Glavine. Throw in Jair Jurrjens, Tommy Hanson, Tim
Hudson at midseason, and many others, and Wren turned a deficit into a surplus.
The loss of Smoltz was surprising and disappointing but not really a big deal
for the 2009 Braves.
The Braves had more drama with the near-Rafael Furcal signing, but they were
already respectable in the middle infield. Anderson isn't spectacular as the
left field import, but he'll help (and isn't any worse than Ken Griffey Jr.).
Presumably the Braves have some cash left over for a possible midseason
addition. But using CHONE projections, their lineup projects to score a healthy
4.93 runs per game. The Mets and Phillies tied for second in the league last
year with that same figure.
The Braves should have a pretty good defense again; last year's was rated
seventh in the game in The Fielding Bible II. Last year's bullpen wasn't great,
but more pitchers are healthy this time around. Overall, this looks like a 90
win team to me.
Bottom line: Despite the offseason drama, Wren assembled a deep, revamped
rotation to go with an already-above average offense. The Braves should return
to their contending ways in '09.
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