[情報] Keith Law Top 20 2023 preseason

看板Braves作者turkeyma (...)時間1年前 (2023/02/07 21:18)推噓8(8推 0噓 0→)

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大家參考看看吧！一如去年球季觀察所說，JR Richie 被視為本勇下一個最接近百大的新秀 The ranking 1. Jared Shuster, LHP Age (on July 1): 24 | 6-3 | 210 pounds Bats: Left | Throws: Left Drafted: No. 25 in 2020 Atlanta’s first-round pick in the 2020 draft out of Wake Forest, Shuster projec ts as a good fourth starter at his peak thanks to a plus changeup and plus contr ol. He’ll sit 90-93 mph and works well off the two pitches, but his slider is f ringy and short, so he had a large reverse platoon split in 2022, giving up 10 o f his 18 homers allowed to lefties even though he faced them for just 31 percent of his total plate appearances. 2. JR (Ian) Ritchie, RHP ******************** Age: 20 | 6-2 | 185 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 35 in 2022 Atlanta’s second pick in the 2022 draft was their best, as Ritchie, a UCLA comm it, was one of the best high school pitching prospects in the entire class. He’ s very projectable and athletic, with a great delivery and easy arm swing. All t hree of his pitches could end up plus, led by a fastball that was 93-96 mph in s hort outings after he signed, with his hard low-80s slurve his best secondary pi tch. He’ll need to use his changeup more to develop it and, of course, to stay healthy. 3. Cole Phillips, RHP 大概要等到下半季甚至明年了吧！ Age: 20 | 6-3 | 200 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 57 in 2022 Phillips hit 99 mph in a start last spring but blew out his elbow shortly therea fter, so he had already undergone Tommy John surgery before the draft, allowing Atlanta to take him in the second round. His curveball projects to plus and he h as a good pitcher’s build, while his command and control lagged behind his stuf f and we’ll have to see him develop a third pitch once he’s healthy. 4. Owen Murphy, RHP Age: 19 | 6-1 | 190 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 20 in 2022 Atlanta reached for Murphy in the first round, although doing so allowed them to go under slot with him and over slot with three later picks (Ritchie, Phillips and Adam Maier). The Illinois high school righthander has good ride on a 90-92 m ph fastball, with two breaking balls that can blend together, and some delivery questions, like spinning off his front heel, that give him more bullpen risk tha n Ritchie has. 5. Braden Shewmake, SS 不知道他的傷好了沒有？ Age: 25 | 6-4 | 190 pounds Bats: Left | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 21 in 2019 Shewmake is an above-average defender at short who has excellent hand-eye with g reat contact rates, but so far hasn’t had anywhere near enough impact on balls in play to project as a regular, even with the defensive value. He hits the ball in the air enough to be at least a high-doubles guy if he gets stronger, but ri ght now he’s more of a good utility infielder, although he’s probably a better defender than Vaughn Grissom. 6. Cal Conley, SS 我們未來的游擊手？！ Age: 23 | 5-10 | 185 pounds Bats: Both | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 126 in 2021 Atlanta’s fourth-round pick in 2021, Conley got off to a lousy start in Low A a s a 21-year-old and looked like a bust as late as June 1, but kept improving as the season went on, earning a promotion to High A and then continuing his strong er performances in the Arizona Fall League. He’s a fringe-average defender at s hort but would probably be a 55 or better at second, and is a smart base stealer with enough pop that he projects as a good utility infielder even if there’s n o further upside with the bat. 7. AJ Smith-Shawver, RHP Age: 20 | 6-3 | 205 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 217 in 2021 Smith-Shawver was a big high school quarterback with arm strength when Atlanta t ook him in the seventh round, and the fastball can be electric to go with a soli d-average or better changeup. His curveball is a clear third pitch and he walked 13 percent of batters he faced this year as a 19-year-old in Low A. He was alwa ys going to be a long-term development guy given his inexperience, though, and p robably would have gone to short-season this year if those leagues still existed . 8. Spencer Schwellenbach, RHP 終於要出登板了嗎？QQ Age: 23 | 6-1 | 200 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 59 in 2021 Schwellenbach was a shortstop/reliever at the University of Nebraska when Atlant a took him in the second round in 2021, where he slid because he had torn his UC L and needed Tommy John surgery. He’s back to throwing bullpens now but has yet to pitch in a game; he should be ready to go for spring training, which will be 19 months after the surgery. Pre-injury he’d be up to 97 mph in relief with a plus slider and some feel for a changeup, with a good delivery that gave him a c hance to start once he gave up playing the field. 9. Victor Vodnik, RHP Age: 23 | 6-0 | 200 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 412 in 2018 Vodnik only threw 34 innings in 2022 during a second year of interruptions due t o injury, but he’s in the bullpen now, where he sat 95-97 mph with a plus chang eup. He has to stay healthy for a full season at some point and improve his cont rol, but that’s a two-pitch mix good enough to pitch in an MLB bullpen right no w. 10. Dylan Dodd, LHP 我看比賽感覺發展性也是很有限 Age: 25 | 6-2 | 210 pounds Bats: Left | Throws: Left Drafted: No. 96 in 2021 Dodd was a money-saver pick as a 23-year-old senior out of Southeast Missouri St ate in the third round in 2021, but reached Triple A last year thanks to plus co ntrol and two above-average to plus secondary pitches in the slider and changeup . He’ll mostly sit 90-93 mph and has to work away from the pitch to get to the secondaries for swings-and-misses and avoid harder contact on the fastball. He m ight be a fifth starter thanks to his left-handedness. 11. Blake Burkhalter, RHP Age: 22 | 6-0 | 204 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 76 in 2022 Burkhalter was a straight reliever in college who works with a fastball, cutter, and changeup that might let him at least move to more of a bulk innings role, a lthough he has no track record of doing so and might be more valuable as a relie ver who can move quickly to the high minors and maybe help the major-league bull pen this year or early next. 12. Adam Maier, RHP Age: 21 | 6-0 | 203 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 215 in 2022 Maier suffered a partial tear to his UCL last spring for Oregon but had an inter nal brace placed in the joint rather than undergoing a full Tommy John procedure . He was mostly low 90s with a promising slider with a hard downward break that might end up plus and some feel for a changeup. He should be able to return to t he mound in the early part of 2023, at which point we can see if the stuff is ba ck. 13. David McCabe, 1B/3B Age: 23 | 6-4 | 230 pounds Bats: Both | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 125 in 2022 “The Big Maple” has an excellent eye at the plate and makes very hard contact, although that didn’t turn into power in his brief time in pro ball. The 2022 f ourth-rounder was already 22 at the time of the draft, so he does have some adde d pressure to hit right away, and may do so while also trying to slide over to t hird base after mostly DHing in college. 14. Drake Baldwin, C Age: 22 | 6-1 | 210 pounds Bats: Left | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 96 in 2022 Atlanta’s third-round pick in 2022 is a great receiver with high contact skills who hit 19 homers for Missouri State last spring, coming out of nowhere with th at power output, which didn’t carry over to his 24 games in pro ball. He has a reasonable chance to be a backup catcher just with the defense and contact. If h e finds that power again, he could be more. 15. Darius Vines, RHP 就如去年觀察小聯盟比賽所見，他球速太慢了，很難有前途 Age: 25 | 6-1 | 190 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 217 in 2019 Vines is a finesse righty with a plus changeup and above-average slider but a 45 fastball that averages just 90-91 mph without great life, so he has to pitch ba ckward to get by and deemphasize the fastball. He struck out more than a quarter of the guys he faced between Double A and Triple A last year, but allowed 17 ho mers in 140 innings, the majority of those coming off the heater. He might be a fifth starter despite that, but is more likely to end up a long reliever. 16. Tyler Tolve, C Age: 22 | 6-1 | 200 pounds Bats: Left | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 517 in 2021 Tolve makes hard contact but has too much whiff in the zone right now, and he’s a good athlete with above-average arm strength who could probably end up a 50 o r 55 defender. If he cuts down on the punch, he has the upside of a regular, but it’s a long shot. 17. Geraldo Quintero, 3B/2B Age: 21 | 5-8 | 155 pounds Bats: Both | Throws: Right Signed: International signing in 2019 Quintero is a diminutive infielder who makes a lot of contact and works the coun t well, without the power you typically want from a corner and slightly better d efense at second anyway. He can run a little and might have some kind of bench u pside. His high contact rate (17.6 percent) as a 20-year-old in Low A and High A makes him interesting. 18. Kevin Kilpatrick, OF Age: 22 | 6-0 | 186 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 515 in 2022 Atlanta’s 17th-round pick in 2022 out of a Florida junior college is surprising ly toolsy for such a late selection, and he hit .287/.354/.425 in Low A to finis h his pro debut. He’s a plus runner with some sneaky pop and could be an extra outfielder. 19. Jesse Franklin, OF ‘如此薄弱的農場 …. Age: 24 | 6-1 | 215 pounds Bats: Left | Throws: Left Drafted: No. 97 in 2020 Franklin has 70 raw and a huge swing-and-miss issue, but had Tommy John surgery after just 66 plate appearances last year, missing at-bats he sorely needs to tr y to improve his contact skills. He’s a good example of how thin this system ha s become after the Olson, Murphy, and Jiménez trades — he wouldn’t make most t eams’ top 20s as an injured player with what might be a fatal flaw in his appro ach. 20. Adam Zebrowski, C Age: 22 | 6-3 | 230 pounds Bats: Right | Throws: Right Drafted: No. 397 in 2021 Another potential backup catcher, Zebrowski has power and receives well enough t o stay there, with fringy arm strength and more power than hit. 2023 impact Shuster isn’t far off, and any of Vodnik, Vines or Dodd could show up in the At lanta bullpen. We could see Shewmake if Grissom were to get injured. The fallen Their second-round pick in 2018, Greyson Jenista, hit just .206/.269/.374 in Tri ple A at age 25. Atlanta also gave up on Drew Waters, their second-round pick in 2017 and a player they had always held in high regard internally, trading him i n a three-man package to acquire an extra draft pick from the Royals in July — the pick the team used to select JR Ritchie. Sleeper The player on this list with the best chance to leap into the top 100 next year is Ritchie, who has the combination of present stuff, delivery and projection to be that kind of prospect if he stays healthy and throws strikes this year. -- A Historic moment... May 30, 2003 Atlanta 5, NY Mets 2 at Shea Stadium Winning Pitcher - Greg Maddux (4-5) Losing Pitcher - Tom Glavine (5-5) SV - John Smoltz(20) HR - C. Jones (9, off Glavine) -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 59.115.167.197 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Braves/M.1675775884.A.DDB.html