[閒聊] BP Milwaukee Brewers Top 11 Prospects
Three-Star Prospects
1. Mark Rogers, RHP
2. Cody Scarpetta, RHP
3. Kyle Heckathorn, RHP
4. Wily Peralta, RHP
5. Amaury Rivas, RHP
6. Kentrail Davis, OF
7. Scooter Gennett, 2B
Two-Star Prospects
8. Tyler Roberts, C
9. D'Vontrey Richardson, OF
10. Jimmy Nelson, RHP
11. Hunter Morris, 1B
Nine More:
12. Caleb Gindl, OF: This undersized outfielder has left-handed bench
potential.
13. Khris Davis, OF: He showed impressive power and patience in his
full-season debut, but he's already 23.
14. Erik Komatsu, OF: Komatsu is another potential bench outfielder thanks to
his approach, speed, and left-handedness.
15. Tyler Thornburg, RHP: The third-rounder has power stuff out of a small
package, but he profiles better in relief.
16. Cutter Dykstra, 3B: This 2008 draftee had a bounce-back year offensively
but has yet to find a defensive home.
17. Logan Schafer, OF: A groin injury and broken foot limited him to just
seven games in 2010, but he could move up if he's healthy.
18. Chris Dennis, 1B/OF: This Canadian slugger has raw power and an idea at
the plate. However, his long swing leads to plenty of whiffs.
19. Eric Arnett, RHP: This 2009 first-round pick fell apart mechanically
during a disappointing full-season debut.
20. Matt Miller, RHP: A fifth-rounder from June, Miller is a tall righty with
a good fastball and command but little else.
1. Mark Rogers, RHP
DOB: 1/30/86
Height/Weight: 6-3/220
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: First round, 2004, Mount Ararat HS (ME)
2010 Stats: 3.71 ERA (111.2-86-69-111) at Double-A (24 G); 2.08 ERA
(4.1-3-3-3) at Triple-A (1 G); 1.80 ERA (10.0-2-3-11) at MLB (4 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Fastball/control
Year in Review: In his seventh professional year, this former fifth overall
pick finally stayed healthy with a normal workload and reached the big
leagues.
The Good: Despite an injury history that would have most out of baseball,
Rogers still has a power arsenal. He throws a 92-96 mph fastball with a bit
of natural sink, and gets good spin on a 78-83 mph curveball with plenty of
late break. He earns praise for his makeup and work ethic, coming all the way
back after missing two full years due to shoulder issues.
The Bad: Rogers' ability to stay healthy will remain a risk for some time, as
he's had multiple surgeries and still has a cross-fire delivery that takes
his arm well across his body and reduces his ability to throw strikes. His
changeup is a below-average offering, which combined with the mechanics,
leaves many scouts projecting him as a late-innings reliever.
Ephemera: Rogers was, and remains, the only player from Maine to be selected
in the first round of the MLB draft.
Perfect World Projection: Rogers could have a future in either a bullpen or
rotation role.
Fantasy Impact: It's hard to say without knowing a role.
Path to the Big Leagues: While the Brewers are likely to make more moves
before spring training, as of now, Rogers is in the mix to compete for the
fifth starter job.
ETA: 2011.
2. Cody Scarpetta, RHP
DOB: 8/25/88
Height/Weight: 6-3/240
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: 11th round, 2007, Guilford HS (IL)
2010 Stats: 3.87 ERA (128.0-120-67-142) at Double-A (27 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Curveball/control
Year in Review: This bulky right-hander rebounded from a slow start with an
excellent second half to finish among the Florida State League leaders in
strikeouts.
The Good: Scarpetta began throwing more strikes as the season wore on, and he
was finally able to take advantage of his stuff. His 91-94 mph fastball is a
tick above average, and his plus-plus curve is the best in the system,
capable of generating silly-looking swings from good hitters. He maintains
his stuff deep into games and pitches with an aggressive edge that serves him
well.
The Bad: Scarpetta will flash a solid changeup at times, but it remains an
inconsistent pitch that needs refinement. He can get out of whack
mechanically, and lose the strike zone. His big body borders on soft, and
conditioning could become a bigger issue for him down the road.
Ephemera: Scarpetta had significant trouble in bases-loaded situations during
the 2010 campaign, as opposing batters went 9-for-19 with four doubles and a
home run against him.
Perfect World Projection: He could be an innings-eating third starter
Fantasy Impact: It'll be average for a starting pitcher, with some extra
strikeouts.
Path to the Big Leagues: Scarpetta will move up to Double-A in 2011 and get
his workload tested at a higher rate.
ETA: Late 2012.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12616
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