[情報] Future Redbirds Top 20: 4-6

看板Cardinals作者abc12812時間17年前 (2008/12/30 23:03)推噓7(7推 0噓 4→)

留言11則, 5人參與討論串1/1

Baseball America ranked the Cardinal farm system 8th overall. That’s a pretty big feather in Jeff Luhnow’s cap, especially considering the mess he inherited. =============================================================================== #6 - Jason Motte - Age: 26 Rank: erik - 8, roarke - 7, azruavatar - 6 2008: (AAA) 66.2 IP, 110K/26BB, 36% GB, 2.59 FIP (MLB) 11 IP, 16K/3BB, 45% GB, 1.02 FIP Player Comment: Could you ask for more from a reliever? 110Ks in 66 innings is a truly absurd number. The complaints all center on Motte’s lack of a good second pitch to complement his fastball. Those are valid concerns and ones that I’ ve voiced myself. That said, the results are hard to argue with. Motte is already prepped to be a superb setup man and potentially more than that. ~azruavatar Motte is a fun player, and I find it amusing and interesting that with Motte’ s success the Cards are now moving more of their good-arm, no-hit catchers to the bump. Motte may only have one pitch, but it’s hard to argue with the results. Toying around at Fangraphs, we find the only pitcher that throws the fastball as often as Motte is Grant Balfour, the late-blooming flame-thrower who found appreciation with the AL champs. I’m not sure how long a pitcher can get away with only a really good fastball, but I’m looking forward to finding out. ~erik Motte was one of the more impressive guys I saw during Spring Training last year. I think he can succeed in small doses, but without the quality second offering that Az hoped for above, I think he will get hit at the big league level if he is overexposed. I’m betting that he will develop something to keep hitters honest and turn into a dominating reliever (I’ve said it before, but I’d love to see Bruce Sutter teach him the splitter). ~roarke #5 - Daryl Jones - Age: 22 Rank: erik - 5, roarke - 5, azruavatar - 10 2008: (A+) 352 PAs, .326/.403/.476, .385 wOBA (AA) 151 PAs, .290/.404/.500, .380 wOBA Player Comment: Daryl Jones was quite good in 2008. He was quite horrendous in 2007. The Palm Beach numbers are predicated on a very high BABIP and the ISO is good but not great. The Carl Crawford comparison still sticks out for me (although I know others like a Kenny Lofton one) and that’s a tremendous ceiling to have but the floor for Jones remains someone who never sees the majors. ~azruavatar I see no major difference between Jones’ breakout and Austin Jackson’s a couple of seasons back. Everything finally felt into place for Jones: He started to square up on the ball, he drew more walks and even showed some power. I expected Jones to eventually come back to earth as the season went on, but his performance remained steady throughout the season and Jones showed no signs of slowing once brought up to AA. Take it for what it’s worth, but his peak translated EqA this past season was .304, forecasting him to be in all star territory during his age 25-27 seasons. ~erik Jones has more upside than anyone in the system besides Rasmus and Wallace. The difference between Jones and those guys is the likelihood that he will reach that potential. Rasmus and Wallace both seem like sure things, while Jones is quite a bit more in doubt. Last season’s success at multiple levels certainly makes his future success seem more likely, but after previous disappointing seasons, it will take more than one good year before all doubts are erased. ~roarke #4 - Bryan Anderson - Age: 22 Rank: erik - 4, roarke - 6, azruavatar - 4 2008: (AA) 87 PAs, .383/.402/.519, .397 wOBA (AAA) 274 PAs, .281/.361/.379, .324 wOBA Player Comment: After a hot start, Anderson suffered a swan dive in the 2nd half of the season. Some find that more worrisome, but I don’t find it unusual for a young catcher to peter out as the season winds down. What encourages me is his improvement with his plate blocking skills and controlling the running game. The average catcher contributes so little offensively, so having a potential .280-.295 hitting backstop is quite valuable, whether or not he ever hits for power. ~erik My opinion of Anderson has not changed since I made my list last year. I really like him (especially after getting the opportunity to do a Q & A with him during the season), but I have reservations about catching prospects with no power and only average defensive chops. There is too much that can go wrong and a powerless bat doesn’t play as well anywhere else. All that being said, I think he does have good value that should be exploited by the Cardinals, either by trading him, or by giving him a legitimate opportunity to win the backup job this spring. I see him having a lefty-only version of Gregg Zaun’s career if everything works out well for him, which isn’t a terrible thing. ~roarke I worry that there’s an element of group think with regard to Anderson. He has a good offensive skillset for a catcher (hits for average, draws walks) but lacks the power to make him more than a league average hitter. What this really comes down to is position. A league average hitter who is also a league average catcher is something like a 3+ win player. ~azruavatar -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.5.3