[情報] Cardinals Top-15 Prospects of 2009, No’s 6 - 15

看板Cardinals作者keyboardmm (大學四年過好快啊..)時間16年前 (2009/04/06 18:07)推噓0(0推 0噓 0→)

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http://www.baseball-intellect.com/st-louis-cardinals-top-prospects-part-2/ 6. Jess Todd | RHP | Triple-A Memphis | Age - 23 | Drafted - Round 2 (82), 2007 Come back in the next couple days for a more in-depth take on Jess Todd. 7. Jaime Garcia | LHP | Triple-A Memphis | Age - 22 | Drafted - Round 22, 2005 Player Grades Fastball - 55 Now | 55 Future Curveball - 55 | 60 Change-Up - 45 | 45 Control - 45 | 55 Command - 45 | 50 Pitchability - 50 | 50 ETA - 2010 Final Grade - B- Body Type - More of a small and somewhat stockier pitcher Stuff Fastball - low - mid 90’s with late sink…spots to both sides of the plate when he’s going well, but struggles to command it when he’s not. The pitch has a tendency to rise on him and he gets hit hard when he leaves it up and center Curveball - hard, late breaking pitch generates plenty of swings and misses though he has to work on being able to throw it for strikes Change-Up - good feel for the pitch, projects out to be a major league average pitch Scouting Report Garcia would have rated higher on this list — possibly as high as No. 3 or No. 4 overall — had it not been for him succumbing to Tommy John surgery last August. When he’s healthy, Garcia has the ability to miss bats and generate a high percentage of ground balls. He’s not as consistent with his command and control, but he gets himself out of trouble by getting double plays at the right time. Garcia has had problems getting left handed hitters out. His command suffers, his GB% drops, and his HR-rate rises. It’s something he will have to improve going forward. http://0rz.tw/7JtpD Garcia’s mechanics are interesting. He generates an excellent amount of separation between his hips and torso, and displays really good scapular loading. Where it gets sketchy is when the arm is to be externally rotated, the forearm bounce (where it looks as if the forearm is laying down) occurs behind his head. My guess is that causes extra stress to be put on the elbow and along with his major propensity for throwing curveballs, this may have contributed to Garcia’s injury. Either way, Garcia will look to return by the end of next year with an eye on the Cardinals’ rotation in 2010. Best Case Outcome - Borderline No. 3 starter More Likely Outcome - No. 4 starter…could potentially thrive in a bullpen role as well 8. Jon Jay | OF | B - L | Triple-A Memphis | Age - 24 | Drafted - Round 2 (74), 2006 Player Grades Contact - 50 Now | 55 Future Power - 45 | 45 Discipline - 55 | 55 Speed - 50 | 50 Defense - 55 | 55 Arm - 50 | 50 Instincts - 55 | 55 ETA - 2009 Final Grade - B-/C+ Body Type - squatty type of build Scouting Report Jay bounced back after a down last year in which he battled injuries. He showed improvement in power and excellent plate discipline, making consistent contact and showing his ability to get on base. He doesn’t have any plus tools but he brings a lot to the table. He can play all three outfield spots, has solid-average speed and good instincts on the base paths. He has an unusual set-up at the plate and I think readers should check out a piece done by Jeff Albert for Viva El Birdos, that breaks down Jay’s swing. Best Case Outcome - Average everyday center fielder…this role won’t be with the Cardinals, however More Likely Outcome - Good 4th outfield type 9. Bryan Anderson | C | B - L | Triple-A Memphis | Age - 22 | Drafted - Round 4, 2005 Player Grades Contact - 50 Now | 55 Future Power - 40 | 45 Discipline - 45/50 | 55 Speed - 35 | 35 Defense - 55 | 55 Arm - 50 | 50 Instincts - 55 | 55 ETA - 2009 Final Grade - C+ Body Type - average build, not all that big Scouting Report For years scouts have predicted Anderson’s power will eventually come. Estimates of his potential power have dropped in each successive year the power has not manifested itself. Scouts still think his power will come, but they now say it projects to be just gap power. Anderson uses a line drive-oriented stroke that is conducive to putting balls in the air, but he’s also a very handsy hitter as he lets his hands get out in front, which is not conducive to power. Just because he likely won’t hit for anything more than gap power, Anderson can still be a useful player. He should be able to hit for at least a decent average, especially if he’s able to make consistent contact. He walked a lot more last year than in season’s past and shows a good understanding of the strike zone. Anderson is a solid receiver at the plate and does well blocking balls in the dirt. While he doesn’t have the strongest arm in the world, his footwork, accuracy, and quick release make up for it. He’s also praised for his leadership and game calling abilities. Best Case Outcome - Average everyday catcher More Likely Outcome - Below average offensive everyday catcher 10. Adam Reifer | RHP | Batavia (SS) | Age - 22 | Drafted - Round 11, 2007 Player Grades Fastball - 65 Now | 70 Future Slider - 55 | 65 Change-Up - 45 | 50 Control - 40 | 50 Command - 45 | 55 Pitchability - 50 | 55 ETA - 2010 Final Grade - C+ Reifer is a major sleeper candidate for 2009 and could rocket up this list with another successful season. His upside is limited because he’s strictly a reliever, but he’s got big time stuff including a fastball that reaches the mid - upper 90’s and a late, hard breaking slider. He’ll also throw a change-up into the mix every once in a while. Even though his control needs work, Reifer is aggressive, going right after hitters. His bulldog mentality is well-suited for the bullpen, which is actually where he prefers to be anyway. Reifer is an excellent athlete and he’s been able to make some mechanical adjustments to both increase velocity and lessen his overall risk of injury. The clips below are missing frames, which is why there is a big difference between the starting points. They are not synchronized to release, clearly. Reifer’s draft video is on the left and the 2008 version is on the right: left : http://0rz.tw/X9gYW right: http://0rz.tw/66Upq First thing he did was get rid of the tall-and-fall mechanics. Instead of pausing at his balance point (where the knee reaches its uppermost point) and then falling toward home plate, he’s now drifting through his balance point. To allow his body to drift, he brings his leg up in a more circular fashion… he lifts the leg and brings it close to his body before dropping the leg and then extending for a very long stride. Two other big mechanical changes: he’s not throwing across his body any longer and he’s cleaned up his front side mechanics. Reifer adjusted the path of his stride to land more on his glove side. As for the front side mechanics, Reifer kept the glove more out in front of his chest rather than down by his side, next to his hips. I’ve explained the benefits of this before, but to sum it up, proper front side mechanics make it easier to keep the front shoulder closed (good for control/command), get better extension on your pitches (better deception), and give the arm a longer room to decelerate (better for injury prevention). He’s also not landing as stiffly as he once was. Reifer could move very, very quickly if he’s able to keep his mechanics in order and stay healthy. Best Case Outcome - Closer More Likely Outcome - Set-up man with a power arm 11. Niko Vasquez | SS | B - R | Low-A Quad Cities | Age - 20 | Drafted - Round 3 (91), 2008 Vasquez is another player I compiled a scouting report on earlier in the Summer. http://www.baseball-intellect.com/Articles/scouting-nico-vasquez.html Lots of diverging opinions on the young shortstop, but he plays a premium defensive position, has considerable offensive upside, and put up very good numbers in rookie ball. The contrarian in me says he may have to move off of shortstop to second or third base, he struggled upon his promotion to a better league, and he has a couple of worrisome peripherals. But as a whole, there is a lot to like about Vasquez and at least for now, I’m on the bandwagon Grade - C+ ETA - 2013 12. Peter Kozma | SS | B - R | Low-A Quad Cities | Age - 21 | Drafted - Round 1 (18), 2007 Kozma is a light hitting shortstop with a solid glove that should carry him as at least a utility fielder to the big league level. His power is below average and he’s not a physically big player. His swing is handsy and not conducive to power though his bat does stay in the hitting zone for a long period of time, which should help his contact rate. If there is one thing at the plate that he can hang his hat on is the ability to work the count and take a walk. That alone will help him greatly as he reaches higher levels of competition. I don’t think he has enough thunder in the bat to make an impact offensively. He could be a solid utility player down the road. Grade - C+ ETA - Late 2011 13. Allen Craig | 3b | B - R | Double-A Springfield | Age - 24 | Drafted - Round 8, 2006 Craig is really in a bind because he’s behind Cardinals starter Troy Glaus, top prospect Brett Wallace, and good prospect David Freese. He’s also an older prospect and while he was productive last year, he didn’t do enough to really stand out as a player. Craig does a lot of things pretty well, but nothing great. He’s solid at making contact, he’ll take a walk, but he’s not an on-base machine (it’s worth noting he’s improve in this regard over the past couple of years) . He makes solid contact, but it’s not consistently hard, and his best tool (power) grades out as slightly above average at best. He’s an older prospect and will have to keep hitting to get a legit chance to carve out a role at the major league level. I think he’ll carve out a role in this league as a four-corners back-up getting maybe 350 ABs a year. Grade - C+ ETA - 2009 14. Lance Lynn | RHP | Low-A Quad Cities | Age - 21 | Drafted - Round 1A (39), 2008 I profiled Lynn last Summer, which you can read here. http://www.baseball-intellect.com/Articles/2008-mlb-draft-reports.html He pitched just 26 professional innings last season and more than held his own. He could move quickly given his advanced feel for pitching and projects as a potential No. 4 starter. Grade - C+ ETA - 2011 15. Mitchell Boggs | RHP | Triple-A Memphis | Age - 25 | Drafted - Round 5, 2005 For a scouting report on Boggs, you will need to subscribe to the Baseball-Intellect Newsletter by using the form below. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 218.167.167.26