[情報] Scouting Cardinals Draft Pick Shelby Miller
http://www.baseball-intellect.com/scouting-shelby-miller/
Shelby Miller | RHP | Brownwood High School in Texas |
Label – High Risk, High Reward Pick
Signability – Doesn’t have any signability issues that I know of…
Body Type – Very projectable…his frame looks like it could add a
significant amount of muscle
Stuff
Fastball – Miller’s bread-and-butter pitch. His four-seamer sits in the 93
– 95 range and he’ll occasionally bump it up to 96 or 97. The pitch has
tremendous life and explodes out of his hand…excellent arm-side run. Miller
also has a two-seamer that sinks…he throws the pitch at lower velocities,
typically in the 89 – 92 mph range.
Curveball – Big breaking, 12-to-6 curveball in the mid-70’s…flashes above
average, maybe even plus potential, but it’s very inconsistent…the break is
sharp and has the appearance of a fastball coming out of his hand…needs to
throw it more as he’ll abandon the pitch early if it’s not working for him…
has problems throwing it for strikes consistently. You can see both his
fastball and curveball below:
fastball:http://tinyurl.com/noaadq
curveball:http://tinyurl.com/lscxlo
Now, you can see Miller’s curveball is not of the power-type where it
travels on the same plane as the fastball, but in how it comes out of the
hand and the intent in which Miller throws the pitch, the hitter usually
reacts to the pitch like they react to his fastball. The one issue I see here
is that Miller’s arm slot is slightly higher when throwing the curveball,
but I’ve seen other video that shows both pitches coming from the same arm
slot, so I’m not sure that’s a big concern at the moment.
Change-Up – Only recently has Miller started using a change-up, so at this
point it’s rudimentary at best.
Mechanics
http://tinyurl.com/mpfen7
Very clean and simple delivery…compact and athletic with a short arm action.
Notice how Miller sits on his back leg and how Miller’s torso will bend over
slightly as he breaks his hands. This enables Miller to generate the
necessary torque between his hips and torso. By bending his upper body and
then basically popping back up just before foot plant, Miller is also better
able to stretch the elastic muscles and tendons in the shoulder region
because in my mind, it improves his range of motion. Keep in mind the pitch
above is a warm-up toss and not thrown with the usual intent Miller throws
with.
Miller’s front side mechanics: not bad, not great. His finish is probably
his worst mechanical attribute…he’s a little short with it. He doesn’t
give his arm the most room possible to decelerate.
I do think Miller has more velocity left in the tank. I could see him
increasing his stride length just slightly in order to get even more oomph on
his fastball.
Other Notes
Miller has mostly relied on his fastball to overwhelm hitters at the high
school ranks. He’ll have to learn how to mix his pitches effectively.
Command has always been a sore spot for Miller, but his overall stuff has
made-up for the inconsistency he’s shown. His repeatable delivery lends
itself to solid control, so it’s something that should improve with
experience.
Best Case Outcome – Front of the rotation starter
More Likely Outcome – Not quite sure yet…he’s somebody that could wind up
as middle of the rotation starter or even end up in the bullpen should he not
find a quality change-up or develop more consistent command. Nevertheless,
Miller’s upside is undeniable and to get him at 19 is a true coup for the
Cardinals.
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