[外電] Don't Blame It On The Good Times, Bl …
這是一篇指責 不該讓Bogans當先發的文章
沒有要針對 Bogans的意思 而是希望讓Korver, Brewer先發的
或是把Bogans的20分鐘上場 分給Watson, JJ甚至 Kyle Weaver
文章還討論 公牛要擺脫上升的尼克 或是還算強大的老鷹隊
也許在Dec 15以前可以想辦法拿到一個好SG 然後Feb 15在拿到一個全明星球員
而且是在不要交易Taj的情況之下 最終才有可能跟魔術或是Celtics在季後賽抗衡
不然 就一定要讓JJ多磨練 或是CJ跟Asik 看看S. Brown的成功例子
因為光要仰仗目前三個超時打球的先發陣容
(Rose 38.3, Noah 37.4 & Deng 38.8,都在全NBA前15)
第二輪碰到那一隊都難打
http://tinyurl.com/2a39gc7 原文 與 討論
其他人回文討論的內容也值得一看
Mark Deeks on 12.09.10 at 5:40 PM
There is no great mystery to the fact that the Bulls always like to have at
least one extremely marginal talent on their roster at any one time. It has
been this way since the day John Paxson moved from behind the mic to behind
the desk. And it will continue to be this way for the foreseeable future.
It seems silly on the surface, yet it is a trend commonplace amongst the NBA
today. Indeed, it is often the case that teams who don't do it seem to
struggle. For reasons not immediately obvious on the court, but instead for
those seemingly extremely obvious off of it, there always exists a pool of
NBA players with minimal talent, skill and athleticism, who nevertheless can
churn out careers far in excess of those with the greater physical tools and
ball skills. They hunt in packs and are more stubborn than a particularly
combative donkey.
Kudos to them, of course. It should not disparaging to cite such players as
successes; after all, they must be doing something right. If they survive and
thrive longer than those with more overtly obvious talent, then that is to
their credit. If Antoine Walker is not in the NBA, but Brian Cardinal is,
then it's Antoine who needs to change something.
A lot of teams subscribe to this clique. Jason Collins, a man with absolutely
no statistical impact on the game, is currently a starter in Atlanta. His
twin brother Jarron is also in the NBA, signed with the Clippers. The
aforementioned Brian Cardinal is with Dallas, Anthony Carter and Melvin Ely
are with Denver, Tony Battie is a Sixer, Brian Skinner is with Milwaukee, and
Malik Allen is still going, now with Orlando. Like Bogans, all those players
signed new contracts this summer; like Bogans, all are past 30 and relying
more on know-how than ability.
That's.......fine.
But that doesn't mean you have to start those players.
The team that brought you Randy Livingston, Lindsey Hunter, Malik Allen,
Corie Blount, Chris Richard, Linton Johnson, Eric Piatkowski, two separate
helpings of Adrian Griffin, Kendall Gill, Antonio Davis, Lawrence
Funderburke, P.J. Brown, Othello Harrington and Rick Brunson have once again
played to their strengths, and provided two more NBA veterans of negligible
ability in Keith Bogans and Brian Scalabrine. If you wish to add Kurt Thomas
as well, they added three. The trio are on the roster, not so much to play,
but more to provide leadership, wisdom and stability, an absolutely rock
solid theory were it not for one small problem.
The problem being that one of them plays. A lot.
Keith Bogans has always had an extraordinary knack for receiving playing time
that should not rightly be his own. Only once in his career to date has he
played less that 1,200 regular season minutes in a single season, and he
arrived in Chicago with 227 career starts to his name, including 50 last
season with the San Antonio Spurs. He started ahead of Manu Ginobili that
year, and while that in itself is not a statement that the Spurs thought he
was better than Manu - think Chris Duhon over Ben Gordon, but with
considerably less grey area - it nevertheless shows Bogans's frankly
scintillating staying power.
With a 7.7 PER, Bogans churned out 1,614 minutes. On a team that had other
options. And which really should have known better.
At best, you can say that Keith Bogans does not hurt the team significantly.
He does not take bad shots, and nor does he commit a huge amount of
turnovers, with only 14 on the season. Bogans keeps his foul rates down to
acceptable levels, does not take contested shots, and, with the exception of
last night, generally rotates correctly on defense.
Unless you're Amir Johnson and you're setting a screen, it's hard to make
mistakes when you're not allowed to touch the ball. And Keith Bogans does not
make mistakes.
This does not sparkle, however, in light of the fact that he plays 20 minutes
per game. It is not possible to argue that Bogans is more productive in those
20 minutes than the other possible options, for the simple reason that Bogans
is not productive. In theory, he is the decently sized defensive-minded two
guard with an outside shot who alleviates pressure from Derrick Rose on both
ends of the court. In practice, however, he shoots 28% on wide open three
pointers and plays thoroughly mediocre defense. You cannot be a floor spacing
outside shooting threat if you don't hit outside shots, and Bogans has never
been a particularly good outside shooter. And you can't (or shouldn't) be a
defensive role player unless you are a noticably above average defensive
player. Bogans, therefore, is not exactly filling a hole.
This is fairly overpoweringly obvious, to be blunt, which makes the fact that
the situation continues rather bizarre. There exists a role on this team for
Bogans, if he were to serve as a mistake-free veteran depth option, roles
similarly occupied by Scalabrine and Thomas. If and when injuries, fouls or
bad play necessitate turning to the deep bench and looking for stability, you
could do a lot worse than those three. Their physical tools have gone, and
were never particularly good to begin with, yet they all know what to do.
That counts for a lot.
That role, however, is not the one Bogans is in. Whereas Scalabrine and
Thomas have combined to play only 77 minutes all season - an impressively low
amount considering the injuries to Carlos Boozer and Taj Gibson - Bogans has
already played 399. That number is seventh on the team, 108 more than C.J.
Watson, 294 more than James Johnson, and only 14 less than Ronnie Brewer.
Those three would all better options. Kyle Korver would be a fourth.
In the aftermath of the free agency anti-climax, the Bulls were lauded for
the depth they had assembled. And rightly so. Few teams have backup point
guard and power forward options better than Watson and Gibson, and, as a
tenth man, you could do far worse than James Johnson. It is this depth that
has given the team a decent 12-8 record, surviving the league's hardest
schedule thus far with little embarassment and much encouragement.
It makes little sense, therefore, that such depth is underused. The Bulls
have three players that rank in the top 15 in the league in minutes per game
- incredibly, the fragile Luol Deng is sixth in the league at 39.3 minutes
per game. Reasons for this can be found - Boozer's injury leading to more
power forward minutes for Deng, Watson's early struggles, Thibodeau's
possible reliance on his starters in his coaching infancy, Noah's unrelenting
awesomeness - yet the numbers seem excessive anyway.
Chicago's depth is legitimate. C.J. Watson hasn't performed especially well
in a limited role; instead, he's shone when given the chance to dominate the
ball amongst the starters and told to do his best impression of a 34 year old
Derrick Rose. Ronnie Brewer did not start especially well, hindered by
injury, yet has ramped it up into the important contributor he was paid to
me. Just last night, Brewer posted 8 points, 8 rebounds, 6 steals and 3
assists, having a remarkably positive impact for a guard who can't dribble or
shoot. Taj Gibson is the league's best backup power forward, and Omer Asik's
Joel Przybilla impression is off to a decent start.
Whether you would prefer to start Korver or Brewer at two guard is up to you.
There are valid arguments for both; Doug has already made the Korver
argument, and Sam Smith chimed in today with the view of the Brewer camp. I
personally favour Korver, and have done since he was signed - you could even
run the Watson/Rose backcourt out there at times. It happened yesterday.
Either way, you can't really lose.
This is not the case with continuing to start Keith Bogans.
It is not Bogans's fault that this situation has arisen; he does his best,
and doesn't try to do things that he is not capable of doing. Indeed, this is
his main virtue. He doesn't deserve blame for being overplayed, despite the
forced Jackson Five reference in the title of this article. Hell, we've all
applied for jobs we know we are underqualified for, and Bogans has been able
to snag one. Repeatedly. So good for him.
But it must be somebody's fault that we have wound up in a situation where a
token starter plays comparable minutes to his superior backups. It doesn't
really solve anything, and mitigates the laudable depth available elsewhere.
Ronnie Brewer and Kyle Korver have their flaws. Neither has an average
off-the-dribble game, and while Brewer is a significantly weak outside
shooter, Korver is comparably bad at isolation wing defense. Yet both provide
positive impacts on the game, regardless their flaws. Even James Johnson does
that, albeit interspersed with the kind of mistakes that make you want to
temporarily restrain an angle grinder with your face.
But Keith Bogans, save for that one game against the Thunder, does not do
this.
Thibodeau's explanation for Bogans's continued starting seems to be that at
the moment, incorporating one new starter is enough. This, too, is fine. But
it doesn't explain why Bogans was starting in the first place, or why his
role as a starter had not been addressed prior to Boozer's return.
And to be honest, what's so difficult about replacing Keith Bogans's role?
The Bulls have options here, and are overdue in using them. They have
multiple players capable of playing and doing more, alongside some players
needing to play and do less. The opening to the season has been encouraging
and peppered with good quality wins, doubly impressive feats when considered
alongside the hole in the line-up created by Boozer's injury, and the far
from complete integration of both the offensive and defensive schemes. The
overall talent level has been strong, and it's this that carried the team
through its toughest stretch of schedule. But the good start could have been
better. With only 240 minutes in any available game, misappropriating 20 of
them could be costly.
To that end, start Kyle Korver. Or start Ronnie Brewer. Just don't start
Keith Bogans any more. Frankly, there is no point.
At the very least, if the Bulls not going to use him other than as a last
resort, James Johnson should go to the D-League while he still can. If we're
looking for a versatile athletic wing player, Johnson is it; he can shoot,
drive, lead the break, pass, and play good help defense. He is prone to
painfully bad mistakes, but the problems he has puting his talents to good
use don't appear to be anything that can't be ironed out. And the best way to
do that is to get him playing.
Lest we forget - a young Keith Bogans made mistakes too.
--
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※ 編輯: eertllams 來自: 131.193.195.152 (12/14 04:54)
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