[外電] Hollinger: Rose an All-Star but not …
這是一篇去年12月10號 Hollinger寫得一篇關於Rose的文章
這是一篇讀者訂閱付費的文章 表示Espn或是運動讀者付錢給他
我之後要貼的另一篇關於Rose的文章
也同樣是來自truehoop (http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop)
他們這些作家 看法跟觀點如何 就請各位參考跟判斷囉
Hollinger: Rose an All-Star but not elite (FTA)
英文內容來自 某位付費的網友節錄 並非完整版 我只能找到這樣
已經有中譯版了(參見本版文章編號 #1D1EYMf5 霍林格專欄]是什麼讓Rose.....)
原文就當作大家無聊的打發 或是重新喚起記憶
Derrick Rose doesn't draw fouls.
That's about all the negativity I can muster toward him in an impressive
first quarter of the season, yet it remains an important distinction in
evaluating his place among the league's elite.
Let me explain.
For starters, there is no question that Rose is aboard the fast track to
superstardom. The third-year guard played well enough to make the All-Star
team a year ago, and this season he's a no-brainer pick. He ranks fourth in
the league in scoring and ninth in assists. At times he's been electric and
unstoppable, such as his 14-point outburst during an 18-0 run in Houston that
broke open a close game in the fourth quarter.
.....
Unquestionably, their catalyst has been Rose. While he's shooting a lot, it's
not just a question of taking more shots. He's also added some tools to his
repertoire. Most notably, he's stroking the 3-pointer more confidently and,
so far, more accurately. Rose attempted 132 triples in his first two pro
seasons and didn't shoot it much more often for Team USA this summer, but in
the current season he's trying over four 3-pointers a game and converting at
a respectable 37.1 percent clip. It's the perfect response to opponents'
preferred strategy of defending him by going under screens and conceding the
jumper.
They concede that J, of course, because Rose is such a great finisher around
the basket. He's shooting 58.6 percent in the basket area this year,
according to Hoopdata.com, and has been in that range his entire career.
Moreover, he gets there often -- nearly six times a game for his career.
All of those skills should make him a lethal force and a legit MVP candidate.
And they would ... if he would draw some fouls.
Rose, however, isn't in the elite category if we look at PER, Estimated Wins
Added or any other analytic metric. He's sixth among point guards in
estimated wins added (EWA), right behind Raymond Felton and a loooong way
behind leaders Russell Westbrook, Chris Paul and Deron Williams.
In PER, it's a similar story -- sixth among point guards, 19th overall.
Long-time Bulls fans will no doubt be shocked to see him listed behind
Shannon Brown and Tyrus Thomas.
...
Rose's shooting percentages -- 45.6 percent overall, 37.1 percent on 3s --
are solid for a point guard. But his True Shooting Percentage -- 53.3 -- is
rather ordinary. Of the league's 62 qualifying point guards, 32 outrank him
in that category, including all the ones he's compared to in the "best point
guard" debates (see chart).
Compare head-to-head against the league's elite point guards and the
difference jumps out. Despite all his forays to the rim, Rose averages 5.6
free throw attempts per game on just over 21 field goal attempts; his rate of
.26 free throw attempts per field goal attempt is well below the league
average of .32.
As with the TS% above, 32 of the league's point guards outrank him in free
throw attempts per field goal attempt. That list includes his backup (C.J.
Watson, 0.28); jump-shooting specialists such as Cleveland's Daniel Gibson
and Memphis' Mike Conley; and a whole host of players who aren't nearly as
good.
Against the elite, he's completely outclassed in this category. Westbrook
gets to the line nearly nine times a game, or once for every two field goal
attempts; this difference accounts for nearly the entirety of Westbrook's
advantages over Rose and places him comfortably ahead in TS% and PER. Paul
takes nearly as many free throws on half as many shot attempts. Williams also
shoots dramatically less than Rose but gets to the stripe nearly seven times
a game. Even Tony Parker -- a slasher, whose M.O. is to sidestep the hit and
make the shot instead -- gets to the line at a higher rate than Rose.
The only elite point guard who gets to the line less frequently than Rose is
Rajon Rondo, and that's because he's actively terrified of having to shoot
free throws. The punch line? Rondo still has a better TS% than Rose.
...
I've heard a variety of explanations for Rose's relative lack of freebies.
The "no respect from the refs" theory is the one most often heard in the
upper reaches of Illinois, but it's also the most suspect. Several
less-experienced players have had little trouble getting to the foul line at
a more frequent clip. Rookie John Wall, for instance, is the one whose
physical skills are most often compared to Rose's, and he's had no trouble
getting to the line with far greater frequency.
Moreover, it's not like Rose is some unknown rookie. In his third season as
Chicago's featured offensive performer, I'd say the officials are deeply
familiar with his playing style.
No, the unfortunate fact is this: The same things that make Rose so watchable
also conspire against him. He's so smooth, so graceful and so explosive that
it's fairly easy for him to float past opponents and drop in a layup or to
launch his unusually-effective 10-foot floater or to pull up for the J while
an opponent watches helplessly from the other side of the screen. Alas, none
of those maneuvers get him to the line, and the next time Rose willfully
draws contact to force his way there will be a first.
Contrast that, for instance, with Westbrook's bull-in-a-china-shop approach,
and there's no question which one is easier on the eyes. Rose's tactic is
less effective on the scoreboard because Westbrook is taking twice as many
foul shots every night.
Don't get me wrong, Rose is a spectacular performer and a surefire All-Star.
If you're making a list of players you'd pay money to see play, there's no
question he's in the top 10. All those graceful plays I just mentioned are
far more entertaining than watching somebody shoot two flat-footed 15-footers
from the line while the other nine players stand and watch.
Still, it's a less effective way to win basketball games.
--
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