[外電] Taj不是奢侈昂貴的替補前鋒
看板ChicagoBulls (芝加哥 公牛)作者AhUtopian (It's my Life)時間12年前 (2013/08/21 00:33)推噓1(1推 0噓 0→)留言1則, 1人參與討論串1/1
Taj Gibson is not a luxury
按:
這篇把Taj介紹得很詳細,Taj不只是在防守上傑出,他在場上時其實公牛的進攻表現
也是更好的,把他的合約同時間換約的人,例如Derozan、McGee比較,他真的很划算
,而公牛往後幾年,也確實需要仰賴他來對抗其他列強迅速敏捷又強悍的長人。另外
,這篇也從數據面上去分析Taj的進攻表現,其實Taj並不如大家印象的衰退。
http://ppt.cc/g6Kl
Leave Taj Gibson alone. The Bulls are going to need the 28-year-old forward
in the East playoffs next season.
Here's the thing about Taj Gibson: he wasn't even supposed to be here
today. Gibson enrolled at USC as a 21-year-old in 2006, making him one of
the oldest freshman in the country. When he entered the draft after his
junior season, he wasn't projected him as a first round pick in most mocks.
He earned some decent accolades in college -- being named Pac-10 Defensive
Player of the Year and making second-team all-conference in his final season
with the Trojans -- but his lack of offensive polish and advanced age meant
he was a player largely pegged as having limited upside. He was exactly the
type of player that usually gets passed over in the draft.
I remember the reaction when the Bulls selected Taj at No. 26 overall in
2009, and it was not positive. Most were much more excited about the Bulls'
other first round pick that year, James Johnson. It wasn't hard to see why.
Gibson would be 24 years old before he ever played a pro game, and the Bulls
already had a (younger) shot-blocking power forward in Tyrus Thomas, who was
coming off the best year of his career in his third season.
It didn't take long for Gibson to make everyone who doubted him look like a
fool.
Age is a double-edged sword in the draft. Teams want young players because
they have more room to grow, but if the player doesn't show he belongs
quickly the same teams are ready to stunt that growth by burying the player
on the bench. Long-term interests and short-term interests often collide in
the NBA, and young players are usually the victim.
Where Gibson's advanced age might have caused him to slip in the minds of
most draft pundits, it also helped him contribute immediately for the Bulls.
He played in all 82 games, starting 70, as a rookie and helped Chicago grab
the No. 8 seed for the second consecutive season. He moved to the bench the
next season after the Bulls signed Carlos Boozer, but Gibson's place on the
team was already cemented.
Taj started through November of his second season as Boozer recovered from
that 'fall over a gym bag'. When Boozer came back, Gibson and Omer Asik
would start a two-year run as the best reserve defensive frontcourt tandem
in the league.
When Gibson and Asik were on the court at the same together a year later
(Taj's third season), they allowed just 86 points per 100 possessions. A
lineup of John Lucas-Kyle Korver-Deng-Gibson-Asik posted a defensive rating
of 77.5 that same year. The Bulls' knew they had something special in the
Gibson-Asik pairing, but so did the rest of the league. With Asik's contract
expiring after the 2012 season and Gibson's set to expire a year later, the
Bulls had to decide if they were willing to take on a hefty luxury tax
payment to keep their bench together for a few more seasons with stiffer tax
penalties looming under the new CBA.
You'll remember, the Bulls maintained keeping Asik was their No. 1 priority
that offseason, but the front office seemed legitimately caught off guard
when Daryl Morey put together that famed poison pill offer sheet to pry him
away to Houston. That debacle caused more debate than any topic surrounding
the Bulls in the last five seasons this side of #TheReturn, but it also
opened the door for Gibson to stay.
Just before the deadline for early extensions, and after the first game of
last season, the Bulls announced they signed Gibson to a four-year, $38
million extension. The ink had barely dried before some people were ready to
call the move a mistake. Maybe everyone just missed Omer that badly.
It's true that Gibson struggled through the first two months of the year,
but he found his footing in December and ended the year looking like the
same player the Bulls deemed worthy of the extension. While many think Taj
slipped a bit last season, his numbers look awfully similar to what he did
in his first three seasons.
Gibson's points, rebounds, blocks, assists, shooting percentages and minutes
were nearly identical from 2012 to 2013. His individual defensive rating did
worsen from 88.6 to 97.6 last year, but much of that could be contributed to
Asik. On the whole, the Bulls weren't only a much better defensive team when
Gibson was on the floor last season, they were also a better offensive team.
It's clear that Tom Thibodeau has always had an affinity for Gibson, having
him finish games instead of Boozer even during Boozer's first year in
Chicago. The numbers only lend more support for Gibson. The Bulls went from
a team with a 99.3 offensive rating (100 is average, higher is better)
without Taj to a team with a 102.4 rating with him last season. Defensively,
the Bulls were at 101.9 without Taj (100 is average, lower is better) and
97.6 with him.
It's obvious the Bulls are a better defensive team with Gibson's rim
protection, but it might come as a surprise that they're also better with
him offensively. (Conversely, the Bulls' offensive rating with Boozer was
99.3, and 102.5 without him. Defensively with Boozer, the Bulls were at
102.0, without him they were at 97.4.)
Gibson's shooting percentages didn't drop as much last year as some might
think; in fact, they're pretty identical to 2012. Last year, Gibson took
219 shots at the rim and converted 64.8 percent of them. In 2012, he
converted 64.6 percent of 198 attempts. Gibson was four percentage points
better in 2012 from 5-9 feet on an almost identical number of attempts. He
made 51.1 percent of his 51 shots from 10-14 feet last season, a higher
volume and higher percentage by seven points when put against his 2012
numbers. From 15-19 feet, Taj slipped from a 35 percent shooter to a 29
percent shooter.
On the whole, Gibson's true shooting percentage went from 52.2 percent in
2012 to 51.8 percent in 2013. Taj Gibson is essentially the same player he's
always been.
* * *
The issue isn't so much Gibson's play as whether the money he's making could
be better served addressing other shortcomings on the team. Per ShamSports,
Gibson makes $7.5 million next season, an even $8 million in 2015, $8.5
million in 2016 and $8.95 million in 2017. At least right now, I'm of the
opinion that it's money well spent.
It's a fact of life that young veterans get paid in the NBA. The same year
Taj re-upped his contract, Raptors guard DeMar Derozan signed for $10
million a year over four years and JaVale McGee signed for $11 million per
year over the same length. Particularly for a rim protector and frontcourt
player, labor does not come cheap. Gibson looks like a value buy when
matched against many of his peers
In terms of fit, it isn't hard to argue that Gibson is pretty much perfect.
For one, he saves the Bulls from playing Boozer in crunch-time. He could
also log some minutes at the five this season in certain matchups should the
Bulls choose to go small.
For the bigger picture: I'm not so concerned with the need for a second
isolated scorer. What the Bulls really need to do is be great at what makes
them good in the first place. That's defense. With Jimmy Butler, Deng and
Gibson tied together by Rose and Noah, the Bulls have an ideal fourth
quarter lineup to take on their conference rivals. Big, athletic, smart
defenders aren't just a luxury in today's NBA, they're a necessity. As the
upper-half of the East has taken a collective step forward this offseason,
Gibson's strengths become even more valuable.
Gibson's defensive ability at the four will go along way when the Bulls need
to matchup with Kevin Garnett and Andrei Kirilenko in Brooklyn, David West
and Danny Granger (and Luis Scola) in Indiana and LeBron James in Miami.
* * *
Maybe Taj has never gotten much better on the cusp of entering his fifth
season. Maybe someone making $8+ million per season should be logging more
than 20-22 minutes a night. But if you accept the inevitable physicality of
the East playoffs, I want Taj on the Bulls' side. If you can't have a star
at every position, the next best thing is a player who can make life
miserable for opposing stars. When I think about the Bulls' chances next
year, the play and health of Gibson will go a long way in deciding how
formidable they really are.
--
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