Chicago Cubs Top-15 Prospects of 2009, No’s 1 - 5
http://www.baseball-intellect.com/chicago-cubs-top-prospects/
1. Josh Vitters | 3b | B - R | Boise (SS) | Age - 19 | Drafted - Round 1 (3),
2007
Player Grades
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Contact - 40 Now | 55 Future
Power - 45 | 60
Discipline - 35 |45
Speed - 40 | 35
Defense - 45 | 50/55
Arm - 55 | 55
Instincts - 50 | 55
ETA - Early 2012
Final Grade - B+
Body Type - good athlete, projectable
Scouting Report
Vitters more than held his own as the youngest position player in the
Northwest League this past season.
Vitters has a quality that many top rated hitting prospects possess: an
ability to RAKE. By this, I mean Vitters has an ability to put the bat head
squarely on the ball and get hits on pitches he should have no business
swinging at. This ability shows up in his BABIP and if they can keep their
strikeouts to a minimum, their batting average–for Vitters, he had a .381
BABIP and hit .324 overall. He’s able to generate excellent bat speed with
some very quick wrists though there are times he lets his hands overtake his
hip rotation, causing contact to be made too far out in front.
He flashed an ability to hang on breaking pitches but too often swung and
missed. Vitters is an aggressive hitter and needs to work on both pitch
recognition and laying off borderline pitches when he might get something
better to hit later in the at bat.
Vitters isn’t a plus defender at third base, but he’s more than capable
with a strong arm.
Best Case Outcome - Top-5 third baseman
More Likely Outcome - Top-10 third baseman
2. Andrew Cashner | RHP | Boise (SS) | Age - 22 | Drafted - Round 1 (19), 2008
Player Grades
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Fastball - 55 Now | 65 Future
Slider - 55 | 60
Change-Up - 40 | 45
Control - 35 | 45
Command - 40 | 50
Pitchability - 40 | 50
ETA - 2012
Final Grade - B-
I completed an earlier scouting report on Cashner this past Summer, which you
can read here. One thing I’ve read about Cashner has been that his stuff
plays better out of the bullpen, in terms of quality and command. I probably
underestimated that aspect when I graded him in my draft review. The Cubs
reportedly downplayed his very poor professional debut and attributed it to
rust and the need to get reaclamated to starting. It’s more of a
wait-and-see as the questions about Cashner will likely be answered next
year. He does have the raw stuff of a front line pitcher, but the command
needs a lot of work. Bottom line for me…I’m giving him a free pass for last
year. We’ll see if he can work out his problems in the offseason.
Best Case Outcome - Borderline No. 2 starter, but it’s a long shot
More Likely Outcome - Power set-up arm out of the bullpen
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3. Ryan Flaherty | INF | B - L | Boise (SS) | Age - 22 | Drafted - Round 1A
(41), 2008
Player Grades
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Contact - 45 Now | 50 Future
Power - 45 | 50
Discipline - 45 | 55
Speed - 50 | 45
Defense - 45 | 55
Arm - 55 | 55
Instincts - 55 | 55
ETA - Late 2011
Final Grade - B-
Flaherty is another Cubs draft pick I reported on this past in Summer, and he
was about as good as expected. He’ll stick at shortstop for now, but most
scouts feel he’s more likely to make a move to second base or third base.
Second base should be the first option because his bat has more value at the
postion.
Best Case Outcome - Average…maybe slightly above average everyday shortstop
or second baseman
More Likely Outcome - Super utility player that can play all positions but
catcher and centerfield. He can be used against right handers at a variety of
positions.
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4. Jay Jackson | RHP | A+ Daytona | Age - 21 | Drafted - Round 9, 2008
Player Grades
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Fastball - 50 Now | 50 Future
Slider - 55 | 60
Curveball - 50 | 55
Change-Up - 40 | 45
Control - 50 | 55
Command - 45 | 50
Pitchability - 55 | 55
ETA - 2011
Final Grade - B-
Body Type - a little short for a pitcher, but a very good athlete
Stuff
Fastball - sits in the 89 - 92 range…will touch 93
Curveball- potentially an above average pitch and clocked in the low-mid 70’s
….12-to-6 variety…manages to keep the initial curveball hump to a minimum
Slider - late and hard breaking…his out pitch. An example of his fastball
and slider combo below, with the slider on the right and the fastball on the
left:
*Credit to the Boise Hawks (click for full a link to a listing to full Boise
games)
Change-Up - fringe-average for now, but he has a feel for throwing the pitch
Scouting Report
First thing you notice about Jackson is how he works quickly and goes right
after hitters, often getting ahead in the count. When he’s ahead, Jackson
uses his four-pitch repertoire to keep hitters guessing. All four pitches
come from the same release point and he sells each pitch well.
Jackson is usually around the strike zone, but doesn’t necessarily hit his
spots on a consistent basis. He also allows a huge number of fly balls and
when you combine that with his aggressiveness on the mound, Jackson will give
up a fair share of home runs.
Mechanically, my philosophy is for a pitcher to use what is most comfortable
for them. Jackson’s mechanics are a bit problematic for me because he has a
relatively short stride and he remains very upright throughout his wind up. He
’s a bit of an armsy thrower and I like pitchers to make better use of their
lower bodies.
However, his arm action is hitch-free and quick, making it tougher for
hitters to pick up the ball out of his hands. Lastly, he does an excellent
job of repeating his delivery, a very important aspect in a pitcher’s
control.
Best Case Outcome - Would like to see some more data as a professional, but I
think a borderline No. 3 starter is a fair upside for Jackson
More Likely Outcome - No. 4 starter, though the way he goes right after
hitters might make him profile better as a reliever.
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5. Dae-Eun Rhee | LHP | Single-A Peoria | Age - 20 | Signed - South Korea,
2007
Player Grades
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Fastball - 50 | 55
Curveball - 45 | 50
Change-Up - 55 | 60
Control - 40 | 50
Command - 40 | 50
Pitchability - 45 | 55
ETA - Early 2012
Final Grade - B-
Body Type - projectable, athletic
Stuff
Fastball - low 90’s with sink, touching 94
Curveball- haven’t been able to find much information on this pitch, but it’
s reportedly an average offering, flashing above average potential. I’ve
seen it described as a slider as well, so it may be a slurvy type pitch.
Change-Up - described as his best pitch, with a splitter like action. He’ll
get ground balls with the fastball, but the change-up is his biggest ground
ball inducer
Scouting Report
The biggest issue facing Rhee is the fact that he won’t be back until
mid-season. He underwent Tommy John surgery in mid-2008 and while recovery
rates are much better than in the past, they aren’t 100%.
When healthy, Rhee is tough to center the ball against as evidenced by his
.252 BABIP against. His feel for pitching is also advanced for his age.
One thing Rhee will need to shore up is his command. His BB% was a little too
high for my liking…would also like to see him miss a few more bats, but he’
s still solid in that regard.
Best Case Outcome - No.3 starter
More Likely Outcome - Probably a No. 4 starter…he’s another guy I would
like to see more data on in addition to seeing how he responds from injury
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