[情報] Castro’s New Patience Backfires
Starlin Castro's 2013 season was such a disappointment our own Howard Bender
has already stated Castro was the least value player for the 2013 season. I am
not sure how much his owners paid for him, but I am guessing it was more than
the -$4 he returned this season. The main problem with Castro's declining
production can be traced back to changes his approach at the plate which may
continue into 2014.
Here are his triple slash lines over the years with 2012′s two halves.
Season PA AVG OBP SLG BABIP
2010 506 0.300 0.347 0.408 0.346
2011 715 0.307 0.341 0.432 0.344
2012 691 0.283 0.323 0.430 0.315
2012 1st Half 363 0.291 0.314 0.422 0.331
2102 2nd Half 328 0.275 0.332 0.440 0.297
2013 705 0.245 0.284 0.347 0.290
Cubs made a change at hitting coach is the reason I split 2012 in half. On June
12th, the Cubs decided they didn't like Rudy Jamamillo's hitting approach and
wanted to go in a ""selective aggressiveness"" direction (source).
He said [Rudy] Jaramillo ""might be the best in the world at the mechanics of
the swing.""
""I think mechanics are important,"" Epstein said, ""but until we sort of
embrace as an organization the right approach, mechanics almost have to take a
back seat at times. And that was part of the motivation for the move.""
""We decided that it was best that if you're going to embrace a new message
to have a new voice to go with it,"" Epstein said of the timing. ""It's
not based on results. It's more trying to get a new voice with a new message.
We have a certain philosophy we believe in, and we have a lot of growth that
awaits us as an organization, and [we're] trying to get there.""
Ultimately, it's about a see-more-pitches team-wide emphasis that's not
necessarily inconsistent with Jaramillo's teachings – but that wasn't as
much a focal point as the new front office wanted.
""We're really trying to get to the point where we have a game plan for our
hitters emphasizing selective aggressiveness at the plate,"" Epstein said.""
Seeing a lot of pitches and focusing on getting your pitch to hit.
Personally, I think making major changes to a major league hitter doesn't
usually work. They player got to the majors with a particular approach and if
changes were to be made, they should have been taught to the player in the
minors. I know Epstein wasn’t around when Castro was in the minors to try to
implement the change, so he should just let Castro go with what got him to the
show.
Castro went ahead and adapted the Cubs new patient approach.
Season PA Pitches P/PA BB% K%
2010 506 1839 3.6 5.7% 14.0%
2011 715 2627 3.7 4.9% 13.4%
2012 691 2389 3.5 5.2% 14.5%
2013 705 2716 3.9 4.3% 18.3%
He took over 300 more pitches in 2013 than in 2012 in almost the same number of
plate appearances. Usually a more patient approach leads to more strikeouts and
walks. He saw the jump in strikeouts, but his walks fell to a career low.
After looking over his different splits way too much, he basically did not come
out first pitch swinging in 2013 compared to previous seasons.
Season Went 0-1 Went 1-0 1 pitch PA
2010 47% 37% 16%
2011 48% 41% 12%
2012 48% 37% 14%
2013 51% 41% 9%
In 2013, the percentage of times seeing a 0-1 went to career high and the
percentage of one pitch plate appearances went the opposite way. He performs
significantly worse when he goes 0-1 over his career compared to when he swings
at the first pitch.
AVG OBP SLG ISO
One Pitch PA 0.306 0.315 0.481 0.175
Through 0-1 0.269 0.287 0.371 0.102
Trough 1-0 0.293 0.367 0.420 0.127
The Cubs have brought in new manager Rick Renteria to help fix Castro (source).
That makes him Castro in reverse — and maybe the perfect guy to get through to
a well-meaning kid whose career has been going backward since at least June
2012, when Epstein dismissed hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo. Recurring issues
with focus and concentration — most notably called out nationally by Bobby
Valentine during an ESPN telecast in 2011 — frustrated Lou Piniella, Mike
Quade and Dale Sveum but were easier to take when he profiled as a guy who
could hit .300 and develop into a 20/20 man, if not even better. …. Renteria,
who served as Black’s bench coach when Hoyer and McLeod were with the Padres,
was the right man in the right spot when Epstein decided that Sveum wasn't
helping develop the organization's players. He wanted a bicultural manager who
could create a good atmosphere for the wave of players with Latin American
heritage who will shape the organization.
Castro's problems haven't been limited to growing confusion at the plate,
where he may have lost some of his natural aggressiveness by trying to work
counts.
Making a somewhat concerted effort, I could not find Renteria stating the
approach he would like to see Castro implement. A person will need to find out
about any changes during spring training.
Going into 2014, I see basically two outcomes for Castro. First, the Cubs let
him go back to his free swinging ways making him a .300 hitter again. Or the
Cubs can continue to try to teach the more patient approach. Eventually, I see
his walks creeping up, but his AVG will be suppressed. If someone is looking at
evaluating Castro for 2014, I would read anything on his approach in spring
training. Will the Cubs let him go back hacking away or will he try to be a
more patient hitter? We will have to wait and find out.
--
やっ..........!!!!!!止めろペイモンこの野郎~~~~~~っ
地獄でいきなり聖書なんえ 読み上げやがってえ~~~~~~~~~っ!!殺すえおっ!!
--
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