[情報] BA&BP談熊

看板Cubs作者Zamned (扎姆德)時間10年前 (2014/07/28 21:06)推噓0(0推 0噓 0→)

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BP Marco Hernandez, SS, Cubs (High-A Daytona) There is no system in baseball with more shortstop depth than the Cubs', which is unfortunate for Marco Hernandez, who is as blocked as any minor leaguer in the game. Hernandez will never be Chicago's starting shortstop, but he probably won't be anyone else's starting shortstop either because he doesn't profile to have any impact with the bat. He's a slap hitter from the left side who makes no effort to drive the ball, understanding his role as a speed-based player. He puts the ball on the ground repeatedly but he will never have better than an average hit tool with no power. Where Hernandez makes his name is in the field. He's a plus-plus shortstop who can be a true asset both with his glove and his arm. Smooth and fluid on routine ground balls, he also features plus range to either side and natural creativity on tough plays, regularly flipping the ball behind his back or between his legs on double play turns when necessary. Hernandez won't hit enough to play regularly on a good team and is about the fifth best option for the Cubs at the position, but his glove should be enough to carry him to the majors and allow him to carve out a Freddy Galvis–like role. —Jeff Moore Duane Underwood, RHP, Cubs (Low-A Kane County) Underwood works with a simple step-back delivery and a 3/4 arm slot. The arm whip is fast and crisp, though he does create an inverted W with his upper body. Underwood worked in the 92-95 mph range with his fastball. It had two-seam action lower in the velocity band, but he had trouble locating it all night. The curveball had some sharp bite beneath the strike zone but he was unable to locate it effectively for strikes. Underwood showed a few changeups, including a few backdoor changes that flashed plus fade, but overall it looked like a show-me pitch that will require work. The raw ingredients are there for Underwood to succeed but he’s going to have to work on fastball command first and foremost; everything else will play up if he can locate his fastball effectively. The curve command will have to come along as well, as he will have to learn how to throw the pitch for effective strikes. At present, it’s just a chase pitch and the higher levels will lay off. Underwood is intriguing, but he ’ll need refinement. —Mauricio Rubio Shawon Dunston, OF, Cubs (Low-A Kane County) An 11th-round pick in the 2011 draft, Dunston was clearly selected to be a slow burn. His first couple of seasons brought moderate success in short-season ball, but the jump to full-season wasn't so kind. He'd been playing sporadically and didn't look comfortable at the plate, finding it hard to get in a groove. After the All Star break, however, especially in the wake of Jacob Hannemann's promotion to Daytona, Dunston has found himself getting everyday reps and the results have followed. In July, he's hitting .410/.426/.525, and it hasn't just been BABIP luck: In the last two games, Dunston has stung the ball five or six times. As the son of a major leaguer, it's no surprise that Dunston is a good athlete, running times around 4.2 seconds to first. He doesn't feature his father's 80 arm; it's average or a tick below. Overall, Dunston does not have an impact profile, but he has put himself firmly on the prospect radar. Even though there isn't much power potential, as the hit tool manifests, there's the possibility he becomes a solid extra outfielder. — Jordan Gorosh --- Q:Who do you think sees Chicago first: Kris Bryant or Javier Baez, and will it be this year or next? BA: Coming out of spring training, Baez looked like the sure bet to beat Bryant to the big leagues. He had an excellent spring training with the big league club, hitting five home runs while playing shortstop and second base. He was good enough that the Cubs had to make proclamations that no matter how good he looked, he wasn’t heading north when the season began. But when the season began, Baez’s excellent spring faded into a blur of 0-for-4s with too many strikeouts. Baez has started to pull out of his two-month long slump, helped maybe in part by the motivating effect that came with Bryant’s arrival in Iowa. In June, Baez hit .275/.345/.471. He’s hit for power all year (a .194 isolated power), but Baez has showed extremely poor contact skills this year, as his always high swing-and-miss rates have reached astronomical levels. It’s worth remembering that this isn’t the first time that Baez has struggled after moving up. Last year, he was sensational in high Class A Daytona and Double-A Tennessee, hitting 37 home runs between the two stops. But in 2012, Baez hit .188/.244/.400 in 80 late-season at-bats after a promotion to Daytona. Some poor luck and small sample sizes come into play, but Baez’s swing-and-miss rates and his strikeout rate keeps climbing as he faces better pitching. Baez has exceptional bat speed and solid hand-eye coordination, so there’s nothing that should prevent him from making more contact, but his approach is too simplistic right now for Triple-A pitchers. The Cubs have worried that Baez ’s attempts to draw more walks (his walk rate has ticked up at every step up the ladder) have led him to let too many early-count hittable pitches go by, putting him in too many two-strike situations. Scouts who have seen him this year note that he’s still swinging from his heels when he gets to two-strike counts and he chases too many pitches outside of the zone, making life easy for more experienced pitchers. On the positive side, Baez has improved his consistency at shortstop. There are still questions about where he’ll eventually play in Chicago, as Starlin Castro has had a very nice bounce back year at shortstop, but Baez is showing enough improvement that shortstop is still a viable option for him. Baez is currently the second-youngest player in the Pacific Coast League. He’s got plenty of time to make improvements and in the long term, this is likely to be more of a character-building setback than a roadblock to future big league success. But right now, he’s shown he still needs more Triple-A time. Now, it’s apparent that Bryant should beat Baez to the big leagues. Although he started the season in Double-A, a level behind Baez, Bryant’s monstrous start in the Southern League has allowed him to reach Triple-A in less than 400 pro at-bats. In his first 12 games with Iowa, he’s hit six home runs, while Baez has hit 11 in Iowa over the first half of the season. Bryant’s defense has also been a revelation. There was some thought that Bryant would be able to stick at third base, at least in the short term, but might need to move to the outfield before too long. The reviews of his defense this season are much better than that. He looks to be a solid long-term presence at third base with excellent agility with some scouts saying he may have gold glove ability there. He’s committed more errors than one would like this year (14 in 62 games in Double-A), but scouts see no long-term problems and he’s been flawless since his promotion to Triple-A. Bryant has some swing-and-miss tendencies like Baez, but that’s to be expected from a 6-foot-5 hitter, especially when he produces the kind of power numbers that Bryant has. It’s hard to see the Cubs calling Bryant up this year because their 2014 season is already a lost cause. But come the start of the 2015 season, it’s going to take some creative excuses (also known as the Super Two flu) to keep him off the Opening Day roster. -- やっ..........！！！！！！止めろペイモンこの野郎～～～～～～っ地獄でいきなり聖書なんえ読み上げやがってえ~~~~~~~~~っ！！殺すえおっ！！ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 59.115.137.94 ※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Cubs/M.1406552783.A.604.html