[情報] Cubs Insider做的曾仁和球探報告
原文: http://bit.ly/1ubxcSo (內有影片)
Cubs Name Jen-Ho Tseng Minor League Pitcher of the Year
(Scouting Report & Video)
by Tommy Cook — September 16, 2014
On Monday afternoon, the Cubs named Kris Bryant and Jen-Ho Tseng their minor
league player and pitcher of the year, respectively. And while Bryant has lit
the world on fire and been the apple of Cubs fans eyes all year, Tseng has
largely flown under the radar.
So just who is this seemingly little-known prospect who is not being
mentioned in the same breath as Bryant?
Tseng, 19, was 6-1 with a 2.40 ERA in 19 games (17 starts) at Single-A Kane
County. He helped lead the Cougars to the Midwest League title. Tseng
averaged 7.3 strikeouts and 1.3 walks per nine innings, and opponents hit
just .204 off him. The Cubs signed Tseng as an undrafted free agent in July
2013.
Here is the scouting report I did back on him this past July.
Cubs Prospects Profile
Cubs Insider original scouting report/video
Name: Jen-Ho Tseng
Age: 19
Acquired: 2013 IFA ($1.625 mil bonus)
Height: 6’1〃
Weight: 210 lb
2013 Stats: 62 1/3 IP, 2.74 ERA, 61 K, 8 BB, 55 H, 1.01 WHIP (Class A Kane
County)
The Delivery
Out of the windup, Tseng takes a short side step and holds the position for
at least two seconds before transitioning into the rest of his delivery. It’
s an interesting motion that is a big reason that he has what I’d describe
as a distinctive delivery, even if it has little affect on the rest of his
delivery.
Out of the side-step pause Tseng kicks his knee up to the letters of his
jersey while turning his lead shoulder a bit inward, all the while staying
well-balanced on his back leg. From here, Tseng’s body starts to lean
towards home as he collapses his back knee and drops his ass toward the
ground. It’s a classic-drop and drive motion, which gives me pause, but he
repeats his fairly well right now. Plus, he uses it to explode towards home,
achieving great momentum and a very deep release point.
Upon footstrike Tseng is in a powerful yet balanced position, with his
landing knee bent significantly and his chest centered directly over that
knee. Tseng is a big kid with powerful legs, making this a very stable
position to release the ball from. After release, Tseng is still balanced,
falling off towards first ever so slightly.
It’s a solid delivery, and Tseng’s build gives me hope that he’ll be able
to overcome the issues with the drop and drive delivery. He’s a tall kid
(probably around 6’3〃 nowadays), so the lowered release point doesn’t
affect his fastball plane like it would a shorter pitcher. Tseng is also a
solidly built kid (210 pounds already) and has room to fill out. With that
extra muscle in his legs he should be able to repeat his drop and drive
mechanics consistently.
Tseng already finds his release point consistently, so the extra muscle could
allow him to ramp up his momentum without sacrificing his balance at release.
曾仁和有穩定的放球點 如果他可以多長點肌肉的話
就可以同時做到 增加球的動能 (momentum) 和維持平衡的投球機制
The Fastball
Tseng’s fastball sat 91-92 and touched 95 the first time I saw him, and sat
88-91 (touched 93 once) in my second viewing. Tseng’s only 19, so the
inconsistent velocity from start-to-start doesn’t worry me much. The fact
that he was able to ramp it up to 95 in April was extremely impressive, and
speaks to the ultimate potential that resides in Tseng’s arm. As Tseng gets
stronger, I could see him sitting in the 92-93 range and touching higher
frequently.
我第一次看見曾仁和的時候 他的快速球在91-92mph間 最快可達到95mph
我第二次看見他的時候 他的快速球在88-91mph間 最快可達到93mph
曾仁和才19歲 因此我不是很擔心他球速的不穩定
我對於曾仁和可以在四月就投出95mph的球 感到印象深刻
我想他的球速有向上發展的空間
There’s more to Tseng’s fastball than it’s raw velocity, though. The first
of which is that he likes to add and subtract from it as he sees fit (h/t
Mauricio Rubio). This is something he showed in July – he sat 88-90 in the
6th inning before finding himself in a two-on-one-out situation before
immediately finding 93 in his back pocket to induce a double play. So in any
given game he may be holding extra strength in the tank in an effort to pitch
into the late innings.
曾仁和有時會省力投 不一定每球都盡全力投到最快球速
Furthermore, that deep release point I mentioned? It helps the pitch “jump”
on the batter. The later release point is a foot or so closer to home,
making a 90mph fastball appear a tick or two faster.
曾仁和的放球點低 所以從打者的視角來看 球進壘的時候有向上跳的感覺
他的放球點也稍微較靠近本壘版 使得他的球速感覺起來比實際上快
Beyond that, Tseng’s fastball also has a good amount of run to it. It’s
nothing extreme, but it’s enough wiggle and fade to miss barrels. And, if you
’ve watched the video above, you’ll notice that he does indeed miss a lot
of bats with his fastball. That’s not easy to do in the low-90s, and is a
sign that his delivery has some deception to it.
從影片裡可以看出 曾仁和的快速球有相當不錯的揮空率
I think the movement and bat-missing ability makes Tseng’s fastball a plus
potential pitch, dependent largely on where his velocity ends up.
我想曾仁和球路的位移和讓打者揮棒落空的能力 讓他的速球有長成平均以上球種的潛力
能不能達成 必須看他的球速可以向上發展到什麼程度
The Curveball
Folks, I really wish I had better video of Tseng’s curveball for you because
when it is on, it is pretty. When he snaps a good one off, it has sharp bite
and good 11-5 break (go to about 4:00 in the video to see one like this). It’
s easily flashing plus in moments like this.
The problem is that he doesn’t have a great feel for repeatedly executing
the pitch. It’s often hung up in the zone, or never breaks at all. Tseng is
often able to find his fastball release point, so I would hope he’ll
eventually be able to do the same with his curve. If he does, it’s a plus
pitch for me, but he’s got a long way to go there.
曾仁和的曲球 在他投得出來的時候 是非常漂亮的
但是他還沒有辦法掌控曲球 常常投不出來
我希望他可以找到曲球的放球點 那樣的話 他的曲球也會是一個平均以上的球種
但是 他還有很長一段路程需要努力
The Changeup
Jen-Ho Tseng has a very good feel for a changeup for a 19 year old. In my
first viewing of him, Tseng was having quite a bit of trouble with his
breaking ball. So, after 3 innings, he started moving to exclusively
fastball-changeup sequences against hitters. Midwest League hitters had no
chance against that changeup. Tseng’s arm speed on his changeup is great,
and it comes in with good fading action.
It’s not a Bugs Bunny changeup, nor one with crazy movement, but it has the
combined velocity differential and the movement to be a bat-misser (Lord
knows MWL hitters can’t hit it). If Tseng’s able to command it
consistently, I think it has the potential to be a plus pitch at the major
league level.
曾仁和的changeup (變速球) 雖然沒有很特別的位移
但是有速度差和一定的程度的位移 1A打者打不到他的changeup
如果曾仁和可以穩定的掌控他的changeup 這也會是一個平均以上的球種
The Command and Control
As noted in the delivery section, Tseng’s rock solid lower half allows him
to find a consistent release point. As a result, Tseng has been able to fill
the zone up with fastballs (just 8 walks in 62 2/3 innings pitched). Tseng
already shows some ability to work both sides of the plate with his fastball,
and given the balance in his delivery I only expect this feel for pitching to
get better.
That’s a scary proposition for hitters, as Tseng’s raw stuff should evolve
into enough to get outs with simply average command. Instead, given the
strength I expect him to add and his already repeatable delivery, I think
Tseng will develop easily-plus command with a chance for a bit more. If he
does develop that command, he’ll be able to work advanced sequences against
hitters and really attack hitters’ weaknesses.
曾仁和的控球很好 我想他會長出平均以上的控球能力 甚至更好
Final Thoughts
If the string of “potentially plus’ evaluations of everything in his game
hasn’t clued you in already, I really like Jen-Ho Tseng. He’s got
projectability left in his frame, he has a repeatable delivery, and he has
three pitches that flash plus at times. That’s pretty fun to dream on.
Tseng is also really fun to watch. He has a quiet cockiness on the mound,
sarcastically reacting to bad calls in a subtle way, a flourish of the arm
after he releases the ball, and a little hop-skip after striking someone out.
That, plus his finding 3 extra mph in a big situation, makes me believe he
has the mentality needed to pitch at a high level. It’s not quite #rig or
#diesel, but it’s something close.
If he hits his ceiling, I think Tseng is a very good #3 pitcher, one who will
strikeout a surprising number of hitters with a 3-pitch mix that he commands
very well. More realistically (if he stays healthy), he’s a #4 type who
occasionally flashes brilliance.
Either way, Tseng is a highly intriguing prospect who is one of the many
must-obsessively-follow prospects in the system.
我預測曾仁和會長成 #3~#4
他是一個很有趣的新秀 值得密切觀察
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