[情報] 2016 ZIPS Projections

看板Cubs作者fountainNess (秋本平吉千人將)時間9年前 (2015/12/30 22:29)推噓1(1推 0噓 0→)

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http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2016-zips-projections-chicago-cubs/ Depth Chart Below is a rough depth chart for the present incarnation of the Cubs, with rounded projected WAR totals for each player. For caveats regarding WAR values see disclaimer at bottom of post. Click to embiggen image. 粗略的深度表,旁邊的數字是預測WAR http://cdn.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Cubs-Depth.png

Staters Heyward*5 Bullpen Schwarber/ Soler*1 Arrieta*5 Baez*3 Rondon┐ Lester*5 ◇ Strop │ Lackey*3 Russell*3 Zobrist*3 　Grimm ├*4 Hendricks*3 Bryant*6◇ ◎ ◇Rizzo*5 Cahill│ Hammel*2 Wood ┘　 ◇Montero/ Ross*2 Batters, Counting Stats Player B Age PO PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS Kris Bryant R 24 3B 658 94 148 28 5 29 106 14 4 Anthony Rizzo L 26 1B 674 94 156 33 2 32 99 10 5 Jason Heyward L 26 CF 613 85 149 29 3 17 66 18 4 Ben Zobrist B 35 2B 560 76 133 31 4 14 56 7 4 Addison Russell R 22 SS 500 61 116 26 3 14 59 7 3 Kyle Schwarber L 23 LF 586 98 128 22 4 32 100 4 2 Dexter Fowler B 30 CF 574 76 126 22 6 13 43 14 6 Javier Baez R 23 SS 526 66 120 22 3 22 71 18 6 Austin Jackson R 29 CF 611 72 146 29 7 10 52 14 8 Miguel Montero L 32 C 458 38 92 14 0 12 54 0 2 Jorge Soler R 24 RF 385 47 90 21 2 14 55 3 1 Chris Coghlan L 31 LF 435 49 94 20 4 10 37 8 3 David Ross R 39 C 160 9 25 7 0 4 12 1 0 Batters, Rates and Averages Player PA BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA Kris Bryant 658 12.2% 30.2% .222 .350 .263 .362 .485 .370 Anthony Rizzo 674 11.0% 17.8% .231 .289 .271 .369 .502 .375 Jason Heyward 613 10.1% 17.0% .159 .311 .274 .352 .433 .349 Ben Zobrist 560 11.4% 12.5% .166 .291 .273 .356 .439 .346 Addison Russell 500 6.8% 25.2% .161 .317 .252 .307 .413 .316 Kyle Schwarber 586 11.1% 26.8% .246 .294 .250 .337 .496 .358 Dexter Fowler 574 12.4% 22.1% .148 .317 .255 .352 .403 .340 Javier Baez 526 5.9% 28.9% .195 .313 .248 .301 .443 .330 Austin Jackson 611 7.0% 22.6% .131 .328 .261 .315 .392 .317 Miguel Montero 458 11.1% 23.4% .126 .284 .232 .325 .358 .298 Jorge Soler 385 8.8% 27.3% .194 .330 .261 .327 .455 .335 Chris Coghlan 435 9.9% 19.3% .151 .287 .244 .323 .395 .316 David Ross 160 10.0% 36.3% .135 .263 .177 .259 .312 .232 Batters, Assorted Other Player PA RC/27 OPS+ Def zWAR No.1 Comp Kris Bryant 658 6.5 130 2 5.7 Harlond Clift Anthony Rizzo 674 6.9 137 5 4.8 Boog Powell Jason Heyward 613 5.9 115 6 4.7 Von Hayes Ben Zobrist 560 5.8 117 -3 3.2 Tony Phillips Addison Russell 500 4.6 96 4 2.8 Jeff Blauser Kyle Schwarber 586 6.0 126 -9 2.4 Greg Vaughn Dexter Fowler 574 5.2 107 -8 2.4 Jim Russell Javier Baez 526 4.9 101 -6 2.3 Tony Batista Austin Jackson 611 4.5 93 0 2.1 Cesar Geronimo Miguel Montero 458 4.0 88 1 2.0 Ed Bailey Jorge Soler 385 5.5 113 -4 1.1 Ron Swoboda Chris Coghlan 435 4.6 97 0 0.9 Ryan Spilborghs David Ross 160 2.7 57 3 0.3 Raul Chavez Pitchers, Counting Stats Player T Age G GS IP K BB HR H R ER Jake Arrieta R 30 30 30 186.3 194 50 13 145 57 53 Jon Lester L 32 30 30 199.0 194 46 17 174 71 66 John Lackey R 37 28 28 183.0 156 42 20 170 73 68 Kyle Hendricks R 26 28 28 159.7 125 40 14 154 68 64 Adam Warren R 28 47 8 101.7 92 31 7 87 36 34 Jason Hammel R 33 26 25 144.3 125 39 19 138 67 63 Dan Haren R 35 27 27 152.7 123 32 23 149 73 68 Travis Wood L 29 40 19 135.7 127 52 14 125 62 58 Pedro Strop R 31 67 0 59.0 71 24 5 43 19 18 Hector Rondon R 28 64 0 64.0 62 18 5 55 22 21 Justin Grimm R 27 69 0 59.0 71 25 5 46 20 19 Tommy Hunter R 29 60 0 65.3 57 14 6 59 25 23 Trevor Cahill R 28 36 18 115.0 99 53 12 112 60 56 Zac Rosscup L 28 51 0 46.7 59 24 5 37 19 18 Brandon Gomes R 31 56 0 57.7 53 16 7 53 26 24 Clayton Richard L 32 20 10 67.0 37 17 8 73 36 34 Pitchers, Rates and Averages Player IP TBF K% BB% BABIP ERA FIP ERA- FIP- Jake Arrieta 186.3 754 25.7% 6.6% .269 2.56 2.87 65 73 Jon Lester 199.0 817 23.7% 5.6% .283 2.98 3.11 76 79 John Lackey 183.0 761 20.5% 5.5% .278 3.34 3.58 85 91 Kyle Hendricks 159.7 673 18.6% 5.9% .289 3.61 3.66 92 93 Adam Warren 101.7 423 21.7% 7.3% .278 3.01 3.28 77 83 Jason Hammel 144.3 610 20.5% 6.4% .283 3.93 4.06 100 103 Dan Haren 152.7 639 19.2% 5.0% .276 4.01 4.18 103 106 Travis Wood 135.7 584 21.7% 8.9% .287 3.85 3.80 98 96 Pedro Strop 59.0 244 29.1% 9.8% .273 2.75 3.13 70 79 Hector Rondon 64.0 265 23.4% 6.8% .281 2.95 3.08 75 78 Justin Grimm 59.0 248 28.6% 10.1% .283 2.90 3.18 74 80 Tommy Hunter 65.3 269 21.2% 5.2% .278 3.17 3.21 81 81 Trevor Cahill 115.0 510 19.4% 10.4% .292 4.38 4.26 112 108 Zac Rosscup 46.7 201 29.3% 11.9% .288 3.47 3.63 89 92 Brandon Gomes 57.7 242 21.9% 6.6% .280 3.75 3.73 96 95 Clayton Richard 67.0 291 12.7% 5.8% .286 4.57 4.42 117 112 Pitchers, Assorted Other Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 ERA+ zWAR No. 1 Comp Jake Arrieta 186.3 9.37 2.42 0.63 148 5.4 Orel Hershiser Jon Lester 199.0 8.77 2.08 0.77 127 4.6 Jimmy Key John Lackey 183.0 7.67 2.07 0.98 114 3.4 Tim Belcher Kyle Hendricks 159.7 7.04 2.25 0.79 105 2.5 Mike Scott Adam Warren 101.7 8.14 2.74 0.62 126 1.9 Julian Tavarez Jason Hammel 144.3 7.80 2.43 1.19 97 1.6 Mike Smithson Dan Haren 152.7 7.25 1.89 1.36 95 1.5 Bill Gullickson Travis Wood 135.7 8.42 3.45 0.93 99 1.4 Rafael Roque Pedro Strop 59.0 10.83 3.66 0.76 138 0.9 Dwayne Henry Hector Rondon 64.0 8.72 2.53 0.70 129 0.9 Danys Baez Justin Grimm 59.0 10.83 3.81 0.76 131 0.8 Hipolito Pichardo Tommy Hunter 65.3 7.86 1.93 0.83 120 0.7 Julio Mateo Trevor Cahill 115.0 7.75 4.15 0.94 87 0.5 Steve Green Zac Rosscup 46.7 11.37 4.63 0.96 109 0.3 Greg McCarthy Brandon Gomes 57.7 8.27 2.50 1.09 101 0.2 Greg Jones Clayton Richard 67.0 4.97 2.28 1.07 83 0.1 Tony Fossas 新增完畢石塊伯的預測... -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 123.194.153.100 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Cubs/M.1451485773.A.342.html ※ 編輯: fountainNess (123.194.153.100), 12/30/2015 22:46:30