[情報] Chicago Cubs Top 20 prospects for 2017
1) Eloy Jimenez, OF, Grade A-: Age 19, breakout season in Low-A at
.329/.369/.532, 40 doubles, 14 homers; can still be overly aggressive at times
but he’s cleaned up his swing mechanics and put his tools (60 power, 60 arm,
55 speed) to work; signed out of Venezuela in 2013 for $2,800,000, which could
end up being a bargain if he continues to progress like this; should hit for
both power and average down the line. ETA: 2020.
2) Dylan Cease, RHP, Grade B+: Age 20, sixth round pick in 2014 although would
have been first-rounder if not for Tommy John surgery; fully recovered now;
2.22 ERA in 45 innings in Northwest League with 66/25 K/BB and a mere 27 hits
allowed; works in mid-90s and has touched 100; also has excellent curveball and
workable change-up; issues now are building up innings stamina and finalizing
polish on the change-up; could turn into an ace. ETA: 2020.
3) Trevor Clifton, RHP, Grade B+/B: Age 21, 12th round pick in 2013 from high
school in Tennessee; 2.72 ERA in 119 innings in High-A with 129/41 K/BB, 97
hits; doesn’t throw as hard as Cease with fastball in 92-95 range but has a
very good curveball/change-up to back it up and throws strikes; number three
starter projection, don’t overlook him. ETA: late 2018.
4) Ian Happ, 2B, Grade B+/B: Age 22, first round pick in 2015; hit
.279/.365/.445 with 15 homers, 16 steals, 68 walks, 129 strikeouts in 488
at-bats between High-A and Double-A; polished hitter with solid-average power
who should provide high OBPs; performed adequately at second base after being
drafted as an outfielder; could use another year to iron out the fielding. ETA:
2018.
5) Albert Almora, OF, Grade B: Age 22; hit .303/.317/.416 in 320 at-bats in
Triple-A, .277/.308/.455 in 112 at-bats in the majors; there’s some question
about his rookie eligibility for 2017 but he is under the limit on at-bats so I
will include him; outstanding defensive outfielder and will hold a roster spot
for years based on the glove alone, main question going forward is power
development; impatient and OBP will be very dependent on batting average, so
more power would be helpful to make him a fully productive bat; most likely a
better real-life player than a fantasy one. ETA 2017.
6) Oscar De La Cruz, RHP, Grade B: Age 21, signed out of Dominican Republic in
2012; pitched 39 innings between rookie ball and Midwest League with 3.00 ERA,
51/11 K/BB; the strikeouts are not lying; fastball into mid-90s when healthy
with curveball and change-up both showing above-average potential; control is
good for a young power pitcher; assuming good health I expect a major
breakthrough in ’17. ETA 2019.
7) Mark Zagunis, OF, Grade B-: Age 23, third round pick from Virginia Tech in
2014; hit .288/.384/.469 with 10 homers, 52 walks, 78 strikeouts in 358 at-bats
between Double-A and Triple-A; excellent strike zone judgment and power
improved in ’16; average defensive tools; the bat is the key attraction here;
may wind up as trade bait. ETA: 2017.
8) Jeimer Candelario, 3B, Grade B-: Age 23, hit .283/.376/.464 between Double-A
and Triple-A with 13 homers, 39 doubles, 70 walks, 99 strikeouts in 474
at-bats; looks blocked in Chicago but would make great trade bait as a
switch-hitter with OBP ability, power potential, and above-average defense at
third base; ready for a trial now but where? ETA: 2017.
9) Duane Underwood, RHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 22, 4.32 ERA in 73 innings between
Double-A and lower-level injury rehab work, 62/35 K/BB; fastball up to 96 when
healthy, both curveball and change-up flash plus but feel for pitching comes
and goes; strikeout rates have not matched the stuff and he’s been dogged with
nagging forearm/elbow soreness the last two seasons; talk increasing that he
may wind up in bullpen. ETA 2018.
10) Victor Caratini, C-1B, Grade B-/C+: Age 23, hit .291/.375/.405 with 54
walks, 80 strikeouts in 412 at-bats in Double-A; another Cubs hitter with sound
strike zone judgment and OBP ability; lacks big power; threw out 27% of runners
but with very low passed ball and error rates, typical for him, can also play
first base well; probably a very good role player rather than a long-term
regular but that has a lot of value. ETA late 2017.
11) Donnie Dewees, OF, Grade B-/C+: Age 23, second round pick in 2013 from
North Florida; hit .284/.338/.416 with 25 doubles, 14 triples, five homers, 31
steals; runs very well and a very successful base stealer, also an
above-average defensive outfielder despite weak throwing arm; may have more raw
power than he’s shown so far. ETA: 2019.
12) Jose Albertos, RHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 18, signed out of Mexico in 2015;
threw four innings in rookie ball without giving up a run while fanning seven,
but was sidelined quickly with arm soreness; can hit 96-97 MPH and already has
an above-average breaking ball and change-up; difficult to rank due to young
age, injury concern, and lack of data but his ceiling is very high. Could move
very rapidly if healthy. ETA: 2021.
13) Thomas Hatch, RHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 22, Chicago’s top pick in 2016 draft
(third round) from Oklahoma State; did not pitch after signing to spare his
arm, went 9-3 in 19 starts in college with 2.14 ERA and 112/33 K/BB in 130
innings, a very heavy workload after coming off elbow injury in ’15; 90-96 MPH
fastball with good low-zone action, also has above-average slider and a decent
change-up; potential workhorse strike-thrower: ETA 2019.
ANALYST NOTE: Spots 14-20 on this list are quite fungible so don’t worry too
much about exact ordering and look at it like tiers. I focused here mostly on
pitchers.
14) Wladimir Galindo, 3B, Grade C+: Age 20, signed out of Venezuela in 2013,
hit .243/.337/.462 with nine homers, 33 walks, 81 strikeouts in 247 at-bats in
pitching-oriented Northwest League, good production for park/league
environment; above-average power and throwing arm but glove needs more work,
though he did make progress cutting down on errors; high upside/high risk
sleeper bat. ETA: 2021.
15) Rob Zastryzny, LHP, Grade C+: Age 24, second round pick in 2013, posted
4.31 ERA in 136 innings between Double-A and Triple-A with 119/51 K/BB;
promoted to majors and was stellar in September, posting 1.13 ERA in 16 innings
with 17/5 K/BB, looking dominant in bullpen; fastball up to 94 along with a
curve, slider; can hit all velocity spots between 74 and 94; unsure what his
role will be but he’s ready for a trial. ETA: 2017.
16) Ryan Kellogg, LHP, Grade C+: Age 22, fifth round pick in 2015 from Arizona
State; posted 3.03 ERA in 131 innings in Low-A with 107/26 K/BB, 115 hits and
was very sharp down the stretch; best-known for pitchability and command. I
thought his velocity could increase in ’16; that did not happen but there’s
still a chance it could, and even with his current skill set he could be a fine
number four starter. ETA: 2019.
17) Erling Moreno, RHP, Grade C+: Age 20, signed out of Colombia for $650,000
in 2013; posted 1.88 ERA with 55/9 K/BB in 62 innings combined between rookie
ball and Northwest League, 47 hits; heavy ground ball pitcher with sinker and
plus curveball, throws strikes; breakout potential for 2017 which is why I am
putting him here. ETA: 2020.
18) Zach Hedges, RHP, Grade C+: Age 24, 26th round pick in 2014 from Azusa
Pacific, posted 2.75 ERA in 144 innings between High-A and Double-A with 95/27
K/BB, 2.07 GO/AO; heavy sinker has been clocked as high as 94, strikeout rate
isn’t excellent but he throws strikes, gets grounders; could be a fourth
starter or a bullpen asset. ETA: 2018.
19) Jose Paulino, LHP, Grade C+: Age 21, signed out of Dominican Republic in
2011; slow developer until 2016 when he posted a 1.92 ERA, 69/13 K/BB in 75
innings between Northwest and Midwest Leagues, 69/13 K/BB, just 55 hits;
Midwest League sources liked his 90-96 MPH fastball; slider is erratic but can
be excellent, dominant when his command is on. Like Moreno, he hasn’t received
much notice outside of Cubs circles but that can change. ETA: 2020.
20) D.J. Wilson, OF, Grade C+: Age 20, fourth round pick in 2015 from high
school in Ohio, hit .257/.320/.371 in Northwest League with 20 walks, 56
strikeouts, 21 steals in 245 at-bats; no power yet but may develop some along
Adam Eaton lines despite 5-8 height; excellent running speed (65 or 70) and
uses it well, already a good fielder; needs to improve OBP abilities. ETA: 2021.
OTHER GRADE C+: All of these players have a case to rank in spots 14 to 20. I
don’t have space for full write-ups but will answer any questions about them
in the comments thread.
Bryan Hudson, LHP; Chad Hockin, RHP; Preston Morrison, RHP; Isaac Paredes, INF;
Jose Rosario, RHP; Carlos Sepulveda, 2B; Jake Stinnett, RHP; Christian
Villanueva, 3B; Ryan Williams, RHP; D.J. Wilson, OF; Chesny Young, INF
GRADE C prospects: Corey Black, RHP; Charcer Burks, OF; Bailey Clark, RHP;
Jacob Hannemann, OF; P.J. Higgins, C; Pierce Johnson, RHP; Eddy Martinez, OF;
Ryan McNeil, RHP; Felix Pena, RHP; Chris Pieters, 1B-OF; Ian Rice, C; Michael
Rucker, RHP; Carson Sands, LHP; Wyatt Short, LHP; Justin Steele, LHP; Jen-Ho
Tseng, RHP; Kyle Twomey, LHP
Despite recent graduations the Cubs system remains very deep; there are others
who could rate and they have a lot more C+ prospects who could blossom into
more. The Cubs have put a lot of effort into digging up pitching the last
couple of years and this could bear fruit soon. There’s certainly plenty of
depth for them to trade with.
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※ 編輯: Zamned (36.224.210.154), 12/11/2016 12:48:16
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