Re: [情報] 2020選秀簽約
未簽下
簽下
Selection Player Position Rank Value Bonus +/-
1.0016 Ed Howard SS A#15 BA#20 $3,745,500
2.0051 Burl Carraway LHP A#90 BA#72 $1,436,900
3.0088 Jordan Ngowu OF A#68 BA#197 $ 678,600
4.0117 Luke Little LHP BA#121 FG#149$ 492,700
5.0147 Koen Moreno RHP BA#128 $ 367,900
Ed Howard
BA:
Howard is the top prep shortstop in a light high school class at the position
and midwest area scouts should have good history with him considering he
played alongside D-backs’ second-round pick Alek Thomas (2018) as an
underclassman at Mount Carmel (Ill.) High. Howard wowed scouts as a junior in
Perfect Game’s Jupiter WWBA tournament, showing high-level ability on both
sides of the ball. While he has upside as a hitter, the polished part of
Howard’s game comes from his glove. He’s a no-doubt shortstop at the next
level as a solid athlete with reliable hands and a strong, accurate throwing
arm. He moves fluidly in the middle of the diamond and has the ability to
throw from all angles with excellent body control and a solid internal clock.
In the 2020 class, he’s the clear-cut top prep defender at the position and
has the potential to be a plus defensive shortstop in the big leagues . The
one critique in his defensive game is that scouts would like to see better
foot speed. He’s a solid runner, but not a burner by any means. Scouts will
have to project more on Howard’s offensive game, particularly after not
seeing him in games this season. He shows all the tools you want to see, with
good bat speed, some bat-to-ball skill and a lithe, 6-foot-2, 185-pound frame
that has plenty of room to add more muscle and impact ability. At present he’
s more of a gap-to-gap, line-drive type hitter, but scouts want to see him
refine his approach. He did a nice job of progressing throughout the summer
in 2019 and showing he can make adjustments, but teams are still waiting for
him to put it all together. While he is committed to Oklahoma, it’s rare for
the top high school shortstop to not go in the first round, and a team that
buys into his upside could jump on him in the middle or back half of the
first round.
KLaw:
Howard is one of the few true shortstops in the draft class at either the
high school or college level, and that alone makes him at least a top two
rounds guy, while the upside in his bat is probably going to make him a
first-rounder. Howard is very projectable at 6-foot-2, 185 pounds, and is an
above-average runner with very good hands, giving scouts no doubt he’ll stay
at short in the long term. His bat speed is excellent and he rotates well for
future power as he fills out. Howard did struggle at the end of the summer of
2019, and we don’t know if that was due to a sore shoulder or fatigue or
just trouble with better competition — and he didn’t get to play this
spring to answer any of that. In a draft with more polished shortstops, he
might slip to the supplemental round and end up an overslot guy, but this
year he seems likely to go somewhere in the back half of the first.
-------------
Burl Carraway
BA:
The top college reliever in the class, Carraway has explosive stuff from the
left side and, depending on the day, looks like he could be a late-inning
reliever for an MLB club right now. A wiry athlete standing at 6-foot, 173
pounds, Carraway explodes off the rubber and uses his lower half extremely
well, with a fast arm and crossfiring action in his delivery that adds to his
deception. He pairs a fastball that’s regularly in the 96-98 mph range with
spotty control, which makes it easy to see why hitters are always
uncomfortable in the box against him. That’s especially true for lefties,
who struck out in 33 of 64 (52.5 percent) plate appearances against Carraway
in 2019. Carraway’s fastball has 70-grade potential if he can improve his
control, which is below-average. He also has a knee-buckling curveball in the
mid-70s with 1-to-7 shape and sharp biting action, which he also struggles to
land consistently. Carraway gets away with below-average control now because
he generates so many whiffs outside of the zone, but more advanced hitters
will be able to stand in the box and take those pitches more easily. His
career walk rate over 42 innings with DBU is 5.36, and while the bar is lower
for reliever control, he’ll have to improve that for an MLB club to trust
him in any sort of high-leverage role. The timing of his release point is
inconsistent, and the violence and effort of his delivery likely don’t help
in that regard, so perhaps teams could try and calm that down a tick at the
next level to help him stay in the strike zone more frequently. Carraway
comes with plenty of risk thanks to his control and the poor track record of
college relievers, but he could be a quick mover to a big league pen with a
step forward in his strike-throwing.
KLaw:
Carraway is a pure reliever who hasn’t been able to hold velocity when
stretched out, but can sit 96-98 mph in short stints with a plus curveball
from a high 3/4 slot. He’s a great athlete who should throw more strikes
than he does; he’s walked 28 guys in the last year-plus for DBU in 51
innings, which will have to improve for him to profile as more than a middle
reliever.
------------
Jordan Nwogu
BA:
A straight-A student in high school, Nwogu had Division I offers as a
defensive end/linebacker, but he opted to go to Michigan on an academic
scholarship to study computer engineering and play baseball. Nwogu earned a
starting role midway through his freshman season and has been Michigan’s
leadoff hitter for the past two years. Nwogu still looks like a football
player (6-foot-3, 225 pounds) and he has plus-plus raw power and plus speed.
Scouts are not all that excited about his funky swing—he gets good weight
transfer and has plenty of bat speed, but it’s a very top-hand heavy swing.
So far, funky or not, it has been extremely effective. He is a career
.334/.430/.545 hitter for the Wolverines and his ability to control the
strike zone has improved dramatically over his collegiate career. Nwogu’s
defense was rough as a freshman, but he has steadily improved. He likely ends
up in left field thanks to his below-average arm. That’s where he’s mainly
played for Michigan, but the Wolverines started to play him in center field
this year.
KLaw:
Nwogu is one of the higher-upside athletes in the college class this year, a
plus runner with plus raw power, but in many ways is still raw like a high
school prospect. He has a very wide setup at the plate with no stride, which
doesn’t help at all with pitch recognition, so he rakes against fastballs
and struggles with spin. He’s fast enough for center field but doesn’t have
the instincts or arm for it, and almost certainly has to play left.
Ultimately his value is in his bat, where he has bat speed and strength but
just has to pick up secondary stuff far better in the future. Perhaps
narrowing his stance and giving him some forward momentum will help. He’s
shown a willingness to walk and there’s at least 20/20 potential here if he
gets to the power.
-----------
Luke Little
Little is one of the hardest throwers in this year’s draft class, but until
this year his wildness was just as notable as his fastball. As a freshman,
Little walked more than a batter an inning (while also striking out 17.6
batters per nine). In brief glimpses this spring (nine total innings), he
showed vastly improved control, although his delivery is still herky jerky
and effortful. Little pitches at 96-97 mph, but has touched 100 at his best.
He only made five appearances before San Jacinto’s season ended because he
missed a few weeks with a back injury. He made one start before the injury,
then pitched in relief four times upon his return. In those five appearances,
Little struck out 17, walked three and allowed three hits in nine innings. A
massive presence on the mound (6-foot-8, 250 pounds), Little was in better
shape as a sophomore and showed better control and command. In part that came
from better body control and in part because he synced up his lower half
better in his delivery. He also showed a much better feel for locating his
above-average 80-83 mph slider. It has less power than may be expected, but
it has solid bite, although its spin rates are not exceptional. Little is a
South Carolina signee. He would have benefitted from a full season which
would have given him time to show his control improvements are sustainable,
but a team looking for a power lefty could be enticed by his two-pitch
package with the hope that there is more refinement to come.
-----------
Koen Moreno
Moreno is one of the more athletic pitchers in the prep class and he also
participated in basketball and track at Panther Creek High in Cary, N.C. A
6-foot-2, 170-pound righthander committed to East Carolina, Moreno doesn’t
have a ton of innings on his arm and scouts were impressed with the
consistent steps forward he made last summer. At East Coast Pro, Moreno threw
a fastball in the 87-93 mph range and ticked up to 94 at the Future Stars
Series during the fall. He has exceptional feel to naturally spin a breaking
ball, but the pitch needs continued refinement to become a plus offering. It
shows solid depth and three-quarter shape in the 73-78 mph range, but it’s
hittable when he leaves it up and only flashes sharp biting action. Moreno
also showed feel for an 81-85 mph changeup that he throws with good arm speed
and had swing-and-miss qualities with average or better potential in the
future. Moreno is a projection arm in the true sense of the definition, with
plenty of room remaining on a lean frame, athleticism that should allow him
to make big strides in the future and an innate feel for spinning a baseball.
Scouts didn’t see him pitch much at all this spring with a shortened 2020
season, but he was a candidate to take a step forward stuff-wise. It wouldn’
t be surprising for a team to bet on his upside now in the 3-5 round range—
if he makes it to East Carolina he could easily become a top-three round
talent.
--
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