[翻譯] Verlander Outpitches His ERA

看板DET_Tigers作者dawning1984 (過眼雲煙)時間16年前 (2009/04/21 23:26)推噓5(5推 0噓 1→)

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Fangraphs的文章，簡單翻一下 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/verlander-outpitches-his-era Verlander Outpitches His ERA by Dave Cameron - April 20, 2009 Last year at this time, I was writing articles about the disappearance of Justin Verlander's fastball. He was averaging just 92 MPH with his best pitch and getting beaten around because of it. His velocity recovered a bit as the season went on, but he had his worst year as a pro and entered the 2009 season as something of a question mark. 作者去年此時發現Verlander的速球平均只有92mph，而且被打得很慘。雖然球季接下來有找回一些速度，去年仍是他職業生涯最差的一年，這讓人對他的2009球季打上問號。 Through his first three starts of 2009, his ERA is 7.88, and he's only managed to get through 16 innings. With another season where he's getting poor results in April, one might assume that Verlander's just continuing his regression from last year. 今年前三場先發，他的ERA是7.88，而且總共只投了16局，看到這麼差的四月成績，有人可能會認為Verlander正接續著去年的退化。 One would be wrong. 他們可能錯了。 Forget the results - Verlander is back to his '06 form. His fastball is averaging 95.6 MPH, and he's consistently hitting 97 when he's throwing it by people. That's showing up in his true outcome categories as well - he's striking out 11.25 batters per nine innings through his first three starts. His ERA is skewed by a ridiculous 38.6% LOB%, essentially pointing to the fact that other teams have bunched their hits together against him, and that's just not going to continue. He's also had some brutal defense played behind him so far (Carlos Guillen defended like he had been drinking before taking his left field spot on Friday night), and a .389 BABIP won't continue. 撇開成績不看，Verlander其實已經回復'06年的水準，速球平均來到95.6mph，經常可以 97mph連發，前三場先發K/9達11.25。ERA被離譜的38.6% LOB%誤很大，表示對手對上他都能把安打集中，但這不會持續下去。防守也和他過不去，禮拜五Carlos Guillen像是守左外野之前才喝過酒，另外.389的BABIP也不是常態。 If there's one pitcher whose results haven't matched his underlying performance so far, it's Verlander. If he was a stock, I'd be yelling " Buy! Buy!" like the mad money guy on CNBC. If you play in a fantasy league and the guy who owns Verlander doesn't read FanGraphs, make a phone call and see if you can buy low. If you're a Tigers fan who is frustrated by Verlander, have some patience - your ace is back. 作者認為Verlander的實際表現還沒有反映在成績上，像一支潛力股。如果你正在玩FB，而擁有Verlander那個玩家沒在看FanGraphs，趕快打電話給他看看能不能逢低買進。(XD) 老虎迷別擔心，你們的王牌已經回來了。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.213.39