[翻譯] Top 20 Prospects for 2010 by John …

看板DET_Tigers作者yyjack (小虎)時間16年前 (2010/01/07 03:03)推噓9(9推 0噓 14→)

留言23則, 10人參與討論串1/1

終於輪到Tigers Top20, John Sickels的參考價值是我認為最高的今年因為Grandy跟E.Jackson的交易農場豐盛許多... (個人是不能接受Grandy到Yankees Jackson則是我們大賺) 作者的英文滿淺顯易懂我不是照翻大多是自己的觀察希望大家一起來討論阿!!XDD ============================================================================ 1) Casey Crosby, LHP, Grade B+: Has some of the best southpaw stuff in the minors and seems fully recovered from Tommy John. Further command refinements in 2010 would move him into the A- and maybe a pure A category. 眉批:TJ手術後第一個球季完全宰制1A,下半季防禦率甚至不到1...!!! high-90快速球不錯的曲球有待加強的變速球跟控球典型的左手power pitcher comparison是Kershaw..當年選秀錯過在選一個就行了XD 新球季預定A+出發,順利的話季中升2A 2011上大聯盟 DD大總管連兩年說他是untouchable 希望是真的XD 2) Jacob Turner, RHP, Grade B+: Outstanding high school pitcher, but I want to see some pro numbers before giving him a higher grade. Even a B+ is aggressive in my grading scheme, but I like him a lot. Like Crosby, he has A-/A potential if all goes well. 眉批:09選秀高中第一大腕,又一個Porcello ?! (個人認為要重複Porcello表現難度太高) 簽約金700萬的大聯盟約是差不多希望表現不要差太多沒看過實績就不評論了可以肯定的球速比Porcello快但控球跟完成度都還差一截要多點耐心才是不是每個人都可以當Porcello阿... 3) Austin Jackson, OF, Grade B: I like him more than the numbers say I should. 眉批:跟他不熟而且因為Grandy的關係如果表現不好... 不用我..美國那邊的鄉民也會酸死他好消息是Sickels很愛他他看人很準除了受傷回不來的以外預定開季先發CF 但不是保證還需要成績來證明他值得 4) Alex Avila, C, Grade B: Won't slug .590 in a full season, but I expect him to have a long and solid career. I was thinking B+ earlier but am backing off that now. . .a B is still a strong grade remember. 眉批:去年選秀的大樂透!! 第五輪才轉職一年的捕手可以站穩大聯盟想當初還被質疑是靠關係才比預期早幾輪選 (老爸是DD總管左右手) 打擊能力無庸置疑重點是在捕手這個位置上的成長我覺得不用一定要開季在25人名單 3A也是可接受的選項畢竟這才是他第二個full season,最快今年慢則明年老虎主戰捕手就是他了!! 5) Dan Schlereth, LHP, Grade B: Excellent relief prospect, needs to sharpen command but was rushed by Arizona. 眉批:Perry大學隊友, comparison是Billy Wagner 就知道他的類型啦叫人不期待都不行去年小聯盟成績好的嚇人上big後很明顯的控球還需加強 Sickels覺得他被rushed (我覺得Perry Porcello Avila都被rushed...但表現XDD) 開季我覺得應該讓他繼續待3a磨控球大聯盟交給Ni & Seay or Thomas就好 6) Scott Sizemore, 2B, Grade B: Like Avila, I don't think he's going to be a star, but he should be a solid regular, will be a Rookie of the Year candidate assuming he's healthy in spring training. 眉批:預定的開季先發2b 希望不會有任何變數 (Hudson的rumor已被否決) 跟Poly做比較的話守備當然不能比 average的穩定表現擁有更好的選球跟長打能力更重要的是Sickels曾經提過 Sizemore即將取代Grandy在老虎的地位說的是甚麼他的比賽拼勁笑容乃至於跟隊友相處場外活動都讓人很難不喜歡他!! 怎麼說說又更想念Grandy了... 7) Ryan Strieby, 1B-OF, Grade B-: Love the power bat, but I don't think he'll repeat the .303 average and .427 OBP. Can he really handle left field? 眉批:季外放Thames的主因 Sickels不認為去年鬼神般成績可以繼續但長打力是真的選球也是真的 (427obp!?) 而且經過2a的考驗 big也不遠了唯二的疑問:1.連續困擾他兩年的手腕傷到底復原如何 (也使他今年無法在AFL出賽) 2.守備位置...1B確定是胖卡布的不多練其他位置就沒機會球團要他練外野代表對他還有待期但最好也是近平均值我還滿期待看他跟Larish share DH 可惜卡了個Guillen... 8) Andy Oliver, LHP, Grade B-: We need to see some professional data aside from the Arizona Fall League, but he seems like the kind of pitcher who could be more effective in the pros than in college. Big upside arm. 眉批:我很確定在3月的時候老虎在第一輪的名單裡有他還特地派球探去觀察所以能夠第二輪選到想必是樂翻了但也花了些手腳才簽下 11X萬簽約金 (不確定) 會掉到第二輪是因為這球季他患了曲球失憶症 (好險快速球都還記得XD) 可以投到97MPH加上評價很高的變速再怎樣當個稱職的中繼沒問題只要變化球讓她找回來的話...嘿嘿嘿... 剛選上就直接讓他投AFL 除了證明老虎對他的期待更肯定他的實力今年參加AFL 09梯的其他全都第一輪而表現的也非常不錯 (AFL是個極端打者聯盟) 看來他現在放棄曲球改練Slider 明年a+出發希望老虎是把它當SP來養但快的話也許季中就會看到他出現在老虎的牛棚 9) Casper Wells, OF, Grade C+: Scouts are starting to warm to him. He's produced in Double-A and in the Arizona Fall League, but there will always be skeptics until he hits in the Show. Personally I like the guy. 眉批：前年三級跳從1a直接殺到2a ( 還真的是"殺爆"2a) 今年受傷一段時間不過這次他把握機會殺爆AFL的投手 351 (top 10) 1.096 OPS /25RBI (top 3) 窮人版5-tools 有長打有速度保送多而且可以守CF 這是Wells跟下一位相比最大的優勢畢竟Tigers現在CF擺在那給大家搶缺點：年紀大了點要不是前年神奇之旅現在應該已經不在了三振…超級多根據數據他很少去揮壞球所以就是打不到… contact是他能否在大聯盟生存的關鍵春訓搶CF的其中一員 10) Wilkin Ramirez, OF, Grade C+: Hard to grade...excellent tools are still here, but performance remains spotty with no clear indication that will change. 眉批：真正的5-tools在這裡!! 九月call-up後甚至是全隊代跑的第一人選優點就是想像的那樣缺點呢！更多… 三振還是一樣多但保送跟Wells比就差多了簡單說有點盲… 守備從3b到of評價都不高不能守cf是他跟Wells價值上最大的差距啦 Winter league 從選球到守備都"據說"進步許多 (練很多場cf 現在大家都想搶XDD) 跟Wells相較起來我認為他被當成交易籌碼的機會高得多 Tools球員人人愛老虎並不缺corner Outfielders 除非他突然變成合格的CF 這樣還可以有更多期待 11) Daniel Fields, SS, Grade C+: Excellent tools with local Detroit ties, but how raw is he and where does he fit with the glove? Need pro data before ranking higher. 眉批：09選秀三巨頭最後一位老爸在以前在老虎當過教練 Michigan 當地雙棲球員 (棒/美足) 花了150萬才簽下就知道老虎有多愛他了對他了解都是看scouting就不多說了大型SS 左打充滿POWER 運動力…等都不在話下我倒期待他成為老虎未來三壘手的解答順利的話開季在1A 等到6月A- 也是可以接受的 he needs time 12) Cody Satterwhite, RHP, Grade C+: Part of large collection of potential bullpen arms that could be ready soon. 眉批：08選秀第二輪將跟隨Perry的腳步來支援牛棚老虎最愛的類型 Big right power arm with High-90 fastball K/9不錯 B/9還需要加強原本要打AFL但受傷沒去新球預計3A出發大聯盟不遠了 13) Robbie Weinhardt, RHP, Grade C+: Another relief arm who could help quickly. 眉批：08選秀第十輪又一牛棚但沒這麼火球極速95MPH 但控球好還有2-seam /slider/change-up 這兩年小聯盟的成績很銷魂 08年在A+ whip 0.85!! 在AFL被打爆前三場後又再度統治了這些打擊明日之星在他關門下拿下冠軍一樣在球季中就有機會看到他現身牛棚我認為他已經ready了 14) Brayan Villareal, RHP, Grade C+: Sleeper prospect, could rank as high as 10th depending on what you want to emphasize. Need some higher level data but he was great at West Michigan. 眉批：動TJ手術回來可以投到97MPH 去年算是找回身價今年是關鍵年投出成績的話送禮自用兩相宜 15) Alfredo Figaro, RHP, Grade C: Looks more like a reliever to me than a starter. They have a lot of good material for a pen here. 眉批：Rodney表弟可惜不能一起同披戰袍了不過我不看好他的表現除了快速球其他都不令我驚艷去年季末關鍵球賽派他先發就知道老虎去年先發投手出了多大問題… 16) Luis Marte, RHP, Grade C: Not as effective in Double-A as some expected, but live arm will get him plenty of chances. 眉批：我一直以為他是我們下一個Jurrjens 各項投球數據都不錯的小個子投手擁有農場最好的slider 可惜是個痛痛人季末轉牛棚希望可以讓他保持健康但不能先發價值差很多 17) Gustavo Nunez, SS, Grade C: hit .315 with 45 steals in the Midwest League, but the scouting reports I have emphasize his rawness. 眉批：1a成績很好看標準球往地上打的類型能不能在高階打出一樣的成績還要觀察老虎最近在南美簽了滿多有淺力的SS Nunez得把握機會才行 18) Melvin Mercedes, RHP, Grade C: Another hard-throwing relief arm, but needs to show he can throw strikes. 眉批：不熟 two-pitch投手 (fastball/slider) 去年GCL的CLOSER 老虎在Gulf Coast League唯一進top20的選手新球季預計會直上full season 1A 慢慢觀察 19) Ramon Lebron, RHP, Grade C: Another high-ceiling arm from rookie ball with command issues. 眉批：火球投手一枚極速99MPH 去年在GCL先發除了三振其他數據都不好看但在winter league投得很殺很多消息說他會進1A rotation 如果是真的很積極也很冒險的動作投的好的話又再次證明在rookie league等級成績不重要資質淺力才是真的 20) Cale Iorg, SS, Grade C: Frankly I think this is generous. I don't think he'll ever hit enough to be a regular, but the glove and major league bloodlines will get him to the majors. 眉批：這個球員的故事很多大一打出first round身價家裡是虔誠的摩門教徒硬是到土耳其傳教兩年完全沒碰球回來還沒回校隊就在第五輪選了這迷樣球員簽約金還飆高到140萬 (沒記錯的話) DD總管非常愛他去年開季前還說Iorg兩年內會在大聯盟成為all-star !!?? 最大的特點在於他的防守我還沒看過他出賽的聯盟裡 Iorg的防守評價(range/glove/arm) 不是聯盟最佳的打擊就是很大的反差啦...現在看來像有長打的Everett 說打擊像Everett絕對不是稱讚... 有人說Iorg因兩年沒碰球打2a雖然即將滿25 但還是有被rushed 簡單的說就是他還需要點時間而球團也會盡一切力量幫助他成功有趣的是我看了不知道多少評論他的文章沒有人不看好他能在大聯盟生存除了Sickels 以外...這次我們要相信誰呢??XD Others (all Grade C): Brennan Boesch, OF (40-Man Roster 2A全壘打王 but..."超級大盲砲") Audy Ciriaco, SS (40-Man Roster 成績不好看老虎看好他的淺力今年爆發!?) Jay Sborz, RHP (40-Man Roster 火球男配上大曲球有機會上來) Casey Fien, RHP (40-Man Roster 不錯的牛棚投手我喜歡他) Zach Simons, RHP (剛移出40-Man Roster 但不是因為投不好還有機會看到他) Scott Green, RHP (08選秀牛棚投手再一位受傷後再出發大隻的cutter投手) Jared Gayhart,RHP (again..08梯牛棚一路從1a投到2a 有轉sp的淺力) Brett Jensen, RHP (淺水艇中繼投手成績一直不錯但不是球團喜歡的類型) Austin Wood, LHP (09第五輪最紅事跡是在冠軍賽投12局160多球,當成日本投手了可以當很好的一人左最新球探報告說他今年就有可能上來!!??) Brandon Douglas,2B Charles Furbush,LHP Jamie Johnson, OF; John Murrian, C Billy Nowlin, OF Luke Putkonen, RHP; James Robbins, 1B Adam Wilk, LHP 以下照翻 ============================================================================== The Tigers seem to like drafting college pitchers with names that would make Beavis and Butt-head chuckle. This system was looking a bit thin at the top aside from Turner and Casey, but the trade acquisitions of Jackson and Schlereth provide some depth. DD總管當家後偏愛大學投手,農場在Turner跟Crosby之後有些差距,不過交易來Jackson. Schlereth增加點深度 On the pitching side, both Crosby and Turner have number one starter potential,and both could be A-/A types a year from now. The pitching thins out after that,but there is a large group of relief arms on the way up, with Schlereth the most advanced but quite a bit behind him. Mercedes and Lebron bear close watching in 2010; both have the potential to take large steps forward. 投手方面Turner跟Crosby都有ace淺質,接下來有一堆快要relief arms即將ready (DD總管說有10位有實力在10season上大聯盟,大家可以數數看XD) Schlereth最被看好(CLOSER ceiling) Mercedes跟Lebron兩位有可能在新球季大躍進 There are no sure-fire stars on the hitting side, but Jackson, Avila, and Sizemore all look like solid regulars to me. I like Jackson more than the numbers say I should, but sometimes you have to go with your gut. Strieby and Wells also have the potential to play regularly, although I'd like to see some Triple-A data for both. Wilkin Ramirez is the toolsiest of the bunch but also the least refined. Daniel Fields has a huge ceiling but we need some solid performance data about him. 野手沒有elite等級,但Jackson,Avila,Sizemore看來都會是稱職的先發 Strieby,Wells也有機會達到 (需要的是機會) Ramirez是整個organization最toolsiest,但還需調整些機制 Fields也擁有高天花板在真正上場比賽前甚麼都別說 Overall, this system has a lot going for it, but they could use more depth in position players. They love the high ceiling high school arms, and it will be interesting to see if they keep that focus on the '10 draft. 整體而言,position player的缺乏還需要DD總管努力,畢竟重整的腳步已經來臨這幾年在首輪我們總是有辦法撿到充滿天份的高中投手,明年是否還是如此值得觀察. 我看到的消息是10梯高中生天分比大學好很多,也代表養成的功力更為重要一個首輪加兩個三明治要好好選阿!! -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 114.44.118.188

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