[翻譯] FIVE REASONS FOR TIGERS NOT TO PANIC

看板DET_Tigers作者yyjack (小虎)時間10年前 (2014/08/27 12:22)推噓12(12推 0噓 7→)

留言19則, 10人參與討論串1/1

FIVE REASONS FOR THE TIGERS NOT TO PANIC http://tigers.scout.com/story/1437929-five-reasons-for-the-tigers-not-to- panic?s=273 Paul Wezner Unrest among Tigers fans has picked up over the past couple weeks, as the Tigers have fallen out of first place behind the upstart Royals and there have been a few ugly losses along the way. Despite that, there are five reasons why the Tigers remain in good shape. 這陣子老虎輸了幾場很難看的比賽；皇家持續高潮不得以讓出盤據已久的美中龍頭位置。 Paul Wezner提供5個理由告訴虎迷們不用過分恐慌，球隊狀況並沒有完全失控。 1. The slump isn't much of a slump 球隊大低潮?!?! 其實還好耶 Despite appearances, and a few losses full of crooked numbers, the Tigers sit at 11-11 in the month of August. That's nothing to write home about for a team that's aiming to win the division crown, but it's also not a horrific slump, either. Consider last year, when the Tigers won the AL Central and clinched it a week before the season ended, the Tigers were within a game of .500 in three of the six months of the season. In 2012, they had two months just like it, too, and were three games under .500 in May. Way back in 2006, the Tigers had a six week stretch over August and September where they didn't win a single series. 8月份幾場大比分落敗讓球隊看來即將崩盤事實上，打到目前為止11勝11敗，剛好5成頂多是個小低潮去年，老虎在球季結束前1週攻頂，6個月賽程有3個月勝率未達5成前年，也有2個月如此追朔到2006最後打盡WS那年，八月到九月，老虎曾連續輸掉6個系列賽 Over the course of a six month long season, teams are bound to have a few bumps in the road. When it comes to wins and losses, this recent stretch is nothing unlike what the Tigers have gone through in prior years when they had some significant postseason success. 6個月打162場例行賽，是非常漫長的賽季高低潮在所難免重點是目前狀況根本不是大低潮 (也許更慘的還在後頭XD) 去年最後慘多啦 (別忘了最後一場被no-hit, 再見暴投) 2. The pitching staff is about to get healthier 投手陣容只會越來越健康 (結果香吉士的手又出問題….) In a cruel twist of fate, the Tigers lost a pair of starting pitchers just as they were entering a stretch full of playing every day with a doubleheader mixed in. That forced the Tigers to have to not just reach down to Toledo, but down to Erie and pull up a guy like Buck Farmer, a solid pitching prospect with little experience, and certainly not someone ready to compete against big league hitters. The results were to be expected. Wezner撰文時，先發輪值少了香吉士跟V中年兩位大將迫使在雙重戰call up Buck Farmer這種還未準備好的小將但這種情況在漫長賽季終在所難免老虎的鑽石輪值跟其他球隊比起來已經很健康了 But Justin Verlander returned this past weekend, Anibal Sanchez could return from the disabled list and start this weekend, and Joakim Soria will be back to try and help stabilize the bullpen. V中年已經回來香吉士快回來 or….回不來 Soria也快回來了莫擔心 A former Cy Young and MVP winner, last year's AL ERA champ, and an experienced closer. Those are some significant reinforcements for a team that was relying on Farmer, Robbie Ray and the revolving door of relievers from Toledo. 不重要~~跳過 3. Rosters expand on September 1 9月名單擴編期待新幫手 Yes, that's true for everyone. But in the case of the Tigers, it provides an opportunity to exploit some tactical holes. Ezequiel Carrera is probably best as a late-inning defensive replacement and pinch runner, but has to be used as more than that right now. That won't be the case next week, when the Tigers can add Tyler Collins or Steven Moya to the big league roster. The catchers have also struggled mightily against left-handed pitching, with just a .231 wOBA, but Toledo's James McCann has a .350/.409/.487 slash line against lefties, and he'll be ready and able to come up as well. 其實每一隊都可以借此補強啦對老虎來而言 Carrera最適合位置是比賽末段代跑代守可以從3A拉上Tyler Collins或Steven Moya增加板凳火力 (Moya已經確定去打AFL, 大聯盟明年見, good for him) 農場最強補手James McCann終於要上來啦 Avila被左殺 McCann剛好特別會殺左投他上來會有一定幫助 The Tigers have been juggling as best they can to manage a roster with some obvious holes and limited alternative options. But when rosters expand, those options increase substantially. 不可否認老虎陣容的缺點很明顯，農場選擇又不多但9月擴編對球隊來說是好消息 4. The Royals can't keep this up 皇家不可能一直猛下去 Fans are in a frenzy over a month in which the Tigers have lost their lead in the AL Central, but it's been far more about the success Kansas City has been having, winners of 24 of their last 31. That's an impressive streak, but it's unsustainable, and likely in line for a correction. No team plays .800 ball for half a season. 老虎如何在一個月內丟掉戰績首位再次強調不是因為我們打太差是皇家太屌誰能跟最近31戰24勝的球隊比但…總有回到地球表面時後如果有一支球隊能夠半季維持8成勝率那冠軍就讓給他吧 According to Baseball Prospectus, it's not just that the Royals are playing above their heads and winning a few more close games than expected. They're winning WAY more, to the tune of an additional ten games between what their projected record should be based on runs scored and what it actually is. Even when adjusted for opponents, it's still nine games higher than expected. That's a larger difference between actual and expected record than any other team in MLB. Toughness and grit and all that aside, Kansas City has gotten a favorable bounce through the first five months of the season. 從Baseball Prospectus的數據分析看來 (得失分…etc) 皇家不只最近打很嗨整個球季下來他們比預期多贏9場比賽!! 這是很大的差距 Correcting for the past can be tough to argue, because there's no going back and changing it, but there's nothing to indicate this hot streak won't end, because all streaks do. And when it does, the underlying projections show the Royals are a .500 baseball team. 已經發生的不能改寫失去的愛找不回來就算數據顯示如此我們也無法肯定皇家熱潮即將結束但不管怎麼看皇家打起來是支5成勝率等級的球隊無誤 5. Star power matters 超級巨星的價值 Max Scherzer. David Price. Miguel Cabrera. Victor Martinez. Verlander. Five players on the Tigers roster, every one of them better than anyone else Kansas City has to offer. That's not to knock a solid Royals club, it's simply to point out the obvious. The Tigers have a track record of success, because they have some of the best players in baseball. And they still have those same players. Sure, some have had their ups-and-downs this season, but when push comes to shove, you'd still take a down year from Cabrera than the best Alex Gordon has to offer. 我們是邪惡的明星大軍 Max Scherzer. David Price. Miguel Cabrera. Victor Martinez. Verlander 任何一位在皇家都可以掛頭牌 (V中年現在這樣我都不敢說了…) 我們有實績、有經驗、有最強的打擊機器米糕最後再說一次不用過份恐慌 -------------------------- 截至今天8/26 (美國時間) 老虎跟皇家勝差1.5 跟水手並列外卡第二翻這篇並不是要說老虎鐵定進Playoff 皇家接下來鐵定落賽而是最近板上氣氛也太凝重了一點就放輕鬆點看球吧 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 75.46.189.239 ※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/DET_Tigers/M.1409113339.A.879.html

推

sarraya

08/27 12:32, , 1^F

08/27 12:32, 1^F

推

m16a117

08/27 12:47, , 2^F

08/27 12:47, 2^F

推

arcobaleno7

08/27 12:56, , 3^F

08/27 12:56, 3^F